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  5. > Mozambique Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Mozambique Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 66 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:
Mozambique's agricultural production is currently being significantly impacted by the 2015/16 El Niño episode. The dry weather will dent grains, sugar and livestock production for a second consecutive year in 2016. We hold a relatively positive view on the agribusiness sector of Mozambique beyond 2017. Indeed, Mozambique has been attracting growing interest from foreign investors, and the industry will benefit from this trend in the coming years. However, although the country could be able to tap abundant and largely unexploited land and water resources, its production will not keep up with robust consumption growth. Self-sufficiency regarding corn and poultry will slowly decrease in the coming years, leading to increasing imports.
Key Forecasts


- Sugar production growth to 2019/20: 10.5% to reach 458,000 tonnes. As one of Mozambique's key cash crops, long-term sugar production growth will reflect an increase in export-driven demand and the opening up of new markets; output is also expected to benefit from investment in biofuels.

- Poultry consumption growth to 2020: 23.3% to 60,000 tonnes. Among the factors underpinning our strong growth expectations are Mozambique's expanding population and the country's rising standards of living.

- Corn production growth to 2019/20: -1.0% to 1.3mn tonnes. Corn will remain one of Mozambique's most important food crops; it will also retain its status as an important source of feed for poultry and livestock. However, despite benefiting from efforts to raise production levels, the crop will remain vulnerable to variations in rainfall.

Table Of Contents

Mozambique Agribusiness Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Industry Forecast 12
Grains Outlook 12
Table: Mozambique - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook 13
Table: Mozambique - Risks To Grains Outlook 13
Table: GRAINS PRODUCTION and CONSUMPTION (MOZAMBIQUE 2013-2020) 16
Sugar Outlook 17
Table: Mozambique - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook 18
Table: Mozambique - Risks To Sugar Outlook 18
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Mozambique 2013-2020) 23
Livestock Outlook 24
Table: Mozambique - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook 24
Table: Mozambique - Risks To Livestock Outlook 25
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Mozambique 2013-2020) 28
Commodities Price Analysis 29
Global - Commodities Performance And Forecasts 29
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 29
Upstream Analysis 31
Africa Machinery Outlook 31
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions 31
Africa GM Outlook 37
Africa Fertiliser Outlook 44
Downstream Analysis 50
Food 50
Latest Updates 50
Structural Trends 51
Table: Food Sales (Mozambique 2013-2020) 52
Regional Overview 54
Middle East and Africa Regional Overview 54
Demographic Forecast 60
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mozambique 1990-2025) 61
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mozambique 1990-2025) 61
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Mozambique 1990-2025) 62
Table: Population By Age Group (Mozambique 1990-2025) 62
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mozambique 1990-2025) 63
Methodology 65
Industry Forecast Methodology 65
Sector-Specific Methodology 66

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