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  5. > Spain Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Spain Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 69 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

We have made minor forecast revisions but our core outlook remains unchanged in the latest Q4 2016 Spanish agribusiness update. We hold the view that the dairy sector will be under intense pressure after the removal of the European dairy quota. The dairy production in the country will now have to compete directly with German dairy farmers, historically known for far superior levels of efficiency and competitive. The dairy sub-sector is now adapting to the end of the quota and this will most likely impose significant competitive pressures on producers. For grains, wheat will record the strongest growth out to 2020 as farmers begin to substitute away from corn and barley. The livestock sector will witness a modest upward trend in terms of production, driven by strong export demand for pork. We see pork as the outperforming livestock segment, followed by poultry and beef.


Key Forecasts

- Average annual wheat production growth 2015/16-2019/20: 1.6% to 7.0mn tonnes. Wheat will record the strongest growth in the grains complex as farmers will moderately substitute away from corn and barley due to the crop diversification required by the new Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) support scheme.

Table Of Contents

Spain Agribusiness Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Key Forecasts 7
Key Trends and Industry Developments 8
SWOT 9
Agribusiness 9
Industry Forecast 11
Dairy Outlook 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Spain - Dairy Production and Consumption Outlook 11
Table: Risks To Outlook 12
Structural Trends 12
Table: Dairy Production and Consumption (Spain 2015-2020) 15
Sugar Outlook 16
Latest Updates 16
Table: Spain - Sugar Production and Consumption Outlook 16
Table: Risks To Outlook 16
Structural Trends 17
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Spain 2014-2020) 19
Livestock Outlook 20
Latest Updates 20
Table: Spain - Livestock Production and Consumption Outlook 20
Table: Risks To Outlook 20
Structural Trends 21
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Spain 2012-2020) 24
Grains Outlook 25
Latest Updates 25
Table: Spain - Grains Production and Consumption Outlook 25
Table: Risks To Outlook 25
Structural Trends 26
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (Spain 2012-2020) 29
Commodity Price Analysis 30
Global - Global Commodities Strategy 30
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 30
Upstream Analysis 32
Europe Machinery Outlook 32
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (company-based estimates) 35
Europe GM Outlook 38
Europe Fertiliser Outlook 45
Spain Agribusiness Report Q4 2016$$
Downstream Analysis 51
Food 51
Latest Updates 51
Structural Trends 52
Table: Food Sales (Spain 2013-2020) 54
Regional Overview 56
Europe Regional Overview 56
Competitive Landscape 62
Table: Key Agribusiness Companies 62
Demographic Forecast 63
Demographic Outlook 63
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Spain 1990-2025) 64
Table: Key Population Ratios (Spain 1990-2025) 64
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Spain 1990-2025) 65
Table: Population By Age Group (Spain 1990-2025) 65
Table: Population By Age Group % (Spain 1990-2025) 66
Methodology 68
Industry Forecast Methodology 68
Sector-Specific Methodology 69

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