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Analysis of the GPF Market for Passenger Cars in Europe and North America

  • May 2015
  • 80 pages
  • Frost & Sullivan
Report ID: 2996437

Summary

Table of Contents

Scope

World over, regulations have been governing particulate emissions from diesel engines for some time now. Post 2015, there will emphasis on emission reduction from gasoline engines as well because of the increased uptake of the Gasoline Direct Injection (GDI) technology by all Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs). Europe leads the way in particulate emission control. Euro 6 is the first standard to impose a particulate number regulation on GDI engines. From 2017, all vehicles should emit less than 6x10 raised to 11 particles/km. To achieve this, some vehicles will require an exhaust after-treatment system such as a Gasoline Particulate Filter (GPF). This study provides an in-depth analysis of the GPF market in Europe and North America.World over, regulations have been governing particulate emissions from diesel engines for some time now. Post 2015, there will emphasis on emission reduction from gasoline engines as well because of the increased uptake of the Gasoline Direct Injection (GDI) technology by all Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs). Europe leads the way in particulate emission control. Euro 6 is the first standard to impose a particulate number regulation on GDI engines. From 2017, all vehicles should emit less than 6x10 raised to 11 particles/km. To achieve this, some vehicles will require an exhaust after-treatment system such as a Gasoline Particulate Filter (GPF). This study provides an in-depth analysis of the GPF market in Europe and North America.

Executive Summary

Around xx – % penetration of Gasoline Particulate Filters (GPFs) in the Gasoline Direct Injection (GDI) portfolio by 2020.

Key Findings

- Current emission regulations, globally, do not warrant a GPF at least until 2017 when Euro 6(c) will be implemented. However, some OEMs will start integrating GPFs into their GDI vehicles even before 2017. Daimler is leading the way in GPF adoption with its 2014 Mercedes-Benz S-500 being the first passenger car to be equipped with a GPF.
- Western Europe will lead in the adoption of GPF, accounting for xx -% of the total GPF installation by 2020. This is primarily due to the 6x1011 particles/km regulation which will be brought into effect by Euro 6(c) norms in 2017. Prospective implementation of a 1mg/mile particulate emission regulation by the US Environment Protection Agency (EPA), closer to 2020 will increase the uptake in North America to about xx – % of the total volume. Volumes in Eastern Europe will remain very limited and will account for less than xx % of total GPF installations.
- The Volkswagen group is expected to lead in terms of volumes, accounting for about xx – % of the total volumes, followed by its German peers, Daimler and BMW, each accounting for xx – %. American OEMs, Ford and GM, will account for xx – % and xx – % of the total GPF volume, respectively.
- The cost of a GPF is estimated to be between $ xx –$ xx and is currently perceived as a restraint, while the Euro 6 emission norms are driving GDI uptake. (Note: The above costs are estimates for a stand-alone GPF on a L GDI engine)
- B- and C-segment vehicles have the highest adoption rate with around xx – % of the total volume of installation split among them by 2020. D-segment vehicles account for xx – %, while SUVs account for around xx – % of the total volume.

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