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I&R - The 3G In Emerging Markets Report 2015

  • August 2015
  • -
  • Investment and Research
  • -
  • 187 pages

A number of dynamic factors are driving the global mobile 3G market. Foremost among them is the extraordinary mass market demand for 3G services, which has been largely driven by the emergence of smart devices. Although 3G has become a mature technology in many developed economies, it is currently driving the mobile broadband uptake in many emerging markets. High technology maturity and decreasing costs for both operators and consumers are boosting emerging 3G markets.

3G connectivity will be of great benefit to emerging markets, where low tele-density and internet penetration means that many potential end-users will look to mobile networks to get online. The increasing availability of low-cost smartphones and tablets will increasingly enable underserved fixed line communication areas to adopt data services such as 3G. Furthermore, improvements in telecommunication services provide a strong economic stimulus to emerging markets, thereby furthering national development. The coming 2015-2020 period will see strong growth in subscriber numbers and operator revenues as many emerging markets finalise their 3G network deployment and aim to tackle full-scale national coverage. The greater availability of 3G networks will also offer significant opportunities for the development of mobile applications and services, such as mobile commerce and health, among others.

Why you should buy The 3G Technologies in Emerging Markets 2015

- 187 pages of comprehensive analysis
- 128 tables, charts, and graphs quantifying the market in detail
- 3G Technologies in Emerging forecasts between 2015 and 2020
- Forecasts for emerging 3G markets

- China
- Brazil
- India
- Russia
- Africa
- Middle East

- A SWOT analysis that examines the gas utility infrastructure market
- Key companies identified and profiled operating within the 3G Technologies market.

You can order this report today and discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the 3G Technologies market and gain an understanding of how to tap into the potential of this market by ordering The 3G Technologies in Emerging Markets 2015.

