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Italy Petrochemicals Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 81 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The Italian petrochemicals industry is completing a process of transition to more high-value,lower-volume production that should help boost commercial viability in the long run. It will capitalise on its strength in elastomers with export-led growth in the country's automotive sector stimulating growth fortyres. However, Italian producers such as Versalis are increasingly looking to markets in Asia for growthand there may be limited interest in investing locally.In Q116, primary plastic output fell 7.9% y-o-y, while the output of plastic products grew 3.5% and rubberproducts rose 2.0%. The sharp decline in primary plastic came in January, but by the end of the quarter hadrecovered to more typical levels, indicating that this was not indicative of a trend. Any decline in primaryplastic production restricts the local availability of raw material for plastic products and as such imports ofbasic polymers grew in Q116 to compensate for the deficit.Petrochemicals production in 2016 will continue to be supported by the operation of the 490,000tpa PortoMarghera cracker. With naphtha prices at a low level, the cracker has resumed and sustained operationshaving been scheduled for closure. Versalis uses the propylene from Porto Marghera captively to produceethylene propylene diene monomer (EPDM) rubber and sells the rest on the market. However, we believethe future of the plant could still be called into question should naphtha prices bounce back as a result of arecovery in Brent crude prices. This would, in turn, affect the operations of downstream plants.

Table Of Contents

Italy Petrochemicals Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 9
Economic 10
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 13
Table: Italy Petrochemical Sector Forecasts 16
Macroeconomic Forecast 20
Economic Analysis 20
Industry Risk/Reward Index 26
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 26
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100) 30
Italy Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 31
Market Overview 32
Table: Italy Petrochemical Sector - Cracker Capacity Data 34
Industry Trends And Developments 35
Refining 38
Company Profile 40
Versalis 40
Table: Versalis Financial Results 44
Eni 46
LyondellBasell 51
Table: LyondellBasell: Global Financial Results (USDmn) 52
Regional Overview 53
Table: Northwest European Cracker Outages 56
Table: Europe Polymer Plant Turnarounds 56
Global Industry Overview 64
Demographic Forecast 71
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Italy 1990-2025) 72
Table: Key Population Ratios (Italy 1990-2025) 72
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Italy 1990-2025) 73
Table: Population By Age Group (Italy 1990-2025) 73
Table: Population By Age Group % (Italy 1990-2025) 74
Glossary 76
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 76
Methodology 77
Industry Forecast Methodology 77
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 79
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 80
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 81

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