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5G Technology Assessment, Market Outlook, and Forecasts 2015 - 2030

  • October 2015
  • -
  • Mind Commerce Publishing
  • -
  • 127 pages

Overview:

Fifth generation (5G) cellular represents the latest stage in the evolution of mobile communications. It is also a new standard that relies upon various supporting technologies including millimeter wave propagation, IPv6 transmission protocol, and many others including some that are still in the R&D stage with major infrastructure providers. Among other major differences as compared to the fourth generation of cellular, 5G network demands higher data rate in a range of several gigabits per seconds (Gbps) and this can achieved using steerable antennas with Millimeter Wave (mmWave) technologies.

Some technologies will become standardized and well-known components of a 5G system whereas other aspects may be optional and even proprietary adjuncts to a standardized system. As with all game-changing technologies of the past, software, platform, and infrastructure providers have a lot at stake in terms of the prospect of their offerings becoming part of the de facto standard or being left behind with stranded R&D expenditures.

This research provides an in-depth assessment of both technical issues (enabling technologies, 5G standardization and research initiatives, spectrum bands, etc.) and business areas (market drivers, challenges, use cases, vertical market applications, regulatory issues, trial commitments, introduction strategies, and impact to CSPs), as well as analysis of the emerging 5G ecosystem.

The report includes specific ecosystem constituent recommendations and forecasts for both 5G investments, subscriptions, and more for the period of 2015 - 2030. All purchases of Mind Commerce reports includes time with an expert analyst who will help you link key findings in the report to the business issues you're addressing. This needs to be used within three months of purchasing the report.

Target Audience:
Mobile network operators
5G infrastructure suppliers
Wireless device manufacturers
Big Data and analytics companies
Semiconductor and embedded companies
M2M and Internet of Things (IoT) companies
Next generation augmented reality providers
Next gen content, commerce, and app companies
Enterprise in all market segments and industry verticals

Table Of Contents

5G Technology Assessment, Market Outlook, and Forecasts 2015 - 2030
Table of Contents:

1.0 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2.0 INTRODUCTION TO 5G TECHNOLOGY
2.1 5G TECHNOLOGY AND FUNCTIONALITY
2.1.1 DIFFERENCES BETWEEN 5G AND 4G
2.2 WHAT 5G TECHNOLOGY CAN OFFER?
2.3 OSI LAYERS IN 5G
2.3.1 PHYSICAL AND MEDIUM ACCESS CONTROL LAYER
2.3.2 NETWORK LAYER
2.3.3 OPEN TRANSPORT PROTOCOL (OTA) LAYER
2.3.4 APPLICATION LAYER
2.4 5G MOTIVATION AND TIMELINE
2.5 5G SPECTRUM OPTIONS AND UTILIZATION
2.6 ELEMENTS OF 5G
2.7 5G CHALLENGES
2.7.1 TECHNOLOGY REQUIREMENTS AND SERVICE CHARACTERISTICS
2.7.2 STANDARDIZATION
2.7.3 NETWORK CHALLENGES
2.7.4 MOBILE DEVICE CHALLENGES
2.7.5 APPLICATION CHALLENGES
2.8 TECHNOLOGICAL REQUIREMENTS OF 5G
3.0 5G ENABLING TECHNOLOGIES
3.1 MASSIVE MIMO
3.2 NETWORK FUNCTIONS VIRTUALIZATION (NFV)
3.3 SDN AND VIRTUALIZATION
3.4 COGNITIVE RADIOS (CRS) AND TRANSMISSION TECHNOLOGIES
3.5 SELF-ORGANIZING NETWORKS (SONS)
3.6 COMMUNICATION, NAVIGATION, SENSING AND SERVICES
3.7 COOPERATIVE COMMUNICATION FUNCTIONS
3.7.1 MULTI-HOP
3.7.2 CACHING
3.8 AUTOMATED NETWORK ORGANIZATION 2
3.8.1 SELF-CONFIGURATION
3.8.2 AUTOMATIC NEIGHBOUR RELATION (ANR)
3.8.3 SELF-HEALING
3.8.4 SELF-ORGANIZATION
3.9 ADVANCED TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT
3.10 VISIBLE LIGHT COMMUNICATIONS (VLCS) 30
3.11 ENERGY EFFICIENCY
3.12 MILLIMETER WAVE (MMWAVE)
3.13 MASSIVE M2M COMMUNICATIONS
3.14 C-RAN ARCHITECTURE
3.15 HETNET SOLUTION
3.16 H-CRAN SOLUTION
3.17 LARGE-SCALE COOPERATIVE SPATIAL SIGNAL PROCESSING (LS-CSSP)
3.18 SDR
3.19 SPECTRUM AND SATELLITE
3.20 DRONES, ROBOTS, AND HIGH-ALTITUDE BALLOONS
3.21 NEXT GEN TECHNOLOGY
3.21.1 CROSS LAYER CONTROLLER
3.21.2 ENERGY AWARE
3.21.3 SECURITY
4.0 5G REGULATORY CONTRIBUTOR
4.1 5G ROADMAP
4.1.1 5G REQUIREMENTS 2015 - 2020
4.1.2 5G WIRELESS SUBSYSTEM 2015 - 2020
4.1.3 NETWORK VIRTUALISATION and SOFTWARE NETWORKS 2015 - 2020
4.1.4 CONVERGED CONNECTIVITY
4.2 GSMA
4.3 OFCOM UK
4.4 METIS
4.5 5G PPP
4.6 NGMN
4.7 4G AMERICAS
5.0 5G SERVICE APPLICATIONS IN M2M AND IOT ENVIRONMENT
5.1 5G BUSINESS CASE
5.1.1 SHARING SPECTRUM AND SERVICE SPECTRUM
5.2 POTENTIAL 5G APPLICATION USE CASES
5.2.1 VIRTUAL REALITY OR TACTILE INTERNET
5.2.2 AUTONOMOUS DRIVING AND CONNECTED CARS
5.2.3 WIRELESS CLOUD-BASED OFFICE AND MULTI-PERSON VIDEOCONFERENCING