Table Of Contents

IandR - The 3G In Emerging Markets Report 2015
Executive Summary 18
Benefits of the Report 20
Intended Audience 20
Report Contributors 20
Methodology 21
Introduction to the 3G Technologies Market 22
The ITU IMT-2000 Standard 23
Table 1: IMT-2000 Key Features for 3G Systems 23
2G Transitional (2.5G, 2.75G) and 3G Phase 1 Technologies 24
Table 2: List of 2G Transitional and 3G Phase 1 Technologies 24
3G (IMT-2000) Technologies 24
Table 3: List of 3G IMT-200 Technologies 25
The Evolution of 3G Technologies 25
3GPP 25
3GPP2 26
CATT 26
Figure 1: The Wireless Evolution from 2G to 3G Technologies 27
3G UMTS 27
Figure 2: UMTS Network Architecture 28
WCDMA 28
HSPA 29
Table4: HSPA Features 30
LTE 30
Figure 3: LTE Network Architecture 31
CDMA 32
TD-SCDMA 33
Advantages and Disadvantages of 3G Technology 33
Table 5: Advantages and Disadvantages of 3G Networks 34
Spectrum and Infrastructure Considerations for 3G Operators 34
Spectrum Refarming 34
Spectrum Trading 34
Infrastructure Sharing 35
Unbundling 35
Global SWOT of Industry 37
Strengths 37
Weaknesses 38
Opportunities 38
Threats 38
Global and Emerging Markets 3G Subscriber and Service Revenue Industry Outlook 39
Global 3G Subscriber Forecast to 2017 39
Table 6: Global 3G Subscriber Forecast to2017 (Million, AGR %) 40
Chart 1: Global 3G Subscriber Forecast to 2017 (Million) 40
Emerging Markets 3G Subscriber Forecast to 2017 40
Table 7: Emerging Markets 3G Subscriber Forecast to2017 (Million, AGR %) 41
Chart 2 Emerging Markets 3G Subscriber Forecast to 2017 (Million) 41
Comparison of 3G Subscribers in Global and Emerging Markets 42
Table 8: Share of Global 3G Subscribers in Emerging Market Forecast to 2017 (%) 42
Chart 3 Share of Global 3G Subscribers in Emerging Markets Forecast to 2017 (Million %) 42
Emerging Markets 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology to 2017 43
Table 9 Emerging Markets 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology to 2017 (Million, AGR %) 43
Chart 4 Emerging Markets 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology to 2017 (Million) 44
Table 10 Emerging Markets 3G Subscriber Share by Technology to 2017 (%) 44
Chart 5 Emerging Markets 3G Subscriber Share by Technology 2014 (%) 45
Chart 6 Emerging Markets 3G Subscriber Share by Technology 2017 (%) 45
Global W-CDMA/HSPA Subscriber Forecast to 2017 46
Table 11 Global W-CDMA/HSPA Subscriber Forecast to2017 (Million, AGR %) 46
Chart 7 Global W-CDMA/HSPA Subscriber Forecast to 2017 (Million) 46
Emerging Markets W-CDMA/HSPA Subscriber Forecast to 2017 47
Table 12 Emerging Markets W-CDMA/HSPA Subscriber Forecast to 2017 (Million, AGR %) 47
Chart 8 Emerging Markets W-CDMA/HSPA Subscriber Forecast to 2017 (Million) 47
Comparison of W-CDMA/HSPA Subscribers in Global and Emerging Markets 48
Chart 9 Share of Global W-CDMA/HSPA Subscribers in Emerging Markets to 2017 (Million, %) 48
Table 13 Share of Global W-CDMA/HSPA Subscribers in Emerging Markets to 2017 (%) 49
W-CDMA/HSPA Subscriber Forecast by Region to 2017 49
Chart 10 Emerging Markets W-CDMA/HSPA Subscriber Forecast by Region to 2017 (Million) 49
Chart 11 Emerging Markets W-CDMA/HSPA Subscriber Share by Region 2014 (%) 50
Chart 12 Emerging Markets W-CDMA/HSPA Subscriber Share by Region 2017 (%) 51
Table 14 Emerging Markets W-CDMA/HSPA Subscriber Forecast by Region to 2017 (Million, AGR %) 52
Global CMDA2000/EVDO Subscriber Forecast to 2017 53
Table 15 Global CDMA2000/EVDO Subscriber Forecast to 2017 (Million, AGR %) 53
Chart 13 Global CDMA2000/EVDO Subscriber Forecast to 2017 (Million) 53
Emerging Markets CMDA2000/EVDO Subscriber Forecast to 2017 54
Table 16 Emerging Markets CDMA2000/EVDO Subscriber Forecast to 2017 (Million, AGR %) 54
Chart 14 Emerging Markets CDMA2000/EVDO Subscriber Forecast to 2017 (Million) 54
Comparison of CMDA2000/EVDO Subscribers in Global and Emerging Markets 55
Chart 15 Share of Global CDMA2000/EVDO Subscribers in Emerging Markets to 2017 (Million, %) 55
Table 17 Share of Global CDMA2000/EVDO Subscribers in Emerging Markets to 2017 (%) 55
CMDA2000/EVDO Subscriber Forecast by Region to 2017 56
Chart 16 Emerging Markets CDMA2000/EVDO Subscriber Forecast by Region to 2017 (Million) 57
Chart 17 Emerging Markets CDMA2000/EVDO Subscriber Share by Region 2014 (%) 58
Chart 18 Emerging Markets CDMA2000/EVDO Subscriber Share by Region 2017 (%) 58
Table 18 Emerging Markets CDMA2000/EVDO Subscriber Forecast by Region to 2017 (Million, AGR %) 59
Global TD-SCDMA Subscriber Forecast to 2017 60
Table 19 Global TD-SCDMA Subscriber Forecast to 2017 (Million, AGR %) 60
Chart 19 Global TD-SCDMA Subscriber Forecast to 2017 (Million) 60
Global 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 61
Table 20 Global 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD, AGR %) 61
Chart 20 Global 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD) 61
Emerging Markets 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 62
Table 21 Emerging Markets 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD, AGR %) 62
Chart 21 Emerging Markets 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD) 62
Comparison of 3G Revenue in Global and Emerging Markets 63
Chart 22 Share of Global 3G Revenue in Emerging Markets to 2017 (Billion USD, %) 63
