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Central America Agribusiness Report Q4 2015

  • October 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 42305 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Coffee production in the Central America region will remain at risk over the next few years asthe nature of subsistence farming will limit investment into safeguards against diseases such as coffee rust(roya). Countries in Central America are generally dependent on corn imports and we expect the cornproduction deficit to widen over our forecast period. Strength in the US dollar over this time frame will hurtthe capital accounts of the region's countries.We believe the region's sugar industry will post strong growthover the coming years despite low international prices.

Key Forecasts

- Coffee production growth 2013/14 to 2018/19: 36.61% (down from 38.3% in our last quarterlyupdate) to 15.9mn bags. We believe the coffee sector will continue to battle with disease and weatherproblems, though growth will be high over our period due to the base effects caused by these factors. Wesee more potential for the sector in the long term due to government support schemes.

Table Of Contents

Central America Agribusiness Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Agribusiness 9
Industry Forecast 11
Livestock Outlook 11
Table: Select Countries - Beef and Veal Production and Consumption 12
Table: Select Countries - Pork Production and Consumption 12
Table: Select Countries - Beef and Veal Production and Consumption 14
Table: Select Countries - Pork Production and Consumption 15
Grains Outlook 16
Table: Select Countries - Corn Production and Consumption 17
Table: Select Countries - Corn Production and Consumption 20
Coffee Outlook 21
Table: Select Countries - Coffee Production and Consumption 22
Table: Select Countries - Coffee Production and Consumption 24
Sugar Outlook 26
Table: Select Countries - Sugar Production and Consumption 26
Table: Select Countries - Sugar Production and Consumption 29
Commodities Price Analysis 31
Global Commodities Strategy 31
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And Bmi Forecasts 32
Upstream Analysis 34
Americas GM Outlook 34
Americas Machinery Outlook 40
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates) 43
Americas Fertiliser Outlook 47
Downstream Analysis 52
Food 52
Food Consumption 52
Table: Guatemala - Food Consumption Indicators, 2011-2019 53
Table: Costa Rica - Food Consumption Indicators, 2011-2019 53
Table: El Salvador - Food Consumption Indicators, 2011-2019 54
Table: Honduras - Food Consumption Indicators, 2011-2019 54
Confectionery 54
Meat 55
Table: El Salvador - Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade, 2011-2019 56
Jams and Jellies 57
Table: El Salvador - Jams and Jellies Volume Sales, Production and Trade, 2011-2019 57
Pasta 58
Table: El Salvador - Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade, 2011-2019 59
Prepared Fish 60
Table: El Salvador - Fish Volume Sales, Production and Trade, 2011-2019 60
Table: Costa Rica - Fish Volume Sales, Production and Trade, 2011-2019 61
Oils and Fats 62
Table: Costa Rica - Soya Bean Oil Volume Sales, Production and Trade, 2011-2019 62
Table: Guatemala - Soya Bean Oil Volume Sales, Production and Trade, 2011-2019 64
Table: El Salvador - Margarine Volume Sales, Production and Trade, 2011-2019 65
Dairy 65
Table: El Salvador - Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade, 2011-2019 67
Regional Overview 70
Demographic Forecast 76
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Belize 1990-2025) 77
Table: Key Population Ratios (Belize 1990-2025) 77
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Belize 1990-2025) 78
Table: Population By Age Group (Belize 1990-2025) 78
Table: Population By Age Group % (Belize 1990-2025) 79
Demographic Outlook 81
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Costa Rica 1990-2025) 82
Table: Key Population Ratios (Costa Rica 1990-2025) 82
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Costa Rica 1990-2025) 83
Table: Population By Age Group (Costa Rica 1990-2025) 83
Table: Population By Age Group % (Costa Rica 1990-2025) 84
Demographic Outlook 86
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Guatemala 1990-2025) 87
Table: Key Population Ratios (Guatemala 1990-2025) 87
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Guatemala 1990-2025) 88
Table: Population By Age Group (Guatemala 1990-2025) 88
Table: Population By Age Group % (Guatemala 1990-2025) 89
Demographic Outlook 91
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Honduras 1990-2025) 92
Table: Key Population Ratios (Honduras 1990-2025) 92
Table: Urban/Rural Population And Life Expectancy (Honduras 1990-2025) 93
Table: Population By Age Group (Honduras 1990-2025) 93
Table: Population By Age Group % (Honduras 1990-2025) 94
Demographic Forecast 96
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Nicaragua 1990-2025) 97
Table: Key Population Ratios (Nicaragua 1990-2025) 97
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Nicaragua 1990-2025) 98
Table: Population By Age Group (Nicaragua 1990-2025) 98
Table: Population By Age Group % (Nicaragua 1990-2025) 99
Demographic Forecast 101
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Panama 1990-2025) 102
Table: Key Population Ratios (Panama 1990-2025) 102
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Panama 1990-2025) 103
Table: Population By Age Group (Panama 1990-2025) 103
Table: Population By Age Group % (Panama 1990-2025) 104
Demographic Outlook 106
Table: Population Headline Indicators (El Salvador 1990-2025) 107
Table: Key Population Ratios (El Salvador 1990-2025) 107
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (El Salvador 1990-2025) 108
Table: Population By Age Group (El Salvador 1990-2025) 108
Table: Population By Age Group % (El Salvador 1990-2025) 109
Methodology 111
Industry Forecast Methodology 111
Sector-Specific Methodology 112

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