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Thailand Retail Report Q4 2016

  • September 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 63 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

After a difficult 2015, Thailand's economy is starting to recover, supported by large public spending on infrastructure projects and flourishing tourism sector. While political instability remains a constant risk, especially with the much revered King Bhumibol being in poor health, the retail sector has proven its resilience and ability to rebound strongly after political crises in the past. In the meantime, we do not expect major changes in household spending distribution among different product/service categories over the coming year, but we note that constantly rising incomes will enable consumers to afford highervalue purchases across the board.

Key Views
& Developments

- According to Thailand's National and Economic Development Board, total value of wholesale, retail and repairs increased by 5.2% year-on-year (y-o-y) during the first half of 2016. During Q116, growth reached 5.4% (y-o-y), with this figure weakening slightly to 5.0% (y-o-y) in Q216.

- We forecast total household spending to increase by an annual average of 6.3% during the next five years. In absolute terms, the spending will rise from USD221.1bn in 2015 to USD300.2bn in 2020.

Table Of Contents

Thailand Retail Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Thailand 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Thailand 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Thailand 2013-2020) 15
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Thailand 2013-2020) 16
Retail Sector Forecast 19
Latest Updates 19
Structural Trends 19
Food, Drink And Tobacco 21
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Thailand 2013-2020) 21
Clothing And Footwear 22
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Thailand 2013-2020) 22
Household Goods 23
Table: Household Goods Spending (Thailand 2013-2020) 23
Table: Consumer Electronics Spending (Thailand 2013-2020) 24
Personal Care and Effects 25
Table: Personal Care Spending (Thailand 2013-2020) 25
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 26
Latest Updates 26
Table: Household Income Data (Thailand 2013-2020) 27
Table: Labour Market Data (Thailand 2013-2020) 30
Demographic Forecast 31
Latest Updates 31
Structural Trends 32
Table: Total Population (Thailand 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Babies (Thailand 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Young Children (Thailand 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Children (Thailand 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Thailand 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Young People (Thailand 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Thailand 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Thailand 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Young Adults (Thailand 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Thailand 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Urban (Thailand 2013-2020) 36
Industry Risk/Reward Index 37
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index 37
Table: Asia Pacific Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q416 37
Industry Risk/Reward Index 38
Rewards 38
Risks 39
Market Overview 40
Competitive Landscape 45
Clothing And Footwear 45
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers 45
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement 46
Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers 46
Electronics 47
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 47
Department Stores 47
Table: Selected Department Stores 47
E-Commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces 48
Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces 48
Pharmacies And Drugstores 49
Table: Selected Pharmacies And Drugstores 49
Glossary 50
Methodology 57
Industry Forecast Methodology 57
Sources 60
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 60
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 61
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 63

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