Table 22 Share of Global 3G Revenue in Emerging Markets to 2017 (%) 63
Emerging Markets 3G Revenue Forecast by Region to 2017 64
Chart 23 Emerging Markets 3G Revenue Forecast by Region to 2017 (Billion USD) 64
Chart 24Emerging Markets CDMA2000/EVDO Subscriber Share by Region 2014 (%) 65
Chart 25 Emerging Markets CDMA2000/EVDO Subscriber Share by Region 2017 (%) 65
Table 23 Emerging Markets 3G Revenue Forecast by Region to 2017 (Billion USD, AGR %) 66
Regional 3G Markets and BRIC Analysis 67
Asia Pacific 3G Market Analysis to 2017 67
Table 24 Asia Pacific 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology and by Region to 2017 (Million, AGR %) 67
Chart 26 Asia Pacific 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology and by Region 2012-2017 (Million) 68
Table25 Asia Pacific 3G Revenue Forecast by Region to 2017 (Billion USD, AGR %) 69
Chart 27 Asia Pacific 3G Revenue Forecast by Region 2012-2017 (Billion USD) 69
Indian 3G Market Analysis to 2017 70
Table 26 Indian 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology to 2017 (Million, AGR %) 71
Chart 28 Indian 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology to 2017 (Million) 72
Table 27 Indian 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD, AGR %) 73
Chart 29 Indian 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD) 73
India's mobile network operators struggling to justify infrastructure upgrades 74
Chart 30: India Economic and Mobile Sector Growth Forecasts to 2018 75
India's Spectrum Monetisation Challenges Weigh on Minor Players 76
Chart 31: India 3G/4G Phone Subscriber Forecasts to 2019 77
Chart 32: Indian Mobile Subscription Market Shares, Q215 79
Chinese 3G Market Analysis to 2017 81
Table 28 Chinese 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology to 2017 (Million, AGR %) 81
Chart 33 Chinese 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology to 2017 (Million) 82
Table 29 Chinese 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD, AGR %) 83
Chart 34 Chinese 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD) 84
China's 4G Gaining Momentum 84
Chart 35: China 3G/4G Subscription Market Shares By Operator, Q115 85
China Mobile's 4G expansion eats into profits 86
Chart 36: China Mobile KPIs, 2012-2014 86
Rest of Asia Pacific 3G Market Analysis to 2017 88
Table 30 Rest of Asia Pacific 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology to 2017 (Million, AGR %) 90
Chart 37 Rest of Asia Pacific 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology to 2017 (Million) 90
Table 31 Rest of Asia Pacific 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD, AGR %) 91
Chart 38 Rest of Asia Pacific 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD) 91
Pakistan's Mobile Company Warid's leapfrogging into Pakistan's 4G 92
Chart 39: Pakistan Mobile Subscribers By Operator (000) 93
Fluid Regulatory Conditions Remain Key Downside Risk 93
Regulatory Risks In Thailand Undermine Impressive 3G Growth 94
Chart 40: AIS Mobile Subscriptions By Technology ('000) And 3G Revenue Growth, 2013-2014 % 2G/3G Subscriptions As % Of Total 94
Investors buzzing about Vietnamese Mobifone's IPC 96
Latin American 3G Market Analysis to 2017 97
Table 32 Latin American 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology and Region to 2017 (Million, AGR %) 97
Chart 41 Latin American 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology and Region to 2017 (Million) 98
Table 33 Latin American 3G Revenue Forecast by Region to 2017 (Billion USD, AGR %) 99
Chart 42 Latin American 3G Revenue Forecast by Region to 2017 (Billion USD) 99
Brazilian 3G Market Analysis to 2017 100
Table 34 Brazilian 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology to 2017 (Million, AGR %) 100
Chart 43 Brazilian 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology to 2017 (Million) 101
Table 35 Brazilian 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD, AGR %) 103
Chart 44 Brazilian 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD) 103
Rest of Latin America 3G Market Analysis to 2017 103
Table 36 Rest of Latin American 3G Subscriber Forecast By Technology to 2017 (Million, AGR %) 104
Chart 45 Rest of Latin American 3G Subscriber Forecast by Techno logy to 2017 (Million) 105
Table 37 Rest of Latin American 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD, AGR %) 105
Chart 46 Rest of Latin American 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD) 106
Chart: 47 Chile Mobile Subscriptions By Technology to2019, (mn) 107
Tigo's 4G mobile launch won't mobilise market in Honduras 109
Chart 48: Mobile Subscriptions, 2011-2014 109
Eastern European 3G Market Analysis to 2017 111
Table 38 Eastern European 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology and by Region to 2017 (Million, AGR %) 111
Chart 49 Eastern European 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology and by Region to 2017 (Million) 112
Table 39 Eastern European 3G Revenue Forecast by Region to 2017 (Billion USD, AGR %) 113
Chart 50 Eastern European 3G Revenue Forecast by Region to 2017 (Billion USD) 113
Russian 3G Market Analysis to 2017 114
Table 40 Russian 3G Subscriber Forecast to 2017 (Million, AGR %) 115
