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New Mega Trends in India

  • May 2015
  • -
  • Frost & Sullivan
  • -
  • 145 pages

Macro to Micro Implications to Businesses, People, and Society

This study provides an insight into the key Mega Trends in India that will impact and shape the country’s economy, society, and culture. Understanding these pertinent macroeconomic forces is important to identify the inherent future opportunities and the needs of the customer. For the purpose of this study, Mega Trends are categorized into urbanization, social, economy, technology, energy, eMobility, infrastructure, business, health and wellness, political shift, new business models, and industry-specific trends. This study also highlights illustrations of projects, companies, and technologies that will invade and change the business ecosystem of the country in the next decade.

Key Findings
While India will witness a high growth in population on one side, great progress will be witnessed in the area of connectivity. It is anticipated that around billion devices would be connected in 2025. This will not only include mobile phones and tablets but also other connected devices, such as smart TVs.

India’s digital economy will explode with the proliferation of devices, and estimates for India’s Internet economy (as measured by total ICT spending) to be $ billion in 2020. The Internet economy will account for nearly % of the country’s gross domestic product (GDP).

Online retail will emerge as one of the fastest growing industries in India, with a market potential of $ billion by 2025 that accounts for nearly % of total retail. This growth will compel many retailers to move from a ‘bricks’ model to a ‘bricks and clicks’ model that amalgamates online channels with brick and mortar stores.

India will emerge as a reliable and affordable satellite launch service provider and manufacturer for the world. India can deliver a satellite in approximately months, against the global average of months. By 2020, India will launch satellites, space missions, and launch vehicles.

Mobile apps downloads in India will reach billion apps by 2020. Key mobile-based industries such as mobile banking and governance in India would benefit as a result, with a consolidated value of $ billion by 2020.

India's GDP will reach $ trillion by 2020, but holds the potential to reach nearly $ trillion if investments and manufacturing growth are more aggressive than expected. In the aggressive growth scenario, India could displace the UK and become the 5th largest economy by 2025 from its current position as 10th.

India will gradually shift from a services-based economy to an industry-driven economy by 2025 with increased contribution from industries and the manufacturing sector. India’s manufacturing sector, in terms of gross value added to GDP (at the current growth rate), could reach $ billion by 2022 and contribute % to GDP.

Maharashtra would account for % of the country's total GDP, and the top states will account for % of country's GDP in 2020.

India is expected to become one of the global leaders (top 5) in at least big markets of the future. It will be the 5th largest exporter in the globe and the largest manufacturer of chemicals. It will be also become the largest consumer market for luxury goods and technology services, such as direct-to-home TV and mobile apps.

India will become the 3rd largest automotive market by 2025, with nearly million car sales during the period. It will become the major manufacturing hub for cars in Asia with the likes of Hyundai expanding manufacturing in India. Three out of two-wheelers will be an electric vehicle.

Table Of Contents

New Mega Trends in India
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Executive Summary
Key Findings
Rise of Connected Devices in India
Connected Devices and India's Internet Economy
Mobile Economy—Growth in Mobile Based Industries in India
India GDP Projections—India Needs to Grow at 10% per Annum
India's Race to Superpower—5th Largest by 2020 if Growth Accelerates
India Inc—India's Industrial Growth Forecast
India in the Industry League Table—The Future Big Industries of India
Smart City Investment
Indian Infrastructure—An Estimated Trillion Dollar Investment
eRetailing Landscape in India
The Middle Bulge
Working Age Demographic Dividend
Aging India
Four Main Trends in Urbanisation
India Urbanization Rate
India Future Energy Mix
Renewables—Future of Renewables Availability in India
Healthcare Market Outlook for India
Future Innovation in Mobility to Focus on the “Wild” Side

2. RESEARCH SCOPE, OBJECTIVE, AND METHODOLOGY

Research Scope, Objective, and Methodology
Research Scope
Research Aims and Objectives
Research Background
Research Methodology—From Macro to Micro
Definitions Used in the Study

3. MEGA TREND 1—CONNECTIVITY AND CONVERGENCE

Mega Trend 1—Connectivity and Convergence
Rise of Connected Devices in India
Connected Devices and India's Internet Economy
India Mobile Apps Economy
Mobile Economy—Growth in Mobile Based Industries in India
Space Jam
Big Data Explosion
Big Data and the Indian Analytics Software Market

4. MEGA TREND 2—BRICKS AND CLICKS

Mega Trend 2—Bricks and Clicks
eRetailing Landscape in India
India Online Retail Audience
India Online Shopping Preferences
Online Hypermarkets See Cash-on-Delivery Trump Online Payments
What is Bricks and Clicks?
Bricks and Clicks Models Currently Being Adopted in India
Online Hypermarkets—Valuation Boom
Smaller Stores—Urbanization Compelling Retailers to Shrink Store Sizes
Mobile Omni-channel Links—Emerging Applications
Online Social Commerce Business Models in India
Integration of Social Media and Retailing
Click and Collect Omni-channel Model

