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Ghana Agribusiness Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 58 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:
We believe that the Ghanaian cocoa sector will post reasonably strong growth throughout our forecast period to 2019/20. High cocoa prices will encourage production, while the government has pledged schemes in order to encourage yield growth, including increasing set prices for 2016/17. However, a significant portion of the growth will be due to base effects. We also see long-term opportunities (but also significant structural challenges) in the Ghanaian palm oil sector.



Key BMI Forecasts


- Cocoa production growth 2014/15 to 2019/20: 9% to 853,000 tonnes. While much of this growth will be due to base effects, the government has committed to supplying free inputs and improving infrastructure, while Cocobod has reformed its cocoa payment price.

- 2017 real GDP growth: 6.5% (up from 4.1% in 2016; forecast to average 5.9% between 2016 and 2020).

- 2017 consumer price inflation (ave): 15.3% (down from 17.9% in 2016).

Table Of Contents

Ghana Agribusiness Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Cocoa Outlook 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Ghana - Cocoa Production and Consumption Outlook 11
Table: Risks To Outlook 12
Structural Trends 12
Table: Cocoa Production and Consumption (Ghana 2012-2020) 16
Palm Oil Outlook 16
Latest Updates 16
Table: Ghana - Palm Oil Production and Consumption Outlook 17
Table: Risks To Outlook 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Palm Oil Production and Consumption (Ghana 2012-2020) 20
Commodities Price Analysis 21
Global - Global Commodities Strategy 21
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 21
Upstream Analysis 23
Africa GM Outlook 23
Africa Machinery Outlook 31
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions 31
Africa Fertiliser Outlook 36
Downstream Analysis 42
Food 42
Latest Updates 42
Structural Trends 43
Table: Food Sales (Ghana 2013-2020) 44
Regional Overview 46
Middle East and Africa Regional Overview 46
Demographic Forecast 52
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ghana 1990-2025) 53
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ghana 1990-2025) 53
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Ghana 1990-2025) 54
Table: Population By Age Group (Ghana 1990-2025) 54
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ghana 1990-2025) 55
Methodology 57
Industry Forecast Methodology 57
Sector-Specific Methodology 58

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