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Oman Power Report Q4 2016

  • September 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 55 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View: Oman's power sector is expected to undergo a big jump in output in 2019, as several major projects come to full fruition in the gas fired thermal power segment, which will remain dominant over our forecast period. Generation growth should be in the mid single digits over the period 2016 to 2018 and then the low single digits between 2020 to 2025, according to our core scenario, although that latter five year period is prone to upside risks, in view of nascent fresh plans emerging in the last quarter.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
- Our forecasts have undergone a modest revision this quarter. We now expect generation to rise 5.7% in 2016, to 39.35TWh, a slight downward revision from the 6.2% growth earlier forecast.
- Growth in thermal output is then forecast at 4.0% in 2017 and 6.4% in 2018, ahead of a 30.9% jump in 2019, which will take generation by this sub-sector to 57.0TWh. The year 2019 will see the Ibri and Sohar projects come to full fruition.

Table Of Contents

Oman Power Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Oman 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Oman Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Oman 2015-2019) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Oman 2020-2025) 10
Table: Oman Snapshot: Power Sector 10
Oman Power Forecast Scenario 11
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast 11
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast 14
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 16
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Oman 2014-2019) 16
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Oman 2020-2025) 16
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Oman 2014-2019) 17
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Oman 2020-2025) 18
Electricity Consumption 18
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Oman 2014-2019) 19
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Oman 2020-2025) 19
Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports 19
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Oman 2014-2019) 20
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Oman 2020-2025) 21
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Oman 2014-2019) 21
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Oman 2020-2025) 21
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 22
MENA Power Risk Reward Index 22
Table: MENA Power Risk/Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100) 28
Oman Power Risk/Reward Index 29
Power Risk/Reward Index 29
Market Overview 31
Key Policies And Market Structure 31
Oman Power Projects Database 34
Table: Top Ten Projects By Capacity Size 34
Competitive Landscape 37
Electricity Holding Company (Nama Group) 37
Sohar Power Company 38
Sembcorp Salalah Power and Water Company 38
Phoenix Power Company 39
SMN Power Holding 39
United Power Company 39
Al Kamil Power Company 40
ACWA Power 40
Regional Overview 41
MEA: Key Themes 41
Table: UAE - Huge Bid Reductions Cements Outperformer Status 46
Glossary 49
Table: Glossary Of Terms 49
Methodology 50
Methodology And Sources 50
Industry Forecast Methodology 50
Sources 53
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 53
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 54
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 55

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