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  5. > Tanzania Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Tanzania Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 65 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:
The Tanzanian coffee industry will struggle over the medium term, but renewed government support for the sector has provided hope that it can recover over the longer term. The corn industry, meanwhile, will continue to benefit from solid demand from domestic and export markets, while rising income levels will stimulate rice consumption. The Tanzanian sugar sector will see limited production growth in the next few years, largely due to low sugar prices and the fact that Tanzania scores poorly on productivity measures compared to its regional neighbours. As a result, a growing share of the country's growing sugar demand is met by imports.
Key Forecasts


- In our last quarterly update we revised upwards our growth forecasts for sugar production out to 2019/20 as the government's plan to raise duty imports on sugar will help protect local factories and slowly reduce the country's dependence on imports. We continue to forecast sugar production to reach 335,000 tonnes in 2019/20, in line with production levels for 2014/15 level.

- We have revised upwards our growth forecasts for coffee production across the duration of our forecast period to 2019/20 to reach a level of 1.2mn 60kg bags. Thanks to government support for the sector and the sharp downturn in output in 2013/14 we believe there is plenty of upside potential for growth.

- We have revised downwards our growth forecast for coffee consumption across the duration of our forecast period to 2019/20 to reach a level of 52,670 60kg bags.

Table Of Contents

Tanzania Agribusiness Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Agribusiness 10
Industry Forecast 13
Coffee Outlook 13
Latest Updates 13
Table: Tanzania - Coffee Production and Consumption Outlook 13
Table: Risks To Outlook 14
Structural Trends 14
Table: Coffee Production and Consumption (Tanzania 2012-2020) 16
Sugar Outlook 17
Latest Updates 17
Table: Tanzania - Sugar Production and Consumption Outlook 17
Table: Risks To Outlook 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Tanzania 2012-2020) 19
Rice Outlook 20
Latest Updates 20
Table: Tanzania - Rice Production and Consumption Outlook 21
Table: Risks To Outlook 22
Structural Trends 22
Table: Rice Production and Consumption (Tanzania 2012-2020) 24
Grains Outlook 25
Latest Updates 25
Table: Tanzania - Corn Production and Consumption Outlook 25
Table: Risks To Outlook 26
Structural Trends 26
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Tanzania 2012-2020) 27
Commodities Price Analysis 28
Commodities Performance And Forecasts 28
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 28
Upstream Analysis 30
Africa Machinery Outlook 30
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions 30
Africa GM Outlook 36
Africa Fertiliser Outlook 43
Downstream Analysis 49
Food 49
Latest Updates 49
Structural Trends 50
Table: Food Sales (Tanzania 2013-2020) 51
Regional Overview 53
Middle East and Africa Regional Overview 53
Demographic Forecast 59
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Tanzania 1990-2025) 60
Table: Key Population Ratios (Tanzania 1990-2025) 60
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Tanzania 1990-2025) 61
Table: Population By Age Group (Tanzania 1990-2025) 61
Table: Population By Age Group % (Tanzania 1990-2025) 62
Methodology 64
Industry Forecast Methodology 64
Sector-Specific Methodology 65

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