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France Retail Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 61 pages

BMI View:

French households are due to see a nice recovery in spending over 2016, as consumer confidence rises and concerns about the labour market ease. These improvements will be marginal but
given the overall sluggish growth of the past few years, it is a positive sign for retailers. This therefore will not translate immediately into a rush for high-priced goods and luxury products, as consumers will remain cautious. Discounters and staples will continue to outperform in this environment.


Key Views & Developments
- Leading French MGR chains are joining forces to gain leverage in price negotiations through buying partnerships. Auchan and Metro Group upgraded their agreement to cover negotiations at a local level. Similarly, Louis Delhaize and Carrefour entered a partnership in September 2015 to cover most of product categories on offer.
- Qatari Mayhoola investment fund is set to acquire French luxury fashion label Balmain for close to EUR500mn (USD563mn), sources close to the deal said in June 2016.

Table Of Contents

France Retail Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT 9
Retail SWOT . 9
Industry Forecast .. 11
Headline Retail Forecast .. 11
Table: Total Household Spending (France 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (France 2013-2020) . 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (France 2013-2020) . 15
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (France 2013-2020) . 16
Retail Sector Forecast .. 18
Food, Drink and Tobacco .. 19
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (France 2013-2020) 19
Clothing And Footwear ... 20
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (France 2013-2020) . 20
Household Goods ... 21
Table: Household Goods Spending (France 2013-2020) . 21
Table: Consumer Electronics Spending (France 2013-2020) 23
Personal Care ... 23
Table: Personal Care Spending (France 2013-2020) 24
Household Numbers and Income Forecast 25
Table: Household Income Data (France 2013-2020) 26
Table: Labour Market Data (France 2013-2020) 29
Demographic Forecast . 29
Table: Total Population (France 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Babies (France 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Young Children (France 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Children (France 2013-2020) . 33
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (France 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Young People (France 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (France 2013-2020) . 34
Table: Population: 21yrs + (France 2013-2020) . 34
Table: Population: Young Adults (France 2013-2020) . 34
Table: Population: Middle Aged (France 2013-2020) . 35
Table: Population: Urban (France 2013-2020) 35
Industry Risk/Reward Index . 36
Developed States Risk/Reward Index ... 36
Table: Developed States Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q316 . 36
France - Risk/Reward Index .. 37
Rewards ... 37
Risks 38
Market Overview ... 40
Competitive Landscape 44
Clothing and Footwear .. 44
Table: Selected Clothing and Footwear Retailers 44
Household Goods ... 45
Table: Selected Household Goods Retailers 45
Electronics ... 46
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers . 46
Department Stores .. 46
Table: Selected Department Stores . 46
E-commerce .. 47
Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers . 47
Pharmacies ... 47
Table: Selected Pharmaceutical Retailers 47
Glossary . 48
Methodology .. 55
Industry Forecast Methodology 55
Sources 58
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 58
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 59
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 61

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