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  5. > Libya Oil and Gas Strategic Analysis and Outlook to 2025- Forecasts of Supply, Demand, Investment, Companies and Infrastructure (Fields, Blocks, Pipelines, LNG, Refinery, Storage Assets)

OGAnalysis, one of the leading research and consulting service providers for the oil and gas industry, recently published the “Libya Oil and Gas Strategic Analysis and Outlook to 2025”. The premier report provides analysis of key opportunities and associated challenges facing Libya oil and gas industry.

Amidst downfall in oil prices creating uncertainty on the future of Libya industry growth, the report details key strategies of government, oil and gas companies and investors in the country. Detailed outlook of the industry in terms of production forecasts of oil, gas, LNG, LPG, gasoline, diesel, fuel oil along with supporting parameters of primary energy demand, GDP and population are included.

Current status of planned projects along with the possible commencement of the projects, feasibility of developing those projects in current market conditions, expected start up, impact of competing assets in other countries and overall industry developments, investments required and other related information on planned projects is provided in detail.

The comprehensive guide provides analysis and forecasts of Libya oil and gas market for the period 2000 to 2025. Asset by asset details of all existing and planned projects across Libya oil and gas value chain are detailed in the report.

Driven by strong methodology and proprietary databases, reliable projections of oil, gas, petroleum products, coal, and LNG- supply and demand are made to 2025. The research work examines the existing infrastructure (oil and gas assets), market conditions, investment climate and competitive landscape of upstream, midstream and downstream sectors.

SWOT Analysis and benchmarking tools are used to analyze and compare the real prospects and challenges of investing or expanding in the industry. Further, the report details all the investment opportunities sector wise, highlighting the industry growth potential and project feasibility. Detailed information on new fields, blocks, pipelines, refineries, storage assets and LNG terminals along with the investments required, current status of the projects and commencement feasibility are provided.

The report also analyzes three key companies in Libya oil and gas industry. Business operations, SWOT Analysis and financial performance of the companies are provided. All latest developments in the industry along with their possible impact on the industry are included in the report.

Some of the Key issues addressed in the report include-

- How will be oil and gas supply scenario in Libya by 2025?
- Which of the petroleum products will witness the maximum demand growth by 2025?
- What are the new risks and opportunities for investors/ oil and gas companies?
- What are the potential investment opportunities in Libya and how much investment is needed?
- How did the production from major fields vary over the last decade?
- What is the current status of all planned projects in Libya?
- Who is the market leader and what is the market concentration ratio of pipelines, upstream, oil storage, refining, LNG and UGS sectors?
- What will be the coking/FCC/HCC/VDU capacities in the Libya by 2020?
- How much of the LNG capacity is contracted and how much will be available for contracts by 2020?
- What will be the crude oil/petroleum products/chemicals storage capacity by 2020?
- How much natural gas can be withdrawn from underground gas storage tanks in a day?
- How extensive is the pipeline transportation network in the country?

