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  5. > Mozambique Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

Mozambique Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 92 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: FID delays, falling oil and gas prices, costs and infrastructure constraints are challenges thecountry will face as it moves to develop its massive offshore gas resources. While the timing of first LNG isparticularly difficult to pinpoint, notably for the onshore terminal, we expect Mozambique to make itspresence felt in the global LNG market by early/mid next decade.

-The success of Mozambique's fifth licensing round, in the face of a broader industry downturn, showsincreased confidence in the country's petroleum sector and a commitment to tap its rich gasresources. Exploration and development will proceed slowly, however, awaiting export projects tomaterialise and a recovery in oil and gas prices.

-In Q116, ExxonMobil is reportedly in talks to buy a 15% stake in Eni's offshore Area 4 gas field. Enicurrently holds a 50% stake in the block. The interest from Exxon reaffirms increased confidence that theoffshore projects will go ahead.

-In February 2016, the Government of Mozambique's Council of Ministers approved Eni's developmentplans for its Coral FLNG development. The approval relates to the first phase of development of 5 trillioncubic feet of gas in the Coral discovery. The development plan is the first to be approved in the RovumaBasin and foresees the drilling and completion of six subsea wells and the construction and installation ofthe Coral FLNG.

Table Of Contents

Mozambique Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Mozambique 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Upstream Exploration 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Offshore Exploration 13
Table: Mozambique Offshore Gas Exploration and Appraisal Activity 13
Onshore 16
Upstream Projects 19
Table: Mozambique Major Upstream Projects 19
Upstream Production - Oil 21
Latest Updates 21
Structural Trends 21
Table: Oil Production (Mozambique 2014-2019) 23
Table: Oil Production (Mozambique 2020-2025) 23
Upstream Production - Gas 24
Latest Updates 24
Structural Trends 25
Table: Eni Mozambique FLNG Projects 28
Table: Gas Production (Mozambique 2014-2019) 32
Table: Gas Production (Mozambique 2020-2025) 33
Refining 34
Latest Updates 34
Structural Trends 34
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Mozambique 2014-2019) 37
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Mozambique 2020-2025) 37
Refined Fuels Consumption 38
Latest Updates 38
Structural Trends 38
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Mozambique 2014-2019) 38
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Mozambique 2020-2025) 39
Gas Consumption 40
Latest Updates 40
Structural Trends 40
Table: Gas Consumption (Mozambique 2014-2019) 43
Table: Gas Consumption (Mozambique 2020-2025) 43
Trade - Oil 44
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts 44
Latest Updates 44
Structural Trends 44
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Mozambique 2014-2020) 45
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Mozambique 2020-2025) 46
Refined Fuels Trade Forecasts 46
Latest Updates 46
Structural Trends 46
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Mozambique 2014-2019) 48
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Mozambique 2020-2025) 48
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) 49
Latest Updates 49
Structural Trends 49
Table: Gas Net Exports (Mozambique 2014-2019) 52
Table: Gas Net Exports (Mozambique 2020-2025) 52
Industry Risk Reward Index 53
Africa - Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 53
Table: BMI Africa Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 53
Above-Ground Risks Dulling Below-Ground Potential 56
Table: BMI Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index 56
Downstream Sector Holds Limited Opportunity 59
Table: BMI Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index 59
Mozambique - Risk/Reward Index 61
Market Overview 63
Mozambique Energy Market Overview 63
Regulatory Structure 63
Special Regime For Offshore Areas 1 And 4 65
Fiscal Regime 68
Table: Mozambique Fiscal Regime 69
Licensing Regime 69
Table: Mozambique Licensing Regime According To Draft Bill 69
Oil and Gas Infrastructure 70
Company Profile 72
Anadarko Petroleum 72
Table: Major Upstream Assets In Mozambique 73
Table: Key Financial Data (USDmn) 73
Eni East Africa 74
Table: Major Upstream Assets in Mozambique 75
Table: Key Financial Data (USDmn) 75
Regional Overview 76
Africa - Bullish Gas, Bearish Oil 76
Table: Africa Oil and Gas Production, Consumption, Refining Capacity And Trade 84
Glossary 85
Table: Glossary Of Terms 85
Methodology 87
Industry Forecast Methodology 87
Source 89
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 89
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 91
Table: Weighting 92

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