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Oman Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 62 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Deficit spending will help offset the effects of lower oil royalties and will galvanize a return to growth in Oman's construction sector after a recession in 2015. Robust structural demand will drive outperforming growth in the power and water subsectors, while a government sponsored economic diversification programme will lay the foundation for a sustained expansion of the country's commercial and industrial infrastructure. A prolonged slump in oil prices remains the biggest downside risk to our optimistic outlook for Oman's construction sector; however, it is a risk that is attenuated by the government's ability to augment its own deficit spending with private investment from an increasingly diverse set of international investors under a Public Private Partnership (PPP) framework.


Forecasts And Latest Updates

- We have revised our construction sector growth outlook significantly upward for 2016, from 2.5% to 8.3%, to reflect the latest economic data and more generally, the impact of continued government support for infrastructure projects. Our longer term forecast is similarly optimistic, with a combination of deficit spending and the increasing ability to solicit private investment for infrastructure projects driving an annualized average growth rate of 5.5% over the first half of our forecast period.

- The government's economic diversification efforts under the auspices of its 'Vision 2020' plan appear to be bearing fruit, with the Omani government and a consortium led by Ningxia China-Arab Wanfang signing an agreement to develop the USD10.7bn Sino-Oman Industrial City near the port of Duqm, Oman. The 50-year deal will see the consortium develop about 11.7sq km of land in the Duqm Special Economic Zone. The consortium will provide funds for the scheme and plans three separate zones: heavy manufacturing, light manufacturing and a mixed-use area.

Table Of Contents

Oman Infrastructure Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Oman 2015-2025) 7
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Oman 2016) 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Developments 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Oman 2015-2025) 11
Structural Trends 12
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 15
Latest Developments 15
Structural Trends 15
Table: Key Projects: Transport 23
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 24
Latest Developments 24
Structural Trends 24
Table: Key Projects: Energy and Utilities 30
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 32
Latest Developments 32
Structural Trends 32
Table: Key Projects: Construction and Social Infrastructure 38
Industry Risk/Reward Index 40
Oman Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 40
Rewards 40
Risks 41
MENA Infrastructure RRI: Oil Prices And Security Remain Key Risks 41
Table: Select Infrastructure Investments January -- June 2016 46
Table: MENA RRI 49
Competitive Landscape 50
Table: Oman - Company Financial Data 50
Company Profile 52
Galfar Engineering And Contracting SAOG 52
Methodology 55
Industry Forecast Methodology 55
Sector-Specific Methodology 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 60
Oman Infrastructure Report Q4 2016$$
Sector-Specific Methodology 61
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 61
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 62

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