5.2.4 M2M CONNECTIVITY
5.2.5 50+ MBPS EVERYWHERE
5.2.6 HIGH SPEED TRAIN
5.2.7 REMOTE COMPUTING
5.2.8 NON-STATIONARY HOT SPOTS
5.2.9 3D CONNECTIVITY: AIRCRAFT
5.2.10 SMART CLOTHING
5.2.11 SENSOR NETWORKS
5.2.12 NATURAL DISASTER
5.2.13 CONTROL NETWORK FOR ROBOTS
5.2.14 EHEALTH
5.2.15 3D CONNECTIVITY: DRONES
5.2.16 PUBLIC SAFETY
5.2.17 CONTEXT AWARE SERVICE
5.3 BRAND NEW SERVICES CAPABILITY
6.0 5G ECOSYSTEM
6.1 5G REQUIREMENT
6.1.1 USER DRIVEN REQUIREMENT
6.1.2 NETWORK DRIVEN REQUIREMENT
6.2 STAKEHOLDER ANALYSIS
6.3 STAKEHOLDER EXPECTATION: KPI'S OF 5G TECHNOLOGY
6.3.1 PERFORMANCE CHALLENGES
6.3.2 SYSTEM LEVEL CHALLENGES
6.4 5G CHANNEL MODEL
6.5 APIS AND SLAS TO EXTERNAL ACTORS
6.6 KEY DRIVERS
6.7 DISRUPTIVE CAPABILITIES
6.8 DESIGN PRINCIPLES
6.9 5G BUSINESS MODEL
6.10 5G VALUE PROPOSITION
7.0 5G STANDARDIZATION AND RESEARCH
7.1 MAJOR EVENT
7.2 RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT AND INNOVATION
7.3 STANDARDIZATION ACTIVITIES
7.4 ITU RADIO COMMUNICATION SECTOR (ITU-R)
7.5 3GPP
7.5.1 IMT 2020
7.5.2 RAN STUDY
7.6 GSMA
7.7 NGMN ALLIANCE
7.8 TIA
7.9 EUROPEAN COMMISSION (EC)
7.9.1 METIS
7.9.2 5G PPP
7.9.3 5G PPP PROJECTS
7.9.4 5GNOW
7.10 NATIONAL GOVERNMENTS IN EASTERN ASIA
7.10.1 CHINA IMT-2020
7.10.2 JAPAN ARIB 20B AH
7.10.3 KOREA 5G FORUM
7.10.4 CHINA'S 863-5G PROJECT
7.11 MOBILE OPERATOR AND VENDORS
7.11.1 SK TELECOM AND ERICSSON
7.11.2 HUAWEI AND SAMSUNG
7.11.3 NTT DOCOMO AND MULTIPLE VENDORS
7.11.4 TURKCELL AND ERICSSON
7.11.5 5G NORMA (NOKIA AND SK TELECOM)
7.11.6 HUAWEI AND ERICSSON
7.12 FANTASTIC-5G
7.13 5GIC
7.14 NYU WIRELESS
8.0 5G VENDORS AND COMPANY ANALYSIS
8.1 ERICSSON
8.1.1 5G COLLABORATION AND COMMITMENT
8.1.2 5G STRATEGY AND USE CASES
8.1.3 5G TRIAL COMMITMENT
8.2 ALCATEL-LUCENT
8.2.1 5G RESEARCH AND CONTRIBUTIONS
8.2.2 5G STRATEGY
8.2.3 5G SOLUTIONS
8.3 FUJITSU
8.3.1 5G STRATEGY AND SOLUTIONS
8.3.2 5G CONTRIBUTION
8.3.3 5G TRIAL COMMITMENT
8.4 HUAWEI
8.4.1 5G VISION
8.4.2 5G STRATEGY
8.4.3 5G COLLABORATION AND CONTRIBUTION
8.5 INTEL
8.5.1 5G STRATEGY
8.5.2 5G COLLABORATION AND CONTRIBUTION
8.6 NEC
8.6.1 5G STRATEGY
8.6.2 5G CONTRIBUTION
8.6.3 5G TRIAL COMMITMENT
8.7 SAMSUNG
8.7.1 5G STRATEGY AND VISION
8.7.2 5G CONTRIBUTION
