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Thailand Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

  • September 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 76 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View: Large public infrastructure projects, especially in transport and energy sectors, will be the key drivers of growth in Thailand's construction industry over the next few years. Meanwhile, soaring tourist arrivals and favourable economic environment will sustain positive trends in the residential/non-residential construction segment. We maintain our cautious longer-term forecasts due to the fragile political situation and skilled labour force shortages.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
- Supported by large public investment and favourable interest rates, growth in Thailand's construction sector will remain notable over the near-term, expanding by 5.5% y-o-y in 2016 and 3.3% y-o-y in 2017.
- According to Thailand's National Economic and Social Development Board, the country's construction sector, especially the public segment, maintained robust growth in Q216. The sector expanded 7.5% q-oq, with public construction sector increasing 15.5% (y-o-y), while the private construction declined by 2.1% y-o-y in value terms.
- Thailand's construction industry will benefit from heightened private investment in the rail sector. With the government having recently awarded a contract for the Red Line project, approved two Bangkok rail
projects and put two high-speed rail projects under the PPP fast-track plan, rail will be a major driver of growth.
- In June 2016, Airports of Thailand (AoT) revealed its plans to spend THB194bn (USD5.5bn) over the next 15 years expanding its airports. The total cost of the scheme has been inflated from the previously
planned THB140bn (USD3.97bn), largely due to a revision in the expansion at Bangkok's Don Muang International Airport, according to AoT President Nitinai Sirismatthakarn.

Table Of Contents

Thailand Infrastructure Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates And Structural Trends 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Thailand 2016-2022) 7
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Thailand 2016) 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Thailand 2015-2025) 11
Structural Trends 12
Table: Thai-China Railway Project Factbox 17
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 19
Latest Updates 19
Table: Competitiveness Of Thailand's Infrastructure 20
Table: Projects Under PPP Fast-Trach Scheme 22
Table: Thailand - Railway Projects Planned (2015-2022) 23
Table: Top Five Transport Projects By Value 34
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 35
Latest Updates 35
Table: Thailand Power Development Plan 2014-2036 36
Table: Power Capacity Plans For 2015-2036 (f) 36
Table: Top Five Energy and Utilities Projects By Value 44
Residential/Non-Residential Construction - Outlook And Overview 45
Latest Updates 45
Table: Construction and Social Infrastructure Projects 50
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 51
Asia Infrastructure RRI: Muted Outlook Ahead 51
Table: Asia Risk/Reward Index 56
Thailand - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 57
Rewards 57
Risks 58
Market Overview 59
Competitive Landscape 59
Table: EQS Data 59
Table: Key Amendments in Thailand PPP Law 61
Company Profile 62
CH Karnchang 62
Siam Cement 64
Italian-Thai Development 67
Methodology 69
Industry Forecast Methodology 69
Sector-Specific Methodology 70
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 74
Sector-Specific Methodology 75
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 75
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 76

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