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  4. > Belgium Power Report Q4 2016

Belgium Power Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 51 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates



BMI View: Belgium will become more reliant on electricity imports due to the decommissioning of nuclearreactors by the end of our forecast period. Strong growth in non-hydropower renewable electricityinvestment will not provide for sufficient capacity to replace the deficit left by nuclear power. Aninterconnection line under construction to the UK will boost import capacity.Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- The Belgian government rejected the German government's request to shut down the Tihange 2 and Doel3 nuclear reactors. Germany expressed concerns over the safety at the nuclear reactors that are close to itsborders, due to apparent flaws in the reactor pressure vessels. The Belgian government maintained thenuclear reactors are safe and decommissioning of nuclear power plants will only occur from 2022 to2025.

- We maintain our forecasts for Belgium's thermal power sector, which we expect will contract at anannual average of 1.6% up until 2025, decreasing from 20.7 terawatt hours (TWh) in 2016 to 17.7TWh in2025. We expect investment will remain focused on non-hydropower renewable sources. However, afterthe planned decommissioning of nuclear capacity from 2022, we highlight thermal power couldpotentially be more attractive as a complementary power source to renewable power.

- Support for the Rentel and Norther offshore wind farms has been reduced from 20 to 19 years, followingthe approval of a draft law by the Belgian Council of Ministers. The reduction in the support period willreportedly save the Belgian government up to EUR1bn

Table Of Contents

Belgium Power Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Belgium 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Belgium Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Belgium 2014-2019) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Belgium 2020-2025) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
Belgium Power Forecast Scenario 11
Nuclear Generation And Capacity Forecast 11
Table: Belgium - Operating Nuclear Reactors 13
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast 14
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast 15
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 17
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data and Forecasts (Belgium 2014-2019) 17
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (2020-2025) 18
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Belgium 2014-2019) 19
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Belgium 2020-2025) 19
Electricity Consumption 20
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Belgium 2014-2019) 20
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Belgium 2020-2025) 21
Transmission and Distribution 21
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Belgium 2014-2019) 22
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Belgium 2020-2025) 22
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Belgium 2014-2019) 22
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Belgium 2020-2025) 22
Industry Risk Reward Index 23
Europe - NAWE Power RRI: North America Eclipses Western Europe 23
Belgium Power Risk/Reward Index 29
Market Overview 31
Key Policies And Market Structure 31
Regulation And Competition 31
Pricing 31
Sustainable Energy Policies 31
Belgium Power Projects Database 32
Competitive Landscape 34
Company Profile 35
Electrabel 35
Regional Overview 37
NAWE Power Key Themes 37
Glossary 45
Table: Glossary Of Terms 45
Methodology 46
Methodology And Sources 46
Industry Forecast Methodology 46
Sources 49
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 49
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 50
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 51

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