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  4. > Peru Power Report Q4 2016

Peru Power Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 63 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates



BMI View: Strong growth in electricity consumption, government tenders for power generation andtransmissions projects, and a business-friendly new government support our positive outlook for thePeruvian power sector. Delays to the Southern Peruvian Pipeline confirm our view that delays in projecttendering and implementation are the main risk in the Peruvian power sector, although we maintain thatthe pipeline will eventually be built - given the government's political commitment to it.Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- Underpinning our positive outlook for the Peruvian power sector, we believe that the government ofPedro Pablo Kuczynski will adopt a business-friendly economic agenda and prioritise investment ininfrastructure. President Kuczynski is committed to facilitating the completion of the Southern Peruviangas Pipeline and to starting to export excess power to Chile. This supports our forecasts for robust growthin gas-fired power generation in Peru and for growing power exports.

- We expect the completion of the Southern Peruvian Pipeline (Gasoducto Sur Peruano, GSP) to bedelayed as a result of the problems facing Brazilian constructor Odebrecht, the owner of a 55% stake inthe operation of the pipeline and 71% in the construction project. As of July 2016, multiple bidders forOdebrecht's stakes have come forward, but the financing for the GSP has yet to be agreed and disbursedby a syndicate of banks.

Table Of Contents

Peru Power Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Peru 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Peru Snapshot 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Peru 2015-2019) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Peru 2020-2025) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 11
Peru Power Forecast Scenario 12
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast 13
Table: Peru Key Thermal Power Pipeline 15
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast 19
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast 21
Table: Peru's Third Renewables Energy Auction - Results 22
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 25
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Peru 2014-2019) 25
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Peru 2020-2025) 25
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Peru 2014-2019) 26
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Peru 2020-2025) 27
Electricity Consumption 27
Table: Peru - Key Copper Projects 28
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Peru 2014-2019) 29
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Peru 2020-2025) 29
Transmission and Distribution, Imports and Exports 30
Table: Power Transmission Projects To Be Tendered By Proinversión 31
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Peru 2014-2019) 32
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Peru 2020-2025) 32
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Peru 2014-2019) 33
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Peru 2020-2025) 33
Industry Risk/Reward Index 34
LatAm Risk and Reward Index (RRI): Macroeconomic Dynamics Weighing On Outlook 34
Peru Power Risk/Reward Index 41
Rewards 41
Risks 41
Market Overview 43
Key Policies And Market Structure 43
Regulation And Competition 43
Peru Power Projects Database 44
Competitive Landscape 46
Electroperu 47
Enel 47
Duke Energy/Egenor 48
Engie/Enersur 48
EGE San Gaban 48
Perenesa 49
Regional Overview 50
LatAm Power: Key Regional Themes 50
Table: BMI'S Key Themes For Latin America's Power Industry In 2016 And Beyond 53
Table: New Opportunities In LatAm Power Transmission Sector 53
Glossary 57
Table: Glossary Of Terms 57
Methodology 58
Methodology And Sources 58
Industry Forecast Methodology 58
Sources 61
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 61
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 62
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 63

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