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Nordics Power Report Q2 2015

  • February 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 89 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

This quarter we have extended our forecast to 2024. This notwithstanding, we maintain our long-held view that, while growth expectations in the region are improving, economic woes in the eurozone remain a major risk factor for the consumption and generation outlook of the three Nordic countries, as more regional instability could undermine their economic activity. In terms of sector trends, we note that Denmark appears to be losing its energy self-sufficient status; lower gas and oil prices threaten Finland's nuclear sector; while Sweden's possible-phase out of nuclear energy could jeopardise the reliability of the system.

Taking into account relatively positive macroeconomic expectations for the Nordic region as well as sector trends, we continue to expect that power consumption growth will re-enter positive territory in 2014. Similarly, our long-term outlook remains unchanged, with generation and consumption expected to rise only moderately, making the substitution of ageing plants and the acquisition of additional cleaner generation capacity the main priorities for these three power markets. In spite of the similarities, however, we note that existing electricity mix, access to specific resources and political considerations will continue to influence refurbishment interventions and the choice of technologies, as well as the planning of new infrastructure.

Table Of Contents

Nordics Power Report Q2 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Nordics Snapshot 10
Denmark 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data, 2014, 2019 And 2024 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
Finland 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data, 2014, 2018 And 2024 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 11
Sweden 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data, 2014, 2019 And 2024 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 11
Nordics Power Forecast Scenario 12
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 12
Denmark 12
Table: Denmark's Total Electricity Generation, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018 12
Table: Denmark's Total Electricity Generation, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024 13
Table: Denmark's Electricity Generating Capacity, Data And Forecasts, 20132-2018 16
Table: Denmark's Electricity Generating Capacity, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024 16
Finland 17
Table: Finland's Total Electricity Generation, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018 17
Table: Finland's Total Electricity Generation, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024 19
Table: Finland's Electricity Generating Capacity, Data And Forecasts, 203-2018 21
Table: Finland's Electricity Generating Capacity, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019 2024 21
Sweden 22
Table: Sweden's Total Electricity Generation, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018 22
Table: Sweden's Total Electricity Generation, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024 24
Table: Sweden's Electricity Generating Capacity, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018 26
Table: Sweden's Electricity Generating Capacity, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019 2024 26
Table: Finland's Nuclear Power Reactors - Under Construction And Planned 33
Electricity Consumption 37
Denmark 37
Table: Denmark's Total Electricity Consumption, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018 37
Table: Denmark's Total Electricity Consumption, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024 37
Finland 37
Table: Finland's Total Electricity Consumption, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018 37
Table: Finland's Total Electricity Consumption, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024 38
Sweden 38
Table: Sweden's Total Electricity Consumption, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018 38
Table: Sweden's Total Electricity Consumption, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024 38
Transmission, Distribution And Trade 41
Denmark 41
Table: Denmark's Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018 41
Table: Denmark's Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024 42
Table: Denmark's Trade, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018 42
Table: Denmark's Trade, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024 42
Finland 42
Table: Finland's Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018 42
Table: Finland's Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024 43
Table: Finland's Trade, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018 43
Table: Finland's Trade, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024 43
Sweden 43
Table: Sweden's Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses, Data And Forecasts, 2013-20178 43
Table: Sweden's Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024 44
Table: Sweden Trade, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018 44
Table: Sweden's Trade, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024 44
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 46
NAWE Power Risk/Reward Index 46
Table: North America And Western Europe Power Risk/Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100) 49
Nordics Power Risk/Reward Index 50
Rewards 50
Risks 51
Market Overview 52
Key Policies And Market Structure 52
Regulation And Competition 52
Sustainable Energy Policies 53
Pricing 55
Nordics Power Project Database 56
Denmark 56
Table: Major Power Projects 56
Finland 56
Table: Major Power Projects 57
Sweden 58
Table: Major Power Projects 58
Competitive Landscape 60
DONG Energy 61
Vattenfall 61
E.ON 62
Fortum 62
Regional Overview 63
North America And Western Europe Regional Overview 63
Table: Proposed Capacity Mechanisms 67
Global Company Strategy 70
E.ON 70
E.ON Strategy On Track Despite Financial Losses 72
Glossary 83
Table: Glossary Of Terms 83
Methodology 84
Industry Forecast Methodology 84
Sources 87
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 87
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 88
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 89

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