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Thailand Retail Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 62 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: A recovering economy is already helping to boost incomes, particularly in urban areas. This inturn is supporting strong growth in demand for luxury and non-essential items. However, income inequalityis rising, and many rural dwellers remain on very low incomes. We therefore expect most retailopportunities to be confined to the urban areas, in particular the capital, Bangkok, where many retailsegments are already relatively developed.

Key Developments And BMI Forecasts

- We forecast that the Thai population will increase from 68.1mn in 2016 to 68.6mn by 2020. However, thepopulation is ageing, with younger demographics set to decline steadily, which is bad news for retailerswho seek to target aspirational consumers with higher incomes.

- While almost 50% of the population live rurally, and due to location and income are thus less accessibleto modern retailers, we see the urbanisation rate gradually increasing, with 55.8% of the population set tolive in urban areas by 2020.

Table Of Contents

Thailand Retail Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 12
Headline Retail Forecast 12
Latest Updates 12
Structural Trends 12
Table: Total Household Spending (Thailand 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Thailand 2013-2020) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of GDP (Thailand 2013-2020) 15
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Thailand 2013-2020) 16
Retail Sub-Sector Forecast 19
Latest Updates 19
Structural Trends 19
Food, Drink And Tobacco 20
Table: Food, Drink And Tobacco Spending (Thailand 2013-2020) 21
Clothing And Footwear 21
Table: Clothing And Footwear Spending (Thailand 2013-2020) 22
Household Goods 22
Table: Household Goods Spending (Thailand 2013-2020) 22
Table: Consumer Electronics Spending (Thailand 2013-2020) 24
Personal Care 24
Table: Personal Care Spending (Thailand 2013-2020) 25
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 26
Latest Updates 26
Structural Trends 27
Table: Household Income Data (Thailand 2013-2020) 27
Table: Labour Market Data (Thailand 2013-2020) 30
Demographic Forecast 31
Latest Updates 31
Structural Trends 31
Table: Total Population (Thailand 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Babies (Thailand 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Young Children (Thailand 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Children (Thailand 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Young Teens And Older Children (Thailand 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Young People (Thailand 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Thailand 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: 21 Years Plus (Thailand 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Young Adults (Thailand 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Thailand 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Urban/Rural (Thailand 2013-2020) 36
Industry Risk/Reward Index 37
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index 37
Table: Asia Pacific Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q316 37
Industry Risk/Reward Index 38
Rewards 38
Risks 39
Market Overview 40
Latest Updates 40
Department Stores 40
Shopping Centres 40
Clothing And Footwear 41
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement 41
Electronics 41
Pharmacies And Drugstores 42
E-Commerce And Online Marketplaces 42
Competitive Landscape 44
Clothing And Footwear 44
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers 44
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement 45
Table: Selecetd Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers 45
Electronics 45
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 45
Pharmacies And Drugstores 46
Table: Selected Pharmacies And Drugstores 46
Department Stores 47
Table: Selected Department Stores 47
E-Commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces 48
Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces 48
Glossary 49
Methodology 56
Industry Forecast Methodology 56
Sources 59
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 59
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 60
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 62

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