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  3. > The 48v Power-net Market in Europe and North America

The 48v Power-net Market in Europe and North America

  • June 2015
  • -
  • Frost & Sullivan
  • -
  • 113 pages

Porting Power-hungry Applications to 48v Boosts Performance and Drops CO2 Emissions up to 15%

OEMs are looking for various means to reduce the CO2 emissions required for 2020 and 2025. The 12v power-net can no longer sustain the electrical load that present day top-end vehicles use. Any new addition to the electrical load will require an increase to the power-net capacity, so OEMs are considering migrating to a 48v power-net thereby using 2 voltages. The 48v power-net also manages to reduce vehicle weight, thereby reducing fuel consumption and CO2 emissions. Heavy-duty functions are expected to port to the new 48v power-net. This study investigates the current and future market for 48v power-net in the passenger vehicle market including adoption challenges. The study period is 2014 to 2025 while the forecast period is 2017 to 2025.

Research Aims and Objectives

Aim
The aim of this study is to research, analyze, and forecast 48v vehicle platform strategies of key global OEMs and their impact on the whole automotive value chain.

Objectives
- Provide a strategic overview of the 48v market which includes key technology trends and market drivers and restraints for 48v.
- Provide 48v market size and forecasts by type of segment, OEM, and application from 2017 to 2025.
- Provide key challenges to be overcome before the launch of 48v power-net.
- Analyze key innovations from suppliers and key industry participants.

Research Methodology
Research Methodology: Frost & Sullivan’s research services are based on secondary and primary research data.
Secondary Research: Extraction of information from existing reports and project material within the Frost & Sullivan database include data and information gathered from technical papers, specialized magazines, seminars, and Internet research.
Primary Research: More than interviews have been conducted over the phone by senior consultants/industry analysts with original equipment suppliers, regulation authorities and distributors. Primary research has accounted for % of the total research.

Table Of Contents

The 48v Power-net Market in Europe and North America
Executive Summary
Key Findings
Key Findings and Future Outlook

2. RESEARCH SCOPE, OBJECTIVES, BACKGROUND, AND METHODOLOGY

Research Scope, Objectives, Background, and Methodology
Research Scope
Research Aims and Objectives
Key Questions this Study will Answer
Research Background
Research Methodology
Key Participant Groups Compared in this Study

3. DEFINITIONS AND SEGMENTATION

Definitions and Segmentation
System Segmentation
Definitions of Voltage Architectures for Passenger Vehicles
Vehicle Segmentation

4. BACKGROUND AND OVERVIEW OF ALTERNATIVE VOLTAGE DEVELOPMENTS

Background and Overview of Alternative Voltage Developments
Power Demand Exposing Drawbacks of 12v
Market for Dedicated 42v as of Early 2000s
Global Hot Spots for 48v
Emission Regulations Roadmap—Europe
Emission Regulations Roadmap—North America

5. NEED FOR 48V

Need for 48v
Benefits of 48v at a Module Level
Benefits of 48v Pulse Width Modulation (PWM) Micro-Hybrids over 12v
Optimum Operational Voltage Level for Dual-voltage Power-net
Impact of Automated Driving on Electric and Electronics Architecture
Business Case for 48v—Need for Dual Voltage Architecture
Impact Analysis of 48v
Impact Analysis of 48v Explained
Summary of Possible 48v Application

6. TECHNOLOGY OVERVIEW

Technology Overview
Current Day Single Voltage System Arrangement
Possible Configurations for a Dual Voltage System Arrangement
Possible Multi-voltage System Base Architecture
Alternative Multi-voltage System for Hybrid Vehicles
Electric and Electronics (E/E) Architecture
System Architecture—Belt-driven Starter Generator (BSG)
System Architecture—Integrated Motor Generator
Comparative Analysis of Different Applications on Different Voltages
Summary of Technology Trends

7. BATTERY CHEMISTRIES

Battery Chemistries
Battery Requirements from Different Types of Vehicles
Lead-based Battery
Lithium-based Batteries
Nickel-based Batteries
Sodium-based Batteries
Suitability Matrix for 48v Application
Summary of Future Trends in Select Battery Chemistries

8. COMMUNICATION PROTOCOLS FOR 48V

Communication Protocols for 48v
Communication Protocol Overview with Cost Implications
Communication Protocol—Explained
Summary of Possible Communication Protocols for Dual Voltage

9. MARKET OVERVIEW

Market Overview
Technology Roadmap
Road to Electrification and Untapped Opportunities
Application Migration Plan

10. DRIVERS AND RESTRAINTS—TOTAL 48V MARKET

Drivers and Restraints—Total 48v Market
Market Drivers
Drivers Explained
Market Restraints
Restraints Explained

11. MARKET POTENTIAL AND OEM STRATEGY

Market Potential and OEM Strategy
Market Roadmap
Unit Shipment Scenario Analysis for Europe
Unit Shipment Scenario Analysis for North America
Forecast Scenario Assumptions to 2025
Year-on-Year 48v Adoption Forecast—Europe
Market Breakdown Discussion by Vehicle Segment
Year-on-Year 48v Adoption Forecast—North America
Market Breakdown Discussion by Vehicle Segment
Revenue Forecast
Revenue Forecast Discussion
Pricing Trends and Forecast
Pricing Trends and Forecast Discussion
Cost-Benefit Analysis—Correlation between Cost and CO2 Reduction
Top-level Analysis of Cost Implications on Premium Vehicles (in Euros)
Technology Spend for CO2 Reduction—Small Segments
Cost Reduction Roadmap for Technologies Involved in First Wave

12. KEY OEM ACTIVITY

Key OEM Activity
OEM Activity—Audi
OEM Activity—BMW
OEM Activity—Ford
OEM Activity—Hyundai
OEM Activity—Mercedes-Benz
OEM Activity—PSA
OEM Activity—Renault-Nissan
OEM Activity—Toyota
OEM Activity—Volkswagen
OEM Benchmarking At-a-Glance

13. KEY SUPPLIER ANALYSIS

Key Supplier Analysis
Supplier Analysis—Bosch Automotive
Best Practice Case Study—Bosch's Boost Recuperative System
Supplier Analysis—Continental Automotive
Supplier Analysis—CPT
Supplier Analysis—Hella
Supplier Analysis—Johnson Controls Inc. (JCI)
Supplier Analysis—Lear Corporation
Supplier Analysis—Schaeffler
Supplier Analysis—TÜV SÜD
Supplier Analysis—Valeo
Supplier Benchmarking

14. CONCLUSIONS AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

Conclusions and Future Outlook
Key Conclusions and Recommendations
The Last Word—3 Big Predictions
Legal Disclaimer

15. APPENDIX

Appendix
Market Engineering Methodology

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