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Polish Metallurgy Report - 2015

  • April 2015
  • -
  • Emerging Markets Direct Media Holdings
  • -
  • 16 pages

The current report reviews the developments in Poland's metallurgical sector in 2014 (including available data for the first months of 2015) and provides an overall picture of the current trends and the outlook for the industry.

The metallurgical sector represents a significant part of Poland's industry. It is dominated by the steel industry, which accounts for more than 90% of the country's total metallurgical output. Copper production makes about 7% of the total, while other metals, like lead and zinc make the balance.

Key points:

oPoland's steel production sector is mostly driven by the main domestic consumers - the construction sector, the auto manufacturing industry, the producers of machinery and other metal products and household appliances makers;

oPoland is the biggest steel producer in the CEE region and the sixth biggest in the EU, accounting for about 5% of the bloc's total crude steel output. The market is dominated by ArcelorMittal, which controls about 70% of the country's steel producing capacity, but accounts for about 50% of the annual output in the post-crisis years, following idling of several blast furnaces;

oAfter two years of contraction, Poland's crude steel output grew 8.4% y/y in 2014 and is set to keep on rising in the medium term, driven by robust perspectives for the key domestic consumers - the automotive and construction sectors;

oAfter two years of contraction, Poland's apparent crude steel consumption soared 18% y/y to an all-time high of 12.19mn tonnes in 2014, as performance improved at both the automotive and construction sectors. Consumption is also set to grow further in the coming years, reaching new record high levels;

oPoland's copper sector is dominated by 32% state-owned KGHM, which is the sole domestic copper mining company and one of the leading copper producers in Europe.

oKGHM Polska produced 421,000 tonnes of copper in concentrate in 2014, accounting for 2.3% of the total global copper mine production. It produced also an all-time high of 576,900 tonnes of electrolytic copper, up 2.1% y/y;

oKGHM plans to push its copper production capacity to over 1mn tonnes by 2020. It plans to increase ore output at its Polish mines, but it is overseas where it hopes to get the largest boost. Domestic projects are set to account for more than half of its 2015-2020 CAPEX plan of PLN27bn.

Table Of Contents

Polish Metallurgy Report - 2015
Executive summary4

Poland's economy at a glance5

The metallurgical sector7

Steel industry8

Crude steel production8

Pig iron production9

Production of hot-rolled products9

Steel consumption10

Automotive industry10

Construction industry11

Market outlook11

ArcelorMittal threatens to shut down Krakow blast furnace11

Environmental challenges12

Copper industry12

Copper production12

Mine production13

Smelter production13

Copper consumption14

KGHM sales14

Global demand14

Market outlook15

KGHM plans to push copper production past 1mn tonnes15

Gaworzyce-Radwanice deposit development plans15

Energy challenges and projects15

Tables and charts

Table 1 Contribution to GDP volume growth rate (on percentage basis)6

Table 2 Main features of EC's 2015 Winter Forecast report6

Table 3 Key indicators from IMF's April 2015 World Economic Outlook7

Table 4 Crude steel production and consumption10

Table 6 KGHM's Polish mine production13

Table 7 KGHM smelter production14

Table 8 KGHM sales volumes14

Figure 1 GDP, quarterly data, annual % growth5

Figure 4 Metallurgical sector structure7

Figure 5 Polish monthly crude steel output, thousand tonnes8

Figure 6 BOF and EAF steel production, mn tonnes9

Figure 7 Pig iron production9

Figure 8 Production of hot-rolled products (excluding semi-finished products), thousand tonnes and y/y % change10

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