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Netherlands Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

  • September 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 84 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Strong legal, political and social pressures are and will continue to see large production cuts atthe key Groningen gas field. This will greatly reduce the Netherlands' role as a key swing gas supplier toWestern Europe over the decade, with net exports nearly disappearing by the second half of our forecastperiod.



Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

- Given the mature status of the Netherlands' key Groningen field and many of its offshore fields, weexpect gas reserves will steadily decline throughout our forecast period. Oil reserves will remain low.Lower oil prices will further limit investment in oil exploration over the coming years, and explorationwill remain focused on gas.

- Legal, political and social reasons pressured the Dutch government to reduce production targets for theGroningen field from 42.5bcm in 2014 to 30.0bcm in 2015. This quarter, we have slightly downgradedour gas production forecast to the downside for 2016 onwards. The Dutch government has revised downthe annual production cap for its giant Groningen gas field from 27.0bcm to 24.0bcm, leading us to theslightly revise down our production forecast. When added to maturing production from other onshore andoffshore fields, Dutch gas production will be significantly reduced over our forecast period.

- With gas production cuts at Groningen and continued high domestic demand for gas, the Netherlands' netexport capacity has fallen significantly over 2013-2015 and is expected to continue on a decline withinthe forecast period.

- The Netherlands is a small oil producer and the overall trend from its mature fields remains one ofdecline. While upside risk exists from new discoveries and enhanced oil recovery techniques at olderfields, we expect overall oil production will trend downwards over our forecast period.

Table Of Contents

Netherlands Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Netherlands 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Upstream Exploration 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Upstream Projects 14
Table: Netherlands - Upstream Projects 14
Upstream Production - Oil 18
Latest Updates 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Oil Production (Netherlands 2014-2019) 20
Table: Oil Production (Netherlands 2020-2025) 20
Upstream Production - Gas 21
Latest Updates 21
Structural Trends 21
Table: Gas Production (Netherlands 2014-2019) 25
Table: Gas Production (Netherlands 2020-2025) 25
Refining 26
Latest Updates 26
Structural Trends 26
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Netherlands 2014-2019) 29
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Netherlands 2020-2025) 29
Refined Fuels Consumption 30
Latest Updates 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Netherlands 2014-2019) 32
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Netherlands 2020-2025) 32
Gas Consumption 33
Latest Updates 33
Structural Trends 33
Table: Gas Consumption (Netherlands 2014-2019) 35
Table: Gas Consumption (Netherlands 2020-2025) 36
Trade - Oil 37
Crude Oil Trade 37
Latest Updates 37
Structural Trends 37
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Netherlands 2014-2020) 38
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Netherlands 2020-2025) 39
Refined Fuels Trade 39
Latest Updates 39
Structural Trends 39
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Netherlands 2014-2019) 41
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Netherlands 2020-2025) 41
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 42
Latest Updates 42
Structural Trends 42
Table: Gas Net Exports (Netherlands 2014-2019) 47
Table: Gas Net Exports (Netherlands 2020-2025) 47
Industry Risk/Reward Index 48
North America And Western Europe Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 48
Table: North America and Western Europe Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 48
Upstream Rankings: Resource Base Will Keep North America Well Ahead 49
North America Open To Investment, At The Right Price 49
Resource Limitations Take Toll On Western Europe 50
Table: North America and Western Europe Upstream Risk/Reward Index 52
Downstream Rankings: US Widens Its Lead 52
Table: North America and Western Europe Downstream Risk/Reward Index 54
Netherlands - Risk/Reward Index 55
Market Overview 57
Netherlands Energy Market Overview 57
Regulatory Structure 57
Fiscal Regime 57
Table: Netherlands Fiscal Regime 58
Licensing Regime 58
Table: Netherlands Licensing Regime 59
Netherlands Oil and Gas Infrastructure 60
Oil Refineries 60
Table: Netherlands Main Oil Refineries 61
Oil And Gas Storage Facilities 61
Oil Trade Facilities 62
Oil and Gas Pipelines 62
LNG Terminals 63
Table: Netherlands LNG Terminal 63
Regional Overview 64
North America And Western Europe Oil And Gas Regional Overview 64
Table: North America - Key Regional Indicators, 2015-2025 73
Table: Western Europe - Key Regional Indicators, 2015-2025 75
Glossary 77
Table: Glossary Of Terms 77
Methodology 79
Industry Forecast Methodology 79
Source 81
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 81
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 83
Table: Weighting 84

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