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Central America Infrastructure Report Q4 2015

  • October 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 62 pages

BMI View: We forecast an average of 2.1% real growth for the six construction industries of CentralAmerica in 2016. The decline from our forecast for 2015 - 4.9% - is mainly due to a steep drop-off inPanama as it concludes expansion of the Panama Canal and a normalisation of a housing boom inNicaragua. The region will still offer significant opportunities: the transport sector will see strong growthas development funds target regional integration and Panama will recover by 2018 as increased public spending funds a strong project pipeline.

- El Salvador's construction industry will benefit from an influx of capital from regional developmentbanks and a US aid agency. We expect real growth to reach 5.5% in 2015, and remain at heightenedlevels, averaging 4.6%, over the next five years.
- Honduras is also gaining support from development banks, and is set to end its construction industryrecession in 2016. Although projects in the country have suffered from delays in the past, our optimismfor the industry is supported by a number of high-value projects which have already reached financialclose and are set to break ground early in 2016.

Table Of Contents

Central America Infrastructure Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 5
SWOT 6
Infrastructure SWOT 6
Industry Forecast 8
El Salvador - Infrastructure Bolstered By Development Funds 8
Table: El Salvador 10 Year Construction Industry Forecast 8
Honduras - Construction Industry Set To Recover In 2016 12
Table: Honduras 10 Year Construction Industry Forecast 12
Nicaragua - Booming Private Sector Drives Construction 16
Table: Nicaragua 10 Year Construction Industry Forecast 16
Panama - Infrastructure Spending To Continue Post Canal Expansion 20
Table: Panama 10 Year Construction Industry Forecast 20
Costa Rica - Delays And Muted Investment Drag On Construction 26
Table: Costa Rica 10 Year Construction Industry Forecast 26
Guatemala - Corruption Scandal Weakens Construction Sector 29
Table: Guatemala 10 Year Construction Industry Forecast 29
Industry Risk/Reward Index 33
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 33
Table: Central America Risk Reward Index 38
Policy Uncertainty To Weigh On Latin America 39
Table: Latin America Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings 44
Market Overview 45
Competitive Landscape 45
Global Industry Overview 48
Table: Infrastructure Key Themes 2015 48
Table: Asia: Key Reforms 53
Methodology 55
Industry Forecast Methodology 55
Sector-Specific Methodology 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 60
Sector-Specific Methodology 61
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 61
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 62

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