5. MEGA TREND 3—SOCIAL TRENDS

Mega Trend 3—Social Trends
Social Trends in India
The Middle Bulge
Wealth Pyramid
Working Age Demographic Dividend
Aging India
Polar Family Structures—Multi-generational vs. Single Households

6. MEGA TREND 4—ECONOMIC TRENDS

Mega Trend 4—Economic Trends
India GDP Projections—India Needs to Grow at 10% per Annum
India's Race to Superpower—5th Largest by 2020 if Growth Accelerates
India GDP by Sector—Industrial Output Contests Services Growth
Top 10 States Contributing to India GDP in 2010 and 2020
India as Global Manufacturing Hub—The Competitive Advantage
Emerging Manufacturing Trends in India
India Inc—India's Industrial Growth Forecast
India in the Industry League Table—The Future Big Industries of India

7. MEGA TREND 5—URBANIZATION

Mega Trend 5—Urbanization
Four Main Trends in Urbanisation
India Urbanization Rate
Mega Regions in 2025 and Beyond
Mega Connection
Mega Corridor Case Study
Urbanization Percolates to Rural Areas—Rurbanization
Unacknowledged Urbanization in Villages
Mega Slums—Case Study Dharavi

8. MEGA TREND 6—SMART IS THE NEW GREEN WITH SMART CITIES

Mega Trend 6—Smart is the New Green with Smart Cities
Smart City Investment
India Plans for Smart Cities

9. MEGA TREND 7—INNOVATING TO ZERO

Mega Trend 7—Innovating to Zero
Examples of Innovating to Zero
Power of Shunya (Zero)—Examples of Innovating to Zero in India
Macro-to-micro Implications of Innovating to Zero

10. MEGA TREND 8—NEW BUSINESS MODELS: VALUE FOR MANY

Mega Trend 8—New Business Models: Value for Many
New Business Models—Value for Many
Example of 'Value for Many' Business Models
“Value for Many” to Replace “Value for Money”
New Business Models—Global Vehicle Platforms
Macro-to-micro Implications of New Business Models

11. MEGA TREND 9—FUTURE OF INFRASTRUCTURE

Mega Trend 9—Future of Infrastructure
Indian Infrastructure—An Estimated Trillion Dollar Investment
Infrastructure Funding Mechanisms
Investment in Mass Transit Facilities by 2020
Future Transport Infrastructure Plans
Future Airport Modernization Plans
Port Development Initiatives—Below Par Performance

12. MEGA TREND 10—FUTURE OF ENERGY AND RESOURCES

Mega Trend 10—Future of Energy and Resources
India's Future Energy Mix
Liquids—Future of Oil Availability in India
Natural Gas—Future of Gas Availability in India
CNG Infrastructure—Proposed/Under Construction Pipelines
Fuel Prices
Renewables—Future of Renewables Availability in India
Future of Water in India
Future of Food in India

13. MEGA TREND 11—HEALTH, WELLNESS, AND WELLBEING

Mega Trend 11—Health, Wellness, and Wellbeing
Healthcare Market Outlook for India
Growth Avenues for Segments
Growth Avenues for Segments—Healthcare Information Technology
Growth Avenues for Segments—Current Level of IT Adoption in Indian Hospitals
Emerging Cloud-based Delivery of Healthcare

14. MEGA TREND 12—FUTURE OF MOBILITY

Mega Trend 12—Future of Mobility
India's Mobility Trends
Car Sharing—Alternative to Owning a Car
Ride Sharing—Alternative to Local Trains
Ridesharing Market in India
Ola and Uber—Middle-class India's New Ride
Quadricycles—Replacing Autos
Car Sales Forecast
Indian Car Market
Opportunity Pyramid 2014
Opportunity Pyramid 2020

15. CONCLUSION

Conclusion
From Macro to Micro—Taking Mega Trends from Information to Strategy Implementation
Mega Trend Matrix—Understanding Implications of Key Mega Trends on the Indian Economy
Macro to Micro—Impact of Mega Trends on Cities, Businesses, and Personal Lives in India
Legal Disclaimer

16. APPENDIX

Appendix
Research Methodology for India's Income Pyramid—Poverty Line
Research Methodology for India's Income Pyramid—Income Slabs and Estimates
Transport Corridor in India
Mega Corridors in India
Innovating to Zero in India
Noida to be a 'Zero Discharge' City by 2021—Case Study
Forecasts of Electric Cars in India
Product Life Cycle Analysis

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