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Italy Retail Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 61 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The recovery in Italy's retail sector will remain slow and fragile. Over the short term,consumers will benefit from the disinflationary environment, government tax cuts and low interest rates.However, the difficult labour market situation and tepid economic expansion will prevent any meaningfulgrowth in household spending over 2016.

Key Views & Developments

- According to the latest data released by Italian National Institute for Statistics (Istat), the seasonallyadjusted retail index (measuring the monthly evolution of the turnover at current prices of enterpriseswith retail sale outlets) remained unchanged in January 2016 as compared to the previous month. Theadjusted three-month average index value decreased by 0.1%.

- Disinflationary pressures from lower commodity prices will continue to support real wages anddisposable incomes in Italy, boosting the outlook for consumption. Property tax cuts will have a similareffect, especially given high levels of home ownership, while European Central Bank easing continues toput downward pressure on borrowing costs.

Table Of Contents

Italy Retail Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Italy 2013-2020) 12
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Italy 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Italy 2013-2020) 14
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Italy 2013-2020) 16
Retail Sector Forecast 18
Food, Drink and Tobacco 20
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Italy 2013-2020) 20
Clothing and Footwear 21
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Italy 2013-2020) 21
Household Goods 22
Table: Household Goods Spending (Italy 2013-2020) 22
Table: Consumer Electronics Spending (Italy 2013-2020) 24
Personal Care 24
Table: Personal Care Spending (Italy 2013-2020) 25
Household Numbers and Income Forecast 26
Table: Household Income Data (Italy 2013-2020) 28
Demographic Forecast 30
Table: Total Population (Italy 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Babies (Italy 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Young Children (Italy 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Children (Italy 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Italy 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Young People (Italy 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Italy 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Italy 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Young Adults (Italy 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Italy 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Urban (Italy 2013-2020) 35
Industry Risk/Reward Index 36
Developed States Risk/Reward Index 36
Table: Developed States Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q316 36
Italy Risk/Reward Index 37
Rewards 37
Risks 38
Market Overview 40
Competitive Landscape 45
Clothing and Footwear 45
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers 45
Household Goods 46
Table: Selected Household Goods Retailers 46
Electronics 46
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 46
E-Commerce 47
Table: Selected E-commerce Retailers 47
Pharmacies 47
Table: Selected Pharmacies Retailers 47
Glossary 48
Methodology 55
Industry Forecast Methodology 55
Sources 58
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 58
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 59
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 61

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