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Spain Retail Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 59 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We forecast only small growth in total household spending in 2016, as consumer confidence isstill weighed down by slow economic recovery and high unemployment. However, over the rest of ourforecast period to 2020 growth will pick up strongly, with total household spending reaching USD1,015.9bnin 2020, up from USD744.3bn in 2016. Housing and utilities, food and transport will continue to accountfor the lion's share of spending, as non-essentials spending is held back by economic uncertainty.

Key Views And Developments

- In February 2016 retail sales rose by 4.1% y-o-y, on an adjusted basis, according to the InstitutoNacaional de Estadística (INE), followed by 4.4% growth in March, the 20th straight month of growth ina row.

- Spanish GDP growth is expected to come in at 2.5% in 2016, before averaging 2.15% a year over the restof our forecast period to 2020.

Table Of Contents

Spain Retail Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Spain 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Spain 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of GDP (Spain 2013-2020) 15
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Spain 2013-2020) 16
Retail Sub-Sector Forecast 18
Food, Drink And Tobacco 19
Table: Food, Drink And Tobacco Spending (Spain 2013-2020) 19
Clothing And Footwear 20
Table: Clothing And Footwear Spending (Spain 2013-2020) 20
Household Goods 20
Table: Household Goods Spending (Spain 2013-2020) 21
Table: Consumer Electronics Spending (Spain 2013-2020) 22
Personal Care 22
Table: Personal Care Spending (Spain 2013-2020) 22
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 24
Table: Household Income Data (Spain 2013-2020) 25
Table: Labour Market Data (Spain 2013-2020) 27
Demographic Forecast 28
Table: Total Population (Spain 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: Babies (Spain 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Young Children (Spain 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Children (Spain 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Young Teens And Older Children (Spain 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Young People (Spain 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Spain 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: 21 Years Plus (Spain 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Young Adults (Spain 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Spain 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Urban/Rural (Spain 2013-2020) 34
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 35
Developed States Risk/Reward Index 35
Table: Developed States Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q316 35
Spain - Risk/Reward Index 36
Rewards 36
Risks 37
Market Overview 39
Department Stores 39
Shopping Centres 39
Clothing And Footwear 40
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement 40
Consumer Electronics 41
Pharmacies And Drug Stores 41
E-Commerce And Online Marketplaces 41
Competitive Landscape 42
Clothing And Footwear 42
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers 42
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement 43
Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers 43
Electronics 43
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 43
Department Stores 44
Table: Selected Department Stores 44
E-Commerce And Online Marketplaces 44
Table: Selected E-commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces 44
Pharmacies And Drug Stores 45
Glossary 46
Methodology 53
Industry Forecast Methodology 53
Sources 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 56
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 57
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 59

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