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Spain Retail Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 67 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
BMI View:

Spain's economic outlook will deteriorate over the next two years as strong growth rates in previous quarters prove unsustainable. Private consumption, the main growth driver, will be moderate in 2016 and 2017, while anaemic eurozone growth will weigh on external demand. The outlook will be worsened by the economic fallout resulting from the UK's decision to leave the EU and the ongoing political impasse in Spain.

Key Views And Developments

- We have revised down Spain's real GDP growth forecast to 2.4% (from 2.5%) and 2.0% (from 2.2%) in 2016 and 2017 respectively.

- Although private consumption will continue to be the main driver of growth in Spain over the next two years, we do not believe a sustained recovery is likely.

- While the Spanish unemployment rate has been falling in recent years, it still remains elevated at more than 20%.

Table Of Contents

Spain Retail Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Retail SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Spain 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Spain 2013-2020) 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Spain 2013-2020) 17
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Spain 2013-2020) 18
Retail Sub-Sector Forecast 21
Food, Drink And Tobacco 22
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Spain 2013-2020) 22
Clothing And Footwear 23
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Spain 2013-2020) 23
Household Goods 24
Table: Household Goods Spending (Spain 2013-2020) 24
Table: Consumer Electronics Spending (Spain 2013-2020) 25
Personal Care And Effects 25
Table: Personal Care Spending (Spain 2013-2020) 26
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 27
Table: Household Income Data (Spain 2013-2020) 28
Table: Labour Market Data (Spain 2013-2020) 30
Demographic Forecast 31
Table: Total Population (Spain 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Babies (Spain 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Young Children (Spain 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Children (Spain 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Spain 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Young People (Spain 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Spain 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Spain 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Young Adults (Spain 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Spain 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Urban (Spain 2013-2020) 37
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 38
Developed States Risk/Reward Index 38
Table: Developed States Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q416 38
Spain - Risk/Reward Index 39
Rewards 39
Risks 40
Market Overview 42
Competitive Landscape 50
Clothing And Footwear 50
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers 50
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement 51
Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers 51
Electronics 51
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 51
Department Stores 52
Table: Selected Department Stores 52
E-Commerce And Online Marketplaces 52
Table: Selected E-commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces 52
Pharmacies And Drug Stores 53
Glossary 54
Methodology 61
Industry Forecast Methodology 61
Sources 64
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 64
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 65
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 67

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