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Vietnam Retail Report Q4 2016

  • September 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 68 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The Vietnamese economy is facing headwinds associated with harsh weather as well as adverseconditions in global commodity trade. Nonetheless, we expect the situation to improve gradually over thenext year, mostly on the back of steady foreign direct investment inflows, robust domestic demand, growingtourism and a resilient export sector. This bodes well for Vietnam's retail sector, which continues to attractnew international retailers and develop its infrastructure.

Key Views And Developments

- According to Vietnam's General Statistics Office, total retail sales of consumer goods and services inVietnam reached VND1,724trn (USD77.3bn) during the first half of 2016, increasing by 9.5% year-onyear(y-o-y). Adjusted for inflation, the growth figure stood at 7.5% y-o-y.

- Over the next five years, we forecast that total household spending growth will average 9.2% per annum,with the pace accelerating significantly toward the second half of our review period. Per capita spendingis set to increase from USD1,089 in 2015 to USD1,608 in 2020.

Table Of Contents

Vietnam Retail Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Vietnam 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Vietnam 2013-2020) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Vietnam 2013-2020) 15
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Vietnam 2013-2020) 17
Retail Sub-Sector Forecast 20
Food, Drink And Tobacco 21
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Vietnam 2013-2020) 22
Clothing And Footwear 23
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Vietnam 2013-2020) 23
Household Goods 24
Table: Household Goods Spending (Vietnam 2013-2020) 24
Personal Care 26
Table: Personal Care Spending (Vietnam 2013-2020) 26
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 28
Table: Household Income Data (Vietnam 2013-2020) 29
Table: Labour Market Data (Vietnam 2013-2020) 32
Demographic Forecast 33
Table: Total Population (Vietnam 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Babies (Vietnam 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Young Children (Vietnam 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Children (Vietnam 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Vietnam 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Young People (Vietnam 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Vietnam 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Vietnam 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: Young Adults (Vietnam 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Vietnam 2013-2020) 38
Table: Population: Urban (Vietnam 2013-2020) 38
Industry Risk/Reward Index 39
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index 39
Table: Asia Pacific Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q416 39
Vietnam - Risk/Reward Index 40
Rewards 40
Risks 41
Market Overview 43
Latest Updates 43
Competitive Landscape 49
Clothing And Footwear 49
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers 49
Department Stores 50
Table: Selected Department Stores Retailers 50
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement 51
Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers 51
Electronics 52
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 52
E-Commerce 53
Table: Selected E-commerce Retailers 53
Drugstores And Pharmacies 54
Table: Selected Drugstores And Pharmacies Retailers 54
Glossary 55
Methodology 62
Industry Forecast Methodology 62
Sources 65
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 65
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 66
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 68

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