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South Africa Food and Drink Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 67 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Growth in South Africa's food and drink industry will be tepid due to a weaker economicoutlook and lower consumer spending. Cash-strapped consumers will restrict growth for premium productsin the industry, while rising health consciousness and the proposal of a tax on sugary drinks will suppressgrowth in the fast food and soft drinks industry. The MGR sector will be boosted by the underdevelopednon-urban areas offering strong growth opportunities.

Key Views & Developments

- Rising food prices will impact negatively on consumer spending, as our Country Risk team forecastprivate consumption and household spending to fall to 1.0% and 4.0% respectively in 2016.

- Soft drink sales will be volatile to new industry risks presented by the ongoing economic headwinds aswell as the proposal of a tax on sugary drinks in April 2017.

- Retailers looking to expand in the local market will primarily focus on targeting the lower-incomeconsumer through convenience store formats located in non-urban areas.

Table Of Contents

South Africa Food and Drink Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Key Views and Developments 7
SWOT 8
Food and Drink 8
Industry Forecast 12
Consumer Outlook 12
Food 13
Latest Updates 13
Structural Trends 14
Table: Food Sales (South Africa 2013-2020) 15
Drink 17
Latest Updates 17
Structural Trends 18
Non-Alcoholic Drinks 18
Alcoholic Drinks 18
Table: Non-alcoholic Drink Sales (South Africa 2013-2020) 19
Mass Grocery Retail 20
Latest Updates 20
Structural Trends 20
Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index 22
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index 22
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Q216 Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index 24
South Africa Risk/Reward Index 28
Market Overview 29
Food 29
Market Drivers and Trends 29
Agriculture 29
Organics 31
Food Production 31
Drink 32
Market Drivers and Trends 32
Alcoholic Drinks 32
Soft Drinks 33
Hot Drinks 34
Mass Grocery Retail 34
Market Drivers and Trends 34
Competitive Landscape 37
Table: Key Players In South Africa's Food Sector 37
Table: Key Players In South Africa's Drink Sector 38
Table: Key Players In South Africa's Mass Grocery Retail Industry 39
Company Profile 41
Distell 41
Illovo Sugar 43
Pick n Pay 45
Pioneer Foods 48
Shoprite Group 50
Tiger Brands 52
Woolworths 54
Demographic Forecast 56
Demographic Outlook 56
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Africa 1990-2025) 57
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Africa 1990-2025) 57
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (South Africa 1990-2025) 58
Table: Population By Age Group (South Africa 1990-2025) 58
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Africa 1990-2025) 59
Glossary 61
Food and Drink 61
Mass Grocery Retail 61
Methodology 63
Industry Forecast Methodology 63
Sector-Specific Methodology 64
Sources 64
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 65
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 66
Table: Weighting 67

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