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The Global Future of Work—The Future Labor Force

  • June 2015
  • -
  • Frost & Sullivan
  • -
  • 78 pages

Impending Demographic Shifts are Shaping 2025's Labor Outlook

The Global Future of Work—The Future Labor Force investigates emerging Mega Trends shaping 2025's labor market outlook. Analysis includes social implications, such as the size and composition of the future labor force; economic implications, such as wage and benefits comparisons; and political implications, such as international labor goals and historical migration trends. Other key topics include millennials and female participation in the future labor force, as well as predictions for how artificial intelligence and automation will affect job availability. Sector scenarios examine employment share trends, and overviews are provided for developed and developing economies. The study period is from 2015 to 2025.

Key Findings

The global labor force will comprise approximately billion people in 2025, with Generation X accounting for over one-fourth of the labor force and millennials almost half.
Aging populations will greatly affect Japan and many Western European countries, increasing dependence on female and immigrant labor, as well as on automation.

The number of freelancers in the labor market will grow because of Internet- and mobile-based employment models, and employers will rely more on hybridized
labor pools to meet labor shortages. Aging populations will greatly influence 2025’s labor market, extending retirement ages, potentially creating labor shortages,
and increasing the older-age population burden for prime-age workers.

Global competition over high-skill laborers is forcing some countries to rewrite immigration policies and other countries to incentivize talent retention. These trends
will intensify through 2025.

Table Of Contents

The Global Future of Work—The Future Labor Force
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Executive Summary
The Future Global Labor Force—Key Findings
Scope of Study—Trend, Economy, and Sector Coverage in the Future Labor Force
List of Definitions
List of Acronyms and Abbreviations

2. SOCIAL TRENDS DRIVING THE FUTURE LABOR FORCE

Social Trends Driving the Future Labor Force
Social Trends—Key Findings
The Global Labor Force Will Grow, while Participation Rates Decline
An Aging Population Will Mean Postponing Retirement
Aging Trends Will Disproportionately Affect Developed Economies
The Generational Divide Positions Millennials as 2025's Labor Leaders
The Regional Generational Divide Will Favor APAC
Women Will Hold Greater Influence in the Global Labor Force
The Female Labor Force Will Grow Almost Universally
Labor Supply and Demand Must Adjust to Global Economic Shifts
Skills Demand Must be Met through Domestic Educational Attainment
New Universal Literacies Will Respond to Technology's Ubiquity
Future Workforce Learning Will Adapt to Many Perspectives
Talent Retention Will Face Values- and Tech-related Challenges
“Macro-to-micro”—Strategic Recommendations and Predictions

3. ECONOMIC TRENDS DRIVING THE FUTURE LABOR FORCE

Economic Trends Driving the Future Labor Force
Economic Trends—Key Findings
Pay and Payroll Evolution Will Correlate with Mobile Technology Use
Remote Models Will Present Even Greater Employment Options
Crowdsourcing Models Will Permeate More Organizational Functions
Minimum Wages Will Continue to Spur National and Global Debates
US Employees Will Gain from Transparency in Benefit Spend
Global Benefits Will Standardize Some but Mostly Stay Varied
AI, Automation, and the Value of Labor—An Optimistic Scenario
AI, Automation, and the Value of Labor—A Neutral Scenario
AI, Automation, and the Value of Labor—A Pessimistic Scenario
“Macro-to-micro”—Strategic Recommendations and Predictions

4. POLITICAL TRENDS DRIVING THE FUTURE LABOR FORCE

Political Trends Driving the Future Labor Force
Political Trends—Key Findings
UN Labor Influence Supports Gender and Global Economic Parity
G20 Labor Influence Emphasizes Innovation, Education, and Mobility
Immigration Trends Reveal Post-millennium Pattern Shifts
Emigration Trends Reveal an Increasing Europe-APAC Exchange
High- and Medium-skill Employment Shares Post Inverse Projections
Low-skill Share Growth Will be Greater in Developing Economies
Reverse Migrations Will Increase as Developing Economies Advance
Digital Nomads Represent the Future of Working Remote
Unions Will Adapt to Digital Work Communities or Risk Obsolescence
Regulating IP Will Top International Priority Lists through 2025
“Macro-to-micro”—Strategic Recommendations and Predictions

5. SNAPSHOTS OF THE FUTURE LABOR FORCE IN DEVELOPED AND DEVELOPING ECONOMIES

Snapshots of the Future Labor Force in Developed and Developing Economies
Snapshots of Economies—Key Findings
Developed Economies Will Have Lower Medium-skill Labor Shares
A Deeper Dive—Japan Typifies Developed Economies
Developing Economies Will Have Greater Routine Labor Shares
A Deeper Dive—India Reflects Key Concerns of Developing Economies
“Macro-to-micro”—Strategic Recommendations and Predictions

6. SECTOR SCENARIOS

Sector Scenarios
Sector Scenarios—Key Findings
Agricultural Sector Employment Share Will Decline Globally
Industrial Sector Employment Share Holds Mixed Growth Projections
Services Sector Employment Share Will Increase Globally
“Macro-to-micro”—Strategic Recommendations and Predictions

7. THE LAST WORD

The Last Word
The Last Word—3 Big Predictions
Legal Disclaimer

8. APPENDIX

Appendix
Full List of Slide Titles
List of Countries Grouped by Economy Type or Organization
List of Countries Grouped by Region
Full List of Subsectors by Economic Sector
Overview of Employer and Employee Benefit Trends in Argentina
Overview of Employer and Employee Benefit Trends in China
Overview of Employer and Employee Benefit Trends in Germany
Overview of Employer and Employee Benefit Trends in India

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