Electric Buses and Taxis 2012-2022

  • November 2012
  • -
  • IDTechEx Ltd
  • -
  • 260 pages

This is the world's first report forecasting the global market for electric buses and taxis both hybrid and pure electric. It separately forecasts the market in the most important country, China, and it takes a detailed look at technologies present and future with a blunt assessment of reasons for failure and threats for the future, not just the positive aspects. The market for electric buses and taxis will rise 8.7 times from 2012 to 2022, approaching $60 billion not long after that. The buses will be designed exclusively for purpose, though some will have power trains used for trucks as well. The taxis will largely consist of regular cars and people movers with modest adaptation. We explain why, for both, this is the decade of the hybrid but with pure electric versions coming up fast. China will become by far the largest market for both electric buses and electric taxis within the decade. This report looks at the statistics and trends for conventional buses and taxis, the government incentives, paybacks and new technologies with detailed tables and figures to summarise the situation, so the reader can understand the situation with ease. There are no rambling anecdotes or cut and paste of catalog items here - this is all summary, comparison and prediction with numbers, unit values, specifications and a profusion of images.

This uniquely up to date reference book is extremely thorough. Just one of the tables lists 78 hybrid bus manufacturers with country and product image, another lists 53 pure electric bus manufacturers with country and product image and another compares 68 lithium-ion traction battery manufacturers with cathode and anode chemistry and other technical detail and who is using these batteries - naming bus, car and other companies using them, explaining who is winning and why. There is a table comparing eight electric taxi projects with country, image and commentary, including technical detail, and another comparing many fuel cell bus trials. Many of the figures are graphs, bar charts, pie charts, and other analysis to allow you to assess the situation quickly and conveniently.
The market forecasts cover units, unit prices and total market value 2012-2022 backed up by forecasts for the market for all types of bus taken together, each for global and separately China. Taxi number, unit value and market value is similarly forecasted and the whole is put in the context of statistics for past sales and production output by manufacturer and forecasts for the electric vehicle market as a whole. The leading suppliers are identified. Transmission manufacturers are compared using sectioned technical diagrams. There is a glossary of terms and one hour of free consultancy with every purchase will answer any questions you have remaining.

Table Of Contents

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
1.1. Definitions
1.2. Manufacturing buses and taxis
1.3. Hybrids are key for now
1.4. Advantages of electric buses
1.5. Basis for forecasting global bus sales by region
1.6. Demand and production in China
1.7. Adoption of electric buses vs electric cars
1.8. Taxis
2. INTRODUCTION
2.1. Electric vehicles in general
2.2. Advantages of electric buses
2.3. Highlights 2011-2021
2.4. Definitions and trends
2.5. Modest success of electric microbuses
2.6. Convergence of hybrid and pure electric buses.
2.7. Convergence of trolley buses and free running electric buses
2.8. CNG Preferred for Los Angeles Buses
3. ELECTRIC BUS MANUFACTURERS AND TECHNOLOGIES
3.1. History of electric buses
3.2. Main components of hybrid bus power trains
3.3. Superbus
3.4. Fuel cells rescued by batteries
4. PROFILES OF SOME INTERESTING SUPPLIERS
4.1. Alexander Dennis UK
4.2. Anhui Ankai Automobile Company China
4.3. BYD China
4.4. Daimler Germany
4.5. Hino Motors and parent company, Toyota Japan
4.6. IVECO Italy
4.7. ISE Corp, USA
4.8. Navistar USA
4.9. Nova Bus Canada
4.10. Optare UK
4.11. Proterra
4.12. Ryobe Bus Japan
4.13. TATA India
4.14. Wrightbus UK
4.15. Zhongtong Bus Holding Co., Ltd, China
5. BUS DRIVE TRAINS
5.1. Adura Systems USA
5.2. Allison Transmission USA
5.3. Azure Dynamics USA
5.4. BAE Systems UK, USA
5.5. BLK China
5.6. Eaton USA
5.7. ISE Corporation
5.8. SIM Drive Corporation Japan
5.9. SR Drives UK, Green Propulsion Belgium
5.10. ThunderVolt USA
6. ELECTRIC TAXI MANUFACTURERS AND TECHNOLOGIES
6.1. Electric taxi projects in US, UK, Europe, China, Japan and Mexico
6.1.1. China
6.1.2. Mexico
6.2. Mitsubishi taxi rollout in Japan 2011
6.2.1. Mitsubishi MiEV taxi
7. TRACTION BATTERIES, FUEL CELLS, RANGE EXTENDERS
7.1. Traction batteries
7.2. Who is Winning in Traction Batteries and Why
7.2.1. The needs have radically changed
7.2.2. It started with cobalt
7.2.3. Great variety of recipes
7.2.4. Other factors
7.2.5. Check with reality
7.2.6. Lithium winners today and soon
7.2.7. Reasons for winning
7.2.8. Lithium polymer electrolyte now important
7.2.9. Winning chemistry
7.2.10. Titanate establishes a place
7.2.11. Laminar structure
7.2.12. Niche winners
7.2.13. Fluid situation
8. FUEL CELLS
8.1. Trials of fuel cell powered vehicles
8.2. Fuel cell 2000 summary of fuel cell bus trials to 2010
8.3. Range extenders
9. MARKET STATISTICS AND FORECASTS
9.1. Past trends
9.1.1. Commercial vehicles
9.2. Buses - historical trends
9.3. School buses - North America
9.4. Past trend in bus production by country
9.5. US population of buses by type
9.6. Transport modes in India
9.7. Motor vehicle production by leading producers
9.8. Global electric bus deliveries to start of 2011
9.9. Forecasts to 2022
9.9.1. Global demand for electric buses and taxis
9.9.2. Manufacturing buses and taxis
9.10. Technology future
9.10.1. Hybrids are key for now
9.11. Future leading manufacturers
9.11.1. Today's leading electric bus manufacturer
9.11.2. Future leading user nation
9.11.3. Buses and taxis a good launch pad for new technologies
9.11.4. Global conventional and electric bus demand 2010-2021
9.11.5. Advantages of electric buses
9.12. Decade of the hybrid
9.13. Liberty Electric Cars
9.14. Basis for forecasting global bus sales by region
9.15. Conventional and electric bus demand and production in China
9.16. Adoption of electric buses vs electric cars
9.17. Global electric vehicle manufacturers by application
9.18. Chinese manufacturers of electric vehicles by application
9.18.2. Taxis
9.19. Adoption of green taxis
9.20. Electric vehicles in East Asia
APPENDIX 1: IDTECHEX PUBLICATIONS AND CONSULTANCY
APPENDIX 2: INTRODUCTION TO ELECTRIC VEHICLES

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