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Ghana Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 57 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

We believe that the Ghanaian cocoa sector will post reasonably strong growth throughout our forecast period to 2019/20. High cocoa prices will encourage production, while the government has pledged schemes in order to encourage yield growth. However, a significant portion of the growth will be due to base effects. We also see long-term opportunities (but also significant structural challenges) in the Ghanaian palm oil sector. Key BMI Forecasts

- Cocoa production growth 2014/15 to 2019/20: 9% to 853,000 tonnes. While much of this growth will be due to base effects, the government has committed to supplying free inputs and improving infrastructure, while Cocobod has reformed its cocoa payment price.

- 2016 real GDP growth: 4.2% (up from an estimated 3.4% in 2015).

- 2016 consumer price inflation (ave): 17.9% (down from an estimated 17.1% in 2015).

Table Of Contents

Ghana Agribusiness Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Cocoa Outlook 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Ghana - Cocoa Production and Consumption Outlook 11
Table: Risks To Outlook 12
Structural Trends 12
Table: Cocoa Production and Consumption (Ghana 2012-2020) 14
Palm Oil Outlook 15
Latest Updates 15
Table: Ghana - Palm Oil Production and Consumption Outlook 15
Table: Risks To Outlook 16
Structural Trends 16
Table: Palm Oil Production and Consumption (Ghana 2012-2020) 18
Commodities Price Analysis 19
Global - Global Commodities Strategy 19
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 19
Upstream Analysis 21
Africa GM Outlook 21
Africa Machinery Outlook 28
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions 28
Africa Fertiliser Outlook 33
Downstream Analysis 40
Food 40
Latest Updates 40
Structural Trends 41
Table: Food Sales (Ghana 2013-2020) 43
Regional Overview 45
Middle East and Africa Regional Overview 45
Demographic Forecast 51
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ghana 1990-2025) 52
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ghana 1990-2025) 52
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Ghana 1990-2025) 53
Table: Population By Age Group (Ghana 1990-2025) 53
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ghana 1990-2025) 54
Methodology 56
Industry Forecast Methodology 56
Sector-Specific Methodology 57

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