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  5. > Myanmar Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

Myanmar Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 74 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Myanmar's nascent yet growing oil and gas sector is set to be the subject of intense investorinterest over the coming years, with several firms having already announced their intention to establish afoothold in the country's downstream sector. Rising demand and export obligations will entail LNG imports,though any delays and cancellations to proposed projects increase risk of a gas shortage.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

- Crude oil and liquids production are forecasted to decline over the next 10 years, though a healthy projectpipeline poses upside risk over the longer term.

- Myanmar exports about 80.0% of its gas production as the previous junta government as over-contractedits gas to overseas buyers. As such, the country will require LNG imports to meet export obligations andoffset rising domestic demand.

- The government remains highly open to attracting greater foreign capital into its oil and gas (O&G)sector. Tenders to form a refined fuels import and distribution joint-venture with Myanma PetroleumProducts Enterprise (MPPE) has attracted interest from the likes of Indian Oil Corporation.

- Chinese state-owned commodities trading firm Guangdong Zhenrong Energy Company is looking tosecure approval from the newly formed democratic government for its proposal to construct a 100,000b/doil refinery in Dawei.

Table Of Contents

Myanmar Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Myanmar 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Oil and Gas SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Upstream Exploration 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Table: PSCs Signed In 2015 12
Table: Proven Oil And Gas Reserves (Myanmar 2014-2019) 12
Table: Proven Oil And Gas Reserves (Myanmar 2020-2025) 13
Upstream Projects 14
Table: Myanmar - Key Upstream Projects 14
Upstream Production - Oil 17
Latest Updates 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Oil Production (Myanmar 2014-2019) 19
Table: Oil Production (Myanmar 2020-2025) 19
Upstream Production - Gas 20
Latest Updates 20
Structural Trends 20
Table: Gas Production (Myanmar 2014-2019) 22
Table: Gas Production (Myanmar 2020-2025) 22
Refining 23
Latest Updates 23
Structural Trends 23
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Myanmar 2014-2019) 25
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Myanmar 2020-2025) 25
Refined Fuels Consumption 26
Latest Updates 26
Structural Trends 26
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Myanmar 2014-2019) 28
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Myanmar 2020-2025) 28
Gas Consumption 29
Latest Updates 29
Structural Trends 29
Table: Gas Consumption (Myanmar 2014-2019) 32
Table: Gas Consumption (Myanmar 2020-2025) 32
Trade - Oil 33
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts 33
Latest Updates 33
Structural Trends 33
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Myanmar 2014-2019) 34
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Myanmar 2020-2025) 34
Fuels Trade Forecast 35
Latest Updates 35
Structural Trends 35
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Myanmar 2014-2019) 36
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Myanmar 2020-2025) 37
Trade - (Pipeline And LNG) 38
Latest Updates 38
Structural Trends 38
Table: Gas Net Exports (Myanmar 2014-2019) 40
Table: Gas Net Exports (Myanmar 2020-2025) 41
Industry Risk Reward Index 42
Table: Asia's Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 43
Upstream Risk/Reward Index: Production Cuts Reinforce Bearish Outlook 44
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index 45
Downstream Risk/Reward Index: Refinery Developments Lift Scores For Malaysia And The Philippines 46
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 47
Myanmar - Risk/Reward Index 48
Upstream Index - Rewards 48
Upstream Index - Risks 48
Downstream Index 48
Market Overview 50
Myanmar Energy Market Overview 50
Regulatory Structure 50
Fiscal Regime 51
Table: Myanmar - Upstream Tax Regime 51
Licensing Regime 51
Table: Myanmar - Contracts and Licensing Regime (Onshore) 52
Table: Onshore PSC Production Split 52
Table: Onshore PSC Production Bonus 53
Table: Myanmar - Contracts And Licensing Regime (Offshore) 54
Table: Offshore PSC Production Split 54
Table: Offshore PSC Production Bonus 55
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 56
Table: Oil Refineries 56
Regional Overview 59
Asia Regional Overview 59
Glossary 67
Table: Glossary Of Terms 67
Methodology 69
Industry Forecast Methodology 69
Source 71
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 71
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 73
Table: Weighting 74

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