Table Of Contents

Libya Oil and Gas Strategic Analysis and Outlook to 2025- Forecasts of Supply, Demand, Investment, Companies and Infrastructure (Fields, Blocks, Pipelines, LNG, Refinery, Storage Assets)
1 Table of Contents 2
1.1 List of Tables 6
1.2 List of Figures 8
2 Libya Oil and Gas Industry Overview 9
2.1 Libya Oil and Gas Market Snapshot, 2014 9
2.2 Libya Demographic Overview 10
2.3 Libya Proven Oil and Gas Reserves, 2000- 2014 12
2.4 Libya Oil and Gas Supply and Demand Scenario 14
2.5 Libya Oil and Gas Value Chain Analysis 15
2.6 Libya Total Primary Energy Demand, 2000- 2020 16
2.7 Libya Primary Energy Consumption Mix by Fuel, 2015 18
2.8 Oil and Gas Operational Infrastructure 19
2.8.1 Libya Upstream Oil and Gas Assets 19
2.8.2 Libya Midstream Oil and Gas Assets 20
2.8.3 Libya Downstream Oil and Gas Assets 23
2.9 Libya Licensing and Regulatory Authorities 24
3 Key Trends in Libya Oil and Gas Markets 25
3.1 Europe is the major destination to Libya's exports 25
3.2 Proposals for Restart of Closed Oilfields and Pipelines Underway 25
3.3 Lack of Technology Limits LNG Production in Libya 25
3.4 Libya aims to Develop its Untapped Hydrocarbon Potential 26
3.5 Libya's GDP to exceed $100 Billion by 2025 26
3.6 Libya Population to Grow by 3% 28
4 New Business Opportunities in Libya Oil and Gas Industry 29
4.1 Libya Upstream Opportunities 29
4.2 Libya Midstream Opportunities 30
4.2.1 Planned LNG Terminals 30
4.2.2 Planned Pipelines- 30
4.3 Libya Downstream Opportunities 30
4.3.1 Planned Refinery Projects 30
5 Libya Oil and Gas SWOT Analysis 31
5.1 Key Strengths of Investing in Libya Oil and Gas Markets 31
5.2 Key Weaknesses Faced by Companies in Libya Oil and Gas Markets 32
5.3 Key Opportunities for New Entrants, Companies and Investors in Libya Oil and Gas Markets 33
5.4 Key Threats and Challenges Faced by Libya Oil and Gas Players 34
6 Libya Oil, Gas, Products Production and Consumption Outlook to 2025 35
6.1 Libya Crude Oil Demand Outlook to 2025 35
6.2 Libya Natural Gas Demand Outlook to 2025 37
6.3 Libya Gasoline Demand Outlook to 2025 39
6.4 Libya Diesel Oil Demand Outlook to 2025 41
6.5 Libya Fuel Oil Demand Outlook to 2025 43
6.6 Libya LPG Demand Outlook to 2025 45
6.7 Libya Crude Oil Supply Outlook to 2025 47
6.8 Libya Natural Gas Supply Outlook to 2025 49
6.9 Libya Gasoline Supply Outlook to 2025 51
6.10 Libya Diesel Oil Supply Outlook to 2025 53
6.11 Libya Fuel Oil Supply Outlook to 2025 55
6.12 Libya LPG Supply Outlook to 2025 57
7 Comparison of Libya with African Oil and Gas Markets 59
7.1 Overall Ranking of Markets, 2014 59
7.2 Demographic and Economic Index 59
7.3 Oil and Gas Supply Index 60
7.4 Oil and Gas Demand Index 60
7.5 Oil and Gas Infrastructure Index 61
8 Libya Oil and Gas Industry Competitive Landscape 62
8.1 Oil Production Sector- Market Structure, 2012 62
8.2 Gas Production Sector- Market Structure, 2012 63
8.3 Refining Sector- Market Shares by Company, 2014 64
8.4 Oil Storage Sector- Market Shares by Company, 2014 65
8.5 Pipeline Sector- Market Shares by Company, 2014 66
9 Libya Exploration and Production Market Analysis 67
9.1 Crude Oil Production, 2005- 2012 67
9.1.1 Crude Oil Production by Field, 2005- 2012 67
9.1.2 Crude Oil Production by Company, 2005- 2012 68
9.2 Natural Gas Production, 2005- 2013 68
9.2.1 Natural Gas Production by Field, 2005- 2013 68
9.2.2 Natural Gas Production by Company, 2005- 2012 69
10 Libya Oil Refinery Market Analysis and Outlook to 2020 70
10.1 Libya Refining Industry 70
10.1.1 Outlook and Overview 70
10.1.2 Refining Capacity Outlook to 2020 71
10.1.3 Refinery Complexity 71
10.2 Libya Refining Capacity Forecast by Refinery, 2005-2020 71
10.3 Libya Hydro- treating Capacity Forecast, 2005-2020 72
10.4 Libya Reformer Capacity Forecast, 2005-2020 72
10.5 Location, Operator, Ownership, Start Up Details of Operational Refineries in Libya 73
10.6 Company wise Refining Capacity, 2005-2020 73
11 Libya Liquefied Natural Gas Market Analysis and Outlook to 2020 74
11.1 Libya LNG Industry Overview 74
11.2 Libya, LNG Capacity Outlook to 2020 75
11.2.1 Libya- Liquefaction Capacity Outlook to 2020 75
11.3 LNG Terminals under Operation, 2013 76
11.4 Libya, LNG Capacity by Terminal, 2005-2020 76
11.4.1 Libya Liquefaction Capacity by Terminal, 2005-2020 76
11.5 LNG Industry Competitive Landscape 76
11.5.1 Libya Liquefaction Capacity by Company, 2005-2020 76
12 Libya Storage Market Analysis and Outlook 77
12.1 Libya Storage Industry Overview 77
12.2 Libya Storage Capacity Forecast, 2005-2020 77
12.3 Location, Operator, Ownership, Start Up Details of Operational Oil and Gas Storage Terminals in Libya 78
12.4 Libya Storage Capacity Forecast by Terminal, 2005-2020 79
12.5 Company wise Storage Capacity, 2014 79
13 Libya Transmission Pipeline Market Analysis and Outlook to 2020 80
13.1 Libya Pipeline Industry Overview 80
13.2 Major Crude Oil Pipelines in Libya 82
13.3 Major Gas Pipelines in Libya 83
13.4 Major Product Pipelines in Libya 85
13.5 Company wise Pipelin Length, 2014 85
14 Key Players In Libya Oil and Gas Markets 86
14.1 National Oil Corporation- Libya 86
14.1.1 Overview 86
14.1.2 Subsidiaries and Associated Companies 87
14.1.3 Business Description 89
14.1.4 SWOT Analysis 90
14.1.5 Contact Information 93
14.2 ENI SpA 94
14.2.1 Overview 94
14.2.2 Geographical Operations 95
14.2.3 Business Operations 96
14.2.4 SWOT Analysis 98
14.2.5 Contact Information 100
14.2.6 Key Financial Information 101
14.3 Repsol YPF SA 102
14.3.1 Overview 102
14.3.2 Geographical Operations 103
14.3.3 Business Operations 104
14.3.4 SWOT Analysis 106
14.3.5 Corporate headquarters 108
14.3.6 Financial Analysis 109
15 Latest Oil and Gas Industry Developments in Libya 110
15.1 Libyan oil fields are secure: Libya's info. Minister- July 2015 110
15.2 Talks ongoing to restart closed Libyan oilfields, output stable: NOC- June 2015 111
15.3 Libya rivals fight for control of National Oil Corporation - March 2015 112
15.4 ENI discovery new gas and condensates in offshore Libya- May 2015 115
15.5 Libya in talks with foreign firm to build two refineries- May 2015 116
15.6 Libya's biggest crude oil export terminal could reopen in two weeks- April 2015 117
15.7 Libya says 11 oil fields non-operational after Islamic State attacks- March 2015 119
15.8 Libya warns of possible oil shutdown as violence intensifies- February 2015 121
15.9 Bomb blast hits Libya pipeline, halts oil field operations- February 2015 123
15.10 Libya's Sharara Field Resumes Production despite Early Halts - September 2014 124
15.11 Libya's Zawiya Refinery and El Sharara Oil Field Shut- September 2014 125
15.12 U.A.E. Ceases All Shipments to Libya- Spetember 2014 126
15.13 AGOCO discovers oil in the Sirte Basin- August 2014 127
15.14 Foster Wheeler-Led JV Awarded Feed Contract for Nafusah Onshore Oilfield Development in Libya- July 2014 127
16 Appendix 130
16.1 Abbreviations 130
16.2 Sources and Methodology 130
16.3 Contact Information 131
16.4 Disclaimer 131

