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Sudan and South Sudan Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 59 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Over the coming years, the Sudanese government will look to address the recurring issues ofmedicine shortages and a lack of funding through improvements to the domestic pharmaceutical industry.In turn, this will reduce its reliance on imported medicines; however, the basic capabilities of localdrugmakers will make it difficult to achieve self-sufficiency in the near future, and the supply of moresophisticated medicines will remain satisfied mostly by imports. Growth within Sudan's healthcare marketwill depend upon the government's financial commitment to health infrastructure projects; however, theunequal distribution of healthcare access remains a longstanding issue. Furthermore, political instabilitywill remain a barrier to any significant investment in the sector.

Headline Expenditure Projections

- Pharmaceuticals: SDG3.00bn (USD491mn)in 2015 to SDG3.36bn (USD507mn) in 2016; +11.8% inlocal currency terms and +3.4% in US dollar terms. Forecast unchanged from Q116.

- Healthcare: SDG26.89bn (USD4.39bn) in 2015 to SDG30.09bn (USD4.54bn) in 2016; +11.9% in localcurrency terms and +3.4% in US dollar terms. Forecast unchanged fromQ116.

Table Of Contents

Sudan and South Sudan Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Forecasts (Sudan 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Pharmaceutical Market Forecast 11
Table: Pharmaceutical Sales, Historical Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2012-2020) 14
Healthcare Market Forecast 15
Table: Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2012-2020) 17
Table: Government Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2012-2020) 17
Table: Private Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2012-2020) 18
Industry Risk/Reward Index 19
Middle East and Africa Risk/Reward Index - Q2 2016 19
Sudan Risk/Reward Index 26
Rewards 26
Risks 26
Regulatory Review 28
Intellectual Property Issues 29
Pricing And Reimbursement Regime 29
Market Overview 30
Healthcare Sector 31
Research and Development 34
Clinical Trials 35
Epidemiology 36
Competitive Landscape 39
Research-Based Industry 39
Table: Multinational Market Activity 41
Generic Drugmakers 41
Demographic Forecast 43
Sudan Demographic Forecast 43
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Sudan 1990-2025) 44
Table: Key Population Ratios (Sudan 1990-2025) 44
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Sudan 1990-2025) 45
Table: Population By Age Group (Sudan 1990-2025) 45
Table: Population By Age Group % (Sudan 1990-2025) 46
South Sudan Demographic Forecast 48
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Sudan 1990-2025) 49
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Sudan 1990-2025) 49
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (South Sudan 1990-2025) 50
Table: Population By Age Group (South Sudan 1990-2025) 50
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Sudan 1990-2025) 51
Glossary 53
Methodology 55
Pharmaceutical Expenditure Forecast Model 55
Healthcare Expenditure Forecast Model 55
Notes On Methodology 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 57
Index Overview 58
Table: Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Index Indicators 58
Indicator Weightings 59

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