8.7.3 5G COLLABORATION
8.7.4 5G TRIAL COMMITMENT
8.8 ZTE
8.8.1 5G STRATEGY
8.8.2 5G CONTRIBUTION
8.8.3 5G TRIAL COMMITMENT
8.9 QUALCOMM
8.9.1 5G STRATEGY
8.9.2 5G CONTRIBUTION
8.10 NOKIA NETWORKS
8.10.1 5G VISION
8.10.2 5G STRATEGY
8.10.3 5G CONTRIBUTION AND COLLABORATION
8.10.4 5G TRIAL COMMITMENT
8.11 CHINA MOBILE
8.11.1 5G CONTRIBUTION
8.12 DEUTSCHE TELEKOM
8.12.1 5G CONTRIBUTION
8.13 NTT DOCOMO
8.13.1 5G CONTRIBUTION
8.14 SK TELECOM
8.14.1 5G CONTRIBUTION
8.15 BROADCOM
8.15.1 5G CONTRIBUTION
8.16 LG U+
8.17 SINGTEL
9.0 5G INVESTMENT AND SUBSCRIPTION FORECAST
9.1 GLOBAL 5G RandD AND TRIAL INVESTMENTS 2015 - 2030
9.1.1 5G INVESTMENT BY CATEGORY 2015 - 2020 VS. 2020 - 2030
9.2 LTE ADVANCE AND 5G SUBSCRIPTION 2020 - 2030
9.3 5G ONLY SUBSCRIPTION 2022 - 2030
9.3.1 5G ONLY SUBSCRIPTIONS BY REGIONS 2022 - 2030
9.4 MOBILE OPERATORS' 5G EXPECTATION 2015
9.4.1 NETWORK LEVEL EXPECTATION
9.4.2 SPECTRUM USAGE EXPECTATION
9.4.3 SERVICE LEVEL EXPECTATION
9.4.4 5G DEVELOPMENT BY REGIONS
9.4.5 5G COMMERCIAL LAUNCHING
9.5 DATA TRAFFIC, VIDEO, AND DOWNLOAD SPEED PROJECTION 2020 - 2030
9.6 5G INVESTMENT CASE ANALYSIS
9.6.1 EUROPEAN COMMISSION
9.6.2 HUAWEI
9.6.3 SOUTH KOREA
9.6.4 ZTE
9.6.5 HORIZON 2020
9.7 QUANTUM TECHNOLOGY AND 6G INVESTMENT ANALYSIS
10.0 5G IMPLICATION FOR TELECOM INDUSTRY
10.1 SPECTRUM AND COVERAGE IMPLICATIONS
10.2 ONE MILLISECOND LATENCY
10.3 BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES
11.0 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
11.1 END-TO-END ECOSYSTEM
11.2 5G CONSIDERATIONS
11.2.1 5G ARRIVAL DEPENDS ON SPECIFICATIONS AND ADOPTION
11.2.2 NEW RAN WILL IMPROVE MOBILE NETWORKS
11.2.3 IMMEDIATE TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS
11.2.4 LTE MAY SLOW DOWN 5G GROWTH
11.2.5 USE OF GOVERNMENTAL INTEREST AND RESOURCES
11.2.6 MORE SUSTAINABLE OPERATOR INVESTMENT MODEL IN TERMS OF CAPACITY
11.3 5G VALUE CREATION
11.3.1 FOR CONSUMERS
11.3.2 FOR ENTERPRISES
11.3.3 FOR VERTICALS
11.3.4 FOR 3RD PARTY PARTNERS
11.4 RECOMMENDATION FOR VALUE CHAIN PARTNERS
11.4.1 DISRUPTIVE NETWORK ARCHITECTURE
11.4.2 ACCESS
11.4.3 SYSTEM LEVEL PRINCIPLES
11.4.4 RIGHT BUSINESS MODEL
11.4.5 STAKEHOLDER COMMUNITY
11.4.6 POLICY AND STANDARDIZATION FRAMEWORK

