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  5. > Large-Scale Renewable Energy Power Development Opportunities in Sub-Saharan Africa 

This research service on renewable energy (RE) power development opportunities in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) provides market drivers and restraints, overview of RE support policies prevalent in the region, ranking of countries offering the best market opportunities as well as a detailed list of operating and RE power projects under development. In addition, the study identifies countries with the most conducive regulatory, political and economic landscape for RE power development. In this research, Frost & Sullivan's expert analysts thoroughly examine the following technologies:

- solar photovoltaic (PV)
- concentrated solar power (CSP)
- wind power
- geothermal power

Market Overview

Need for long-term sustainability promotes RE sector

The increasing focus on sustainable power generation is driving SSA to move from fossil fuels to RE. The region's large untapped RE resources, including solar, wind, hydro and geothermal, are further promoting this trend. However, the low bankability of RE projects, limited grid capacity and stability, and the lack of economies of scale (in terms of electricity demand) are holding back the implementation of large-scale RE power projects. The reluctance of some countries in the region to allow the private sector to develop power projects, even though it has been proven to be a more cost-effective strategy, is also hindering the growth of the sector. Government's willingness to involve the private sector and ensure clear policies and regulations for the development of independent power producers (IPPs) will greatly facilitate new RE power projects.
East and Southern Africa are showing the highest market potential. Being the most advanced economy in SSA with high RE targets, South Africa is experiencing a significant amount of investments in new large-scale CSP, PV, and wind power projects. This success is bolstered by the 2011 implementation of the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Program (REIPPPP). Following South Africa, Tanzania, Kenya, Namibia, Zambia, Nigeria, and Botswana present the best opportunities. Ghana, Cote d'Ivoire, and Ethiopia also deserve particular attention for future investment opportunities due to their favourable legislative and institutional framework and governments' inclination to fast-track the development of RE power projects. Burgeoning RE power projects will also drive a green economy and help in creating jobs in related fields such as construction, operation, and maintenance of RE power plants.

Table Of Contents

Large-Scale Renewable Energy Power Development Opportunities in Sub-Saharan Africa 
Table Of Contents

Aim and Scope
1 Aim and Scope
2 Limitations
3 Methodology


Executive Summary
1 Key Findings
2 Key Findings
3 Key Findings
4 Key Findings


Drivers and Restraints
1 Renewable Energy Power Project Drivers
2 Renewable Energy Power Project Drivers
3 Renewable Energy Power Project Restraints
4 Renewable Energy Power Project Restraints


Renewable Energy Support Policies
1 Description of RE Support Policies
2 2015 Outlook of Global Renewable Energy Policies
3 Adoption Timeline of Renewable Energy Policies
4 Early 2015 RE Support Policies in SSA
5 Historical IPP Presence
6 Offtaker/Sovereign Creditworthiness
7 Political and Commercial Risk Guarantees
8 Political and Commercial Risk Guarantees
9 FiT and Premium Payments—Kenya
10 FiT and Premium Payments—Kenya
11 FiT and Premium Payments—Uganda
12 FiT and Premium Payments—Uganda
13 FiT and Premium Payments—Tanzania
14 FiT and Premium Payments—Tanzania
15 FiT and Premium Payments—Rwanda
16 FiT and Premium Payments—Nigeria
17 FiT and Premium Payments—Nigeria
18 FiT and Premium Payments—Ghana
19 FiT and Premium Payments—Ghana
20 FiT and Premium Payments—“Policies In the Making”
21 FiT and Premium Payments—Discontinued Policies
22 National Green Economy Strategy


Identification of Opportunities
1 Solar (PV and CSP) Resource Potential
2 Wind Resource Potential
3 Top 15 SSA Countries for CSP Resource Potential
4 Top 15 SSA Countries for Solar PV Resource Potential
5 Top 15 SSA Countries for Wind Resource Potential
6 SSA Countries with Geothermal Resource Potential
7 Country Ranking Methodology
8 Why These Factors?
9 Country Ranking Results—RE Support Policies
10 Country Ranking Results—Ease of Doing Business
11 Country Ranking Results—Corruption Perceptions Index
12 Country Ranking Results—Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism
13 Country Ranking Results—Global Competitiveness Index-Basic Requirements
14 Country Ranking Results—GDP (PPP)
15 Country Ranking Results—Electrification Rate
16 CSP—Final Weighted Score and Ranking
17 PV—Final Weighted Score
18 Wind—Final Weighted Score
19 Geothermal—Final Weighted Score
20 Top 5 Summary
21 Top 5 Summary
22 Outsiders—Ethiopia and Ghana
23 Outsiders—Côte d'Ivoire and Zambia


Large-Scale Renewable Energy Power Projects
1 Existing RE Power Installed Capacity
2 Selected Operational RE Power Projects
3 Existing RE Power Installed Capacity—Explained
4 Limitations
5 Pipeline of RE Projects
6 Pipeline of RE Projects
7 Pipeline of RE Projects
8 Pipeline of RE Projects
9 Pipeline of RE Projects
10 Pipeline of RE Projects
11 Pipeline of RE Projects
12 Pipeline of RE Projects
13 Pipeline of RE Projects
14 Pipeline of RE Projects
15 Pipeline of RE Projects
16 Pipeline of RE Projects
17 Pipeline of RE Projects
18 Pipeline of RE Projects
19 Pipeline of RE Projects
20 Pipeline of RE Projects
21 Pipeline of RE Projects
22 Pipeline of RE Projects—Explained
23 Pipeline of RE Projects—CSP Country Breakdown
24 Pipeline of RE Projects—Solar PV Country Breakdown
25 Pipeline of RE Projects—Wind Country Breakdown
26 Pipeline of RE Projects—Geothermal Country Breakdown
27 Africa Power Sector 2030—Total Future Investments
28 Africa Power Sector 2030—IRENA High RE Scenario
29 Africa Power Sector 2030—IRENA Low RE Scenario
30 Africa Power Sector 2030—IEA Africa Energy Outlook
31 Africa Power Sector 2030—IEA Africa Energy Outlook
32 Africa Power Sector 2030—IEA Forecasts Comments
33 Africa Power Sector 2030—Comparison


Market Trends and the Way Forward
1 Main Challenges
2 Bankability
3 Grid Capacity and Electricity Affordability
4 South Africa REIPPPP Example
5 Future Requirements
6 New Financing Scheme—Scaling Solar Programme
7 New Financing Scheme—Scaling Up RE Programme


1 Conclusion
2 Legal Disclaimer


1 List of Acronyms
2 List of Acronyms
3 List of Acronyms


The Frost and Sullivan Story
1 The Frost and Sullivan Story
2 Value Proposition: Future of Your Company and Career
3 Global Perspective
4 Industry Convergence
5 360º Research Perspective
6 Implementation Excellence
7 Our Blue Ocean Strategy

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