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Executive Analysis of Implication of Shale Gas on the Global Rail Industry : An Overview of Trends and Powertrain Technologies for Natural Gas in Locomotives

This market insight provides an outlook of growth opportunities in the global rail market for natural gas in the rail industry. Secondary and primary research was conducted, including interviews with suppliers, regulation authorities, and distributors. The study provides key trends, opportunities, and a forecast of rolling stock deliveries for the rail industry. It also highlights the competitive factors and landscape in North America, the primary region for natural gas in rail locomotives. Key conclusions and a future outlook of the market have been provided. The base year is 2015; the forecast period is through to 2022.

Key Findings

Growth in natural gas locomotives is expected to be concentrated in the North American market

- US domestic production of natural gas is expected to exceed imports by 2017.
- Tier-4 emission norms with 2015 deadlines require new technologies and strategies to participate in the market. 2 Dual Fuel Locomotives are likely to soon to become standard
- GE, Cummins, and EMD engines are able to use natural gas through conversion kits from companies such as Westport and GFS Corp.
- New entrants in the market such as Brookeville, MPI, and MP&ES are competing fiercely in the low-emission locomotives market. 3 Growth of natural gas locomotives heavily relies on fuel costs and availability
- Investment in natural gas breaks even earlier only in scenarios where diesel prices are high; if fuel prices are low, it starts losing its advantage.
- Other markets such as Russia and India are also experimenting with natural gas as a primary fuel in rail locomotives. However, growth in other regions is not expected to be comparable to that in North America.

Table Of Contents

Executive Analysis of Implication of Shale Gas on the Global Rail Industry 
Table Of Contents
1EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Executive Summary
1. Key Findings

2INTRODUCTION TO SHALE GAS

Introduction to Shale Gas
1. Introduction to Shale Gas
2. Shale Gas Development Timeline
3. Hydraulic Fracturing
4. Global Shale Gas Resources
5. Shale Gas Transforms Energy Scenario of North America

3SHALE GAS AND THE RAIL INDUSTRY

Shale Gas and the Rail Industry
1. Role of Shale Gas in Rail Transport
2. Shale Gas and Future Implications
3. Projections of Fuel Prices in Transportation

4OVERVIEW OF NORTH AMERICAN LOCOMOTIVE MARKET IN CLASS 1 RAILROADS

Overview of North American Locomotive Market in Class 1 Railroads
1. North American Locomotive Market
2. Market Positioning of Low-Emission Locomotives
3. North American Locomotive Market
4. Diesel Fuel Consumption of Class 1 Freight Rail
5. PM and NOX Reduction
6. Engine Suppliers in North America
7. Tier-4 Engine Trends in North America
8. LNG Engine RandD in North America

5NATURAL GAS AND RAIL—GLOBAL

Natural Gas and Rail—Global
1. Natural Gas in Rail in Global Markets
2. Local Natural Gas Availability to Reflect NG Locomotive Growth

6THE LAST WORD

The Last Word
1. The Last Word—3 Big Predictions
2. The Last Word—Discussion
3. Legal Disclaimer

7THE FROST and SULLIVAN STORY

The Frost and Sullivan Story
1. The Frost and Sullivan Story
2. Value Proposition: Future of Your Company and Career
3. Global Perspective
4. Industry Convergence
5. 360º Research Perspective
6. Implementation Excellence
7. Our Blue Ocean Strategy

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