Figures

Figure 1: Core Differences between 5G and 4G
Figure 2: Sample Specifications for 5G
Figure 3: Conceptual 5G Mobile Device
Figure 4: Mobile Terminal Network Layer in 5G Networks
Figure 5: 5G Timeline 2008 - 2021
Figure 6: 5G Challenges: Mobile SoC Performance vs. Energy Efficiency
Figure 7: 5G Technological Components
Figure 8: Massive MIMO Concept
Figure 9: NFV in H-RAN Solution
Figure 10: SDN Architecture
Figure 11: SDN Supporting Layers
Figure 12 Self-Organizing Networks (SONs) in H-RAN
Figure 13: H-RAN Application of 5G Systems
Figure 14: Centralized and Distribution LS-CSSP in H-CRANs
Figure 15: Software Defined Radio Network
Figure 16: Hybrid Architecture of SDN and SDR in 5G Network
Figure 17: Role of Satellite in 5G Communication System
Figure 18: METIS Regulatory Consortium
Figure 19: METIS Regulatory Framework
Figure 20: 5G Service Application Areas
Figure 21: Potential 5G Service Chart and Bandwidth and Latency Requirement
Figure 22: New Service Capabilities in 5G Environment
Figure 23: 5G Disruptive Capabilities
Figure 24: Performance Indicators of Disruptive Capabilities in 5G Network
Figure 25: 5G Network Design Architecture and Service Division
Figure 26: 5G Business Models
Figure 27: Key 5G Initiatives and Development Timeline 2012 - 2020
Figure 28: 5G Exploration to Development Phases 2014 - 2020
Figure 29: 5G Standardization Roadmap 2014 - 2024
Figure 30: 3GPP 5G Timeline
Figure 31: METIS HTs Structure
Figure 32: METIS WPs Structure
Figure 33: National 863 5G Project Phases 2013 - 2015
Figure 34: 863 5G Project Promotional Framework
Figure 35: Ericsson 5G Collaboration and Work 2013 - 2021
Figure 36: Ericsson 5G Strategy Chart
Figure 37: Ericsson 5G Vision for Broadband
Figure 38: Ericsson 5G Vision for Smart Transport and Infrastructure
Figure 39: Ericsson 5G Vision for Media
Figure 40: Ericsson 5G Vision for Remote Devices
Figure 41: Ericsson 5G Vision for IoT
Figure 42: Alcatel-Lucent 5G Timeline
Figure 43: Alcatel-Lucent 5G Programmable Networking Framework
Figure 44: Alcatel-Lucent 5G Solutions
Figure 45: Fujitsu 5G Network Configurations and WLAN
Figure 46: Huawei 5G Service and Scenario Vision
Figure 47: Huawei 5G All-spectrum access RAN
Figure 48: Intel 5G Vision
Figure 49: NEC 5G Vision
Figure 50: NEC's Virtualization of Cell Concept
Figure 51: Architecture of Massive-Element Antenna
Figure 52: Samsung's 5G Service Vision
Figure 53: Samsung Rainbow Requirements
Figure 54: Samsung's FD-MIMO Concept
Figure 55: Samsung's Reconfigurable 5G Phased-array Antenna
Figure 56: Samsung's 5G Timeline
Figure 57: Samsung's 5G Trial Drive 2014
Figure 58: ZTE's Three Dimensional 5G Vision
Figure 59: Qualcomm 5G Scalability Chart
Figure 60: Qualcomm 5G Connectivity Design
Figure 61: Qualcomm Unified Platform Dimensions
Figure 62: Qualcomm 5G Timeline 2015 - 2022
Figure 63: Qualcomm 5G Business Model
Figure 64: Qualcomm Model to Leverage 4G Investment
Figure 65: Nokia 5G Vision and Requirements
Figure 66: Nokia 5G Network Design of Functional Requirement
Figure 67: NTT DoCoMo 5G Experimental Trial
Figure 68: Global 5G Investment (RandD and Trial) in $billion 2015 - 2030
Figure 69: 5G Investments (Large Scale, Lab RandD, Test Bed) 2015/2020/2030
Figure 70: Global LTE Advance and 5G Subscription in Billion 2020 - 2030
Figure 71: Global 5G Only Subscription in Billion 2022 - 2030
Figure 72: Latency Comparison between LTE and 5G
Figure 73: End to End 5G Ecosystem
Figure 74: Total Global Mobile Operator 4G CAPEX Forecast 2009 - 2020
Figure 75: 5G Value Creation Capabilities

Tables

Table 1: OSl Layers by Category
Table 2: 5G Spectrum Band Options, Merits and Licenses
Table 3: MTC features in 3GPP Standard
Table 4: Roadmap for 5G Requirements 2015 - 2020
Table 5 Roadmap for 5G Wireless Subsystem 2015 - 2020
Table 6: Roadmap for Virtualization and Software Networks 2015 - 2020
Table 7: Roadmap for Converged Connectivity 2015 - 2020
Table 8: 5G PPP 19 Projects
Table 9: 5G Only Subscription APAC vs. NA vs. Europe vs. Others 2022 - 2030
Table 10: Mobile Operators' 5G Expectations
Table 11: Mobile Operators' Expectations of 5G Spectrum
Table 12: Mobile Operators' Expectation of 5G Service Levels
Table 13: Mobile Operators' Expectations of 5G Deployment by Region
Table 14 Mobile Operators' 5G Commercial Launch Expectations

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