United Arab Emirates Real Estate Report Q4 2014

  • September 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 75 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:
Economic growth in the UAE will strengthen both property fundamentals and capital markets, resulting in a more favourable outlook for tenant retentions, rental growth, development activity, financing and asset values. The UAE real estate sector is emerging as an outperformer within the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. Recent financial results by local property developers have overshadowed those by other sectors with companies recording an 82.4% growth in revenues during Q1 2014. This trend has been continuing in H2 2014 with a strong macroeconomic backdrop supporting high levels of consumer spending as well as trade growth, which has filtered through into demand for retail and industrial space in particular.

Table Of Contents

United Arab Emirates Real Estate Report Q4 2014
BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT 9
Political . 11
Economic ... 12
Business Environment .. 13
Industry Forecast .. 14
Office ... 16
Table: Office Forecast Rents, April 2014 -September 2014 (USD per m2/month)................. . 16
Table: Office Forecast Net Yield, 2011-2018 (%)......................... . . 17
Retail ... 17
Table: Retail Forecast Rents, April 2014 - September 2014 (USD per m2/month)................. 17
Table: Retail Forecast Net Yield, 2011-2018 (%)......................... . . 18
Industrial .. 18
Table: Industrial Forecast Rents, April 2014-September 2014 (USD per m2/month)................ . 18
Table: Industrial Forecast Net Yield, 2011-2018 (%)........................ . . 19
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 19
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (United Arab Emirates 2012-2017).............. . . 19
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (United Arab Emirates 2018-2023).............. . . 20
Macroeconomic Forecasts ... 25
Oil Sector To See Only Marginal Gains .. 26
Fiscal Position Remains Solid .. 27
Risks To Outlook 28
Table: Economic Activity (United Arab Emirates 2009-2018)...................... . 29
Table: GDP By Expenditure (United Arab Emirates 2011-2018)..................... . . 29
Industry Risk Reward Ratings .. 31
Middle East And Africa - Risk/Reward Ratings .. 31
Table: Middle East And Africa Real Estate Risk/Reward Ratings..................... . 31
United Arab Emirates Risk/Reward Ratings .. 32
Rewards ... 32
Risks 33
Market Overview ... 34
Abu Dhabi 36
Dubai .. 37
Sharjah 38
Office 38
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases, H2 2013......................... 39
Table: Historic Rental Costs, 2012-2014 (USD per m2/month)...................... 40
Table: Net Yield, 2012-2014 (%).............................40
Retail 41
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases, H2 2013......................... 43
Table: Historic Rental Rates, 2012-2014 (USD per m2/month).....................43
Table: Net Yield, 2012-2014 (%).............................44
Industrial ... 44
Table: Terms of Rental Contract/Leases, H2 2013......................... . 45
Table: Historic Rental Costs, 2012-2014 (USD per m2/month)...................... 45
Table: Historic Net Yield, 2012-2014 (%)........................... . . 46
Competitive Landscape 47
Company Profile 51
Aldar Properties PJSC . 51
Al-Habtoor Leighton Group ... 53
DAMAC . 55
Deyaar Development 57
Dutco Balfour Beatty 59
Emaar ... 61
Nakheel . 64
Demographic Forecast . 67
Table: United Arab Emirates' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000).................. . . 68
Table: United Arab Emirates' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)................. 69
Table: United Arab Emirates' Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020..................... . 70
Table: United Arab Emirates' Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020................... . . 70
Methodology .. 71
Industry Forecast Methodology 71
Sources 72
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 72
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators......................... 74
Table: Weighting Of Indicators.............................. . 75

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