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Myanmar Power Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 52 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The Myanmar power sector is set to grow impressively over the coming decade and will be oneof the fastest growing markets in the region. We also expect the country's energy mix to change over thedecade and this change will create numerous opportunities.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- We forecast electricity generation in Myanmar to grow by 12.1% in 2016, a significant pick-up fromwhat we estimate to have been a 6.9% expansion in 2015. We believe growth in 2016 will continue to beprimarily driven by hydropower and gas-fired generation, similar to 2015. Myanmar's power sector willbe one of the fastest growing in Asia over the coming decade. We have retained our long-term bullishforecast on electricity generation, with growth set to average 8.0% per annum between 2016-2025. Thisis significantly higher than the regional average of about 5.2%.

- In June 2015, Japanese firm Marubeni Corporation announced it had entered into a memorandum ofunderstanding with Myanmar's electric power ministry to conduct a feasibility study for a 400MW gasfire
dpower generation facility in Yangon Region, Myanmar. Marubeni will carry out the study in aconsortium with Thai firm Global Power Synergy and Eden Group. The project is part of Myanmar'sefforts to boost power generation capacity to meet rapidly growing demand. The facility is beingdeveloped by a team of Japanese and Myanmar-based firms, including Marubeni. The plant is estimatedto cost about JPY40bn (USD325mn), reports NIKKEI Asian Review. Construction is expected to beginin 2016 and the facility is scheduled to be commissioned in 2019.

Table Of Contents

Myanmar Power Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Myanmar 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Myanmar Snapshot 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Myanmar 2014-2019) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Myanmar 2019-2024) 11
Myanmar Power Forecast Scenario 12
Table: Fact Box: Cancelled Hydropower Projects in Myanmar 16
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2014-2019) 18
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2019-2025) 19
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2014-2019) 20
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2019-2025) 21
Electricity Consumption 22
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2014-2019) 22
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2019-2025) 22
Transmission and Distribution, Imports and Exports 24
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2014-2019) 24
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2019-2025) 24
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2014-2019) 24
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2019-2025) 24
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 25
Asia Risk/Reward Index 25
Table: Asia Power Risk/Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100) 29
Myanmar Power Risk/Reward Index 30
Rewards 30
Risks 30
Market Overview 32
Key Policies And Market Structure 32
Regulation And Competition 32
Sustainable Energy Policies 33
Pricing 34
Myanmar Power Projects Database 35
Table: Myanmar - 10 Largest Power Projects By Capacity 36
Competitive Landscape 39
APR Energy 40
ACO Investment Group 40
Regional Overview 41
Table: China Power Snapshot 44
Glossary 46
Table: Glossary Of Terms 46
Methodology 47
Methodology And Sources 47
Industry Forecast Methodology 47
Sources 50
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 50
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 51
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 52

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