Chart 51 Russian 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology to 2017 (Million) 116
Table 41 Russian 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD, AGR %) 116
Chart 52 Russian 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD) 117
Rest of Eastern European 3G Market Analysis to 2017 117
Table 42 Rest of Eastern European 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology and by Region to 2017 (Million, AGR %) 119
Chart 53 Rest of Eastern European 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology to 2017 (Million) 119
Table 43 Rest of Eastern European 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD, AGR %) 120
Chart 54 Rest of Eastern European 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD) 120
Kosovo's 4G launch a burden to finances 121
Chart 55 Kosovo Market Subscriptions ('000) And 3G As A % Of Total Mobile Subscriptions (RHS) 122
3G Will Not Ease Financial Pressure on Ukraine's Mobile Operators 123
Chart 56 Ukraine Mobile phone 3G Subscriber to 2019 123
Belarus: 4G Outlook Strong but Tempered by Inflation 125
Middle Eastern 3G Market Analysis to 2017 126
Table 44 Middle Eastern 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology to 2017 (Million, AGR %) 126
Chart 57 Middle Eastern 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology to 2017 (Million) 127
Table 45 Middle Eastern 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD, AGR %) 128
Chart 58 Middle Eastern 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD) 129
Kurdistan leads the way in Iraq's Internet market 129
A hub of telecoms opportunities in the Middle East 130
Data services determining capex and growth in Middle East 131
Maturing GCC Markets 131
Chart 59: Operator Capex As % Of Revenue In Selected Markets, H214 132
High Growth Markets 132
Chart 60: Select Middle East and North Africa 3G/4G Forecast In High Growth Markets, 2011-2018 133
Frontier Markets 133
Chart 61 MENA Telecoms RRRs, Q414 134
African 3G Market Analysis to 2017 136
Table 46 African 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology to 2017 (Million, AGR %) 136
Chart 62 African 3G Subscriber Forecast by Technology to 2017 (Million) 137
Table 47 African 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD, AGR %) 138
Chart 63 African 3G Revenue Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD) 139
Tanzania's Zantel trailing in 3G mobile network expansion 139
Chart 64 Tanzania Mobile Market Shares (%), 2011-2014 140
Chart 65: Tanzania Mobile And 3G/4G Forecasts, to 2018 141
3G competition to drive growth in Cameroon 141
Chart 66: Cameroon 3G Growth Forecast, to 2018 142
Algeria's 3G gateway to regulatory reform 143
Chart 67: Operator Revenues (DZDbn), 2012-2014 144
TN Mobile Launches 3G Network 145
3G Applications and Services 146
Driving Social Improvement 146
Mobile Commerce, Payments and Banking 147
Figure 4 Mobile Commerce Solutions Using Messaging Applications 147
Chart 68 Users of Mobile Money in Emerging Markets Forecast to 2017 (Million) 148
Table 48 Users of Mobile Money in Emerging Markets Forecast to 2017 (Million, AGR and CAGR %) 149
Chart 69 Value of Mobile Money Transactions in Emerging Markets Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD) 150
Table 49 Value of Mobile Money Transactions in Emerging Markets Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD, AGR and CAGR %) 150
Visa 151
MOBIbucks 151
Mobikash Afrika 152
M-Pesa 152
M-Shwari 152
M-Kopa 153
Orange Money 153
Lebara Mobile 153
Continued Growth of Mobile Money in Emerging Markets 154
Mobile Health 154
Telemedicine System Using MMS 154
Metahelix and The M-DOK System 155
Healthpoint 155
Mobile Diagnostic Services (MoDiSe) 156
3G Networks to Drive mHealth in Emerging Economies 156
Table 50 V Mobile Health Market in Emerging Markets Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD, AGR and CAGR %) 157
Chart 70 Mobile Health Market in Emerging Markets Forecast to 2017 (Billion USD) 157
Mobile Government 158
mGovernment Delivery Models 158
Table 51 Selected M-government Projects in Africa and Asia 159
Education 160
Table 52 Mobile Learning Projects for Emerging Economies 161
The Future of mGovernment 161
Entertainment Services 162
Mobile Music 162
Mobile TV 162
Social Networking 163
Axiata in Indonesia and Malaysia 164
Thailand AIS 164
China Unicom 164
Creative Business Models 165
Drivers and Restraints of the 3G Technologies Market 166
Table 55 3G Market Drivers and Restraints 166
Industry Trends And Developments 167
TOT Introduces 3G In Chiang Mai 167
Banglalink Concludes 3G Expansion To Seven Divisional Capitals 167
Ooreedo Myanmar To Launch 3G Services In Q314 167
Eagle Mobile To Launch 3G Service In January 167
Vodacom Congo Initiates 3G Deployment 168
Company Profiles 169
Bharti Airtel 169
America Movil 169
Axiata Group 170
China Mobile 171
China Telecom 172
China Unicom 172
Etisalat 173
MTN Group 174
MTS 174
Telefonica 175
VimpelCom 176
Conclusions 178
Table 54: Advantages and Disadvantages of 3G Applications and Services 179
Glossary Of Terms 180
Methodology 196
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 196
Disclaimer 196
Appendix A 197
Appendix B 198

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