Table 1: Libya Oil and Gas Industry Overview, 2014 9
Table 2: Libya Proven Oil and Gas Reserves, 2000- 2014 12
Table 3: Libya Planned Refinery Details 30
Table 4: Libya Crude Oil Demand Forecast, 2000-2025 35
Table 5: Libya Natural Gas Demand Forecast, 2000-2025 37
Table 6: Libya Gasoline Demand Forecast, 2005-2025 39
Table 7: Libya Diesel Oil Demand Forecast, 2005-2025 41
Table 8: Libya Fuel Oil Demand Forecast, 2005-2025 43
Table 9: Libya LPG Demand Forecast, 2005-2025 45
Table 10: Libya Crude Oil Supply Forecast, 2000-2025 47
Table 11: Libya Natural Gas Supply Forecast, 2000-2025 49
Table 12: Libya Gasoline Supply Forecast, 2005-2025 51
Table 13: Libya Diesel Oil Supply Forecast, 2005-2025 53
Table 14: Libya Fuel Oil Supply Forecast, 2005-2025 55
Table 15: Libya LPG Supply Forecast, 2005-2025 57
Table 16: Libya Oil and Gas Benchmarking- Overall Ranking 59
Table 17: Libya Oil and Gas Benchmarking- Demographic and Economic Index 59
Table 18: Libya Oil and Gas Benchmarking- Supply Index 60
Table 19: Libya Oil and Gas Benchmarking- Demand Index 60
Table 20: Libya Oil and Gas Benchmarking- Infrastructure Index 61
Table 21: Libya Crude Oil Production by Field, Thousand Barrels per day, 2005- 2012 67
Table 22: Libya Crude Oil Production by Major Company, Thousand Barrels Per day, 2005- 2012 68
Table 23: Libya Natural Gas Production by Field, Mmcm/d, 2005- 2013 68
Table 24: Libya Natural Gas Production by Company, MMcmd, 2005- 2012 69
Table 25: Libya Refining Capacity Forecast, Kb/d, 2005-2020 71
Table 26: Libya Number of Refineries and Capacity by Complexity, 2014 71
Table 27: Libya Refining Capacity Forecast by Refinery, Kb/d, 2005-2020 71
Table 28: Libya Hydro-treating Capacity Forecast by Refinery, kb/d, 2005-2020 72
Table 29: Libya Reformer Capacity Forecast by Refinery, kb/d, 2005-2020 72
Table 30: Operational Refineries in Libya - Location, Type, Operator and Ownership Details, 2014 73
Table 31: Libya- Company wise Refining Capacities (Kb/d), 2005-2020 73
Table 32: Libya- LNG Liquefaction Capacity Outlook to 2020 75
Table 33: Libya LNG Terminal Details- Location, Type, Operator and Capacity Details 76
Table 34: Libya Liquefaction Capacity By Terminal (mtpa), 2005-2020 76
Table 35: Libya LNG Liquefaction Capacity Forecast by Company (mtpa), 2005-2020 76
Table 36: Libya Total Storage Capacity Forecast, Mmcm, 2005-2020 77
Table 37: Storage Terminals in Libya - Location, Start Up, Operator, Ownership, Products and Tank Details 78
Table 38: Libya Storage Capacity Forecast by Terminal, Thousand m3, 2005-2020 79
Table 39: Libya- Company wise Storage Capacity, Thousand m3, 2014 79
Table 40: Libya- Major Crude Oil Pipelines -(I) 82
Table 41: Libya- Major Crude Oil Pipelines -(II) 83
Table 42: Libya- Major Gas Pipelines (I) 83
Table 43: Libya- Major Gas Pipelines (II) 84
Table 44: Libya- Major Product Pipelines Details 85
Table 45: Libya- Company wise Pipeline Length, Km, 2014 85
Table 46: National Oil Corporation, Libya- Top Level Information 86
Table 47: ENI SpA- Top Level Information 94
Table 48: ENI SpA- Geographical Presence 95
Table 49: ENI S.p.A - Productive Oil and Gas wells, 2014 96
Table 50: ENI S.p.A, Financial Highlights, 2013-2014 101
Table 51: Repsol YPF- Top Level Information 102
Table 52: Repsol YPF SA - Geographical Presence 103
Table 53: Repsol YPF S p A- Financial Overview (€ million), 2013- 2014 109

