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The North America telecoms market: trends and forecasts 2016–2021

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Analysys Mason
  • -
  • 40 pages

Summary

Table of Contents

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Telecoms revenue in North America will grow between 2016 and 2021 (despite intensifying competition in the US mobile market), due to growth in fixed broadband spending driven by NGA roll-out. This report explains the drivers and assumptions behind the forecast trends.

"Growth in fixed broadband prices will mitigate the competition-induced decline in mobile revenue."

The fixed broadband market will be the major source of revenue growth in North America, as lack of competition and growing coverage of high-speed (up to gigabit) FTTH and cable networks allows operators to charge more for more-advanced services. However, mobile service revenue will decline due to growing competition in the USA, brought on by the competitive pricing and promotional strategies of T-Mobile.

THIS REPORT AND ASSOCIATED DATA ANNEX PROVIDE:

- a 5-year forecast of more than 170 mobile and fixed KPIs for North America, as a whole and 2 key countries
- an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service, and for key countries
- an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-country comparison
- a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for mobile and fixed operators.

COVERAGE

Regions modelled
North America

Countries modelled individually
Canada
USA

Key performance indicators

Connections

Mobile
- Handset, mobile broadband, M2M
- Prepaid, contract
- 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
- Smartphone, non-smartphone

Fixed
- Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
- Narrowband voice, VoBB
- DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other

Fixed and mobile voice traffic
- Outgoing minutes, MoU

Revenue

Mobile
- Service, retail
- Prepaid, contract
- Handset, mobile broadband, M2M
- Handset voice, messaging, data

Fixed
- Service, retail
- Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
- DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other

Mobile ARPU
- SIMs, handset
- Prepaid, contract
- Handset voice, data

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