Figure 1: Libya Map and Geographic Boundaries 11
Figure 2: Libya Proven Oil and Gas Reserves, 2000- 2014 13
Figure 3: Libya Primary Energy Demand Outlook, 2000- 2020 17
Figure 4: Libya Primary Energy Demand by Fuel, 2015 18
Figure 5: Libya GDP Forecast, 2000- 2025 27
Figure 6: Libya Population Forecasts, 2000- 2025 28
Figure 7: Libya Crude Oil Demand Forecast, 2000-2025 36
Figure 8: Libya Natural Gas Demand Forecast, 2000-2025 38
Figure 9: Libya Gasoline Demand Forecast, 2005-2025 40
Figure 10: Libya Diesel Oil Demand Forecast, 2005-2025 42
Figure 11: Libya Fuel Oil Demand Forecast, 2005-2025 44
Figure 12: Libya LPG Demand Forecast, 2005-2025 46
Figure 13: Libya Crude Oil Supply Forecast, 2000-2025 48
Figure 14: Libya Natural Gas Supply Forecast, 2000-2025 50
Figure 15: Libya Gasoline Supply Forecast, 2005-2025 52
Figure 16: Libya Gas/Diesel Oil Supply Forecast, 2005-2025 54
Figure 17: Libya Fuel Oil Supply Forecast, 2005-2025 56
Figure 18: Libya LPG Supply Forecast, 2005-2025 58
Figure 19: Oil Production Industry- Market Structure, 2012 62
Figure 20: Gas Production Industry- Market Structure,Mmcmd, 2012 63
Figure 21: Refining Industry- Market Structure, %, 2014 64
Figure 22: Oil Storage Industry- Market Structure, %, 2014 65
Figure 23: Pipelines Industry- Market Structure, Km, 2014 66

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