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Uzbekistan Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 34 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Construction sector growth in 2016 received a boost as several major projects moved along the pipeline. However, the outlook is volatile amid continued economic headwinds and political instability.
Forecast and Industry Developments

- We have significantly increased our 2016 forecast for Uzbek construction sector growth to average 6.4% in 2016, after national statistics reported 19% growth in Q116.

- 2017 onwards remains unclear as economic headwinds persist, combined with political instability as new leadership emerges after President Karimov's hospitalisation.

- Uzbekistan announced a five-year USD55bn plan to carry out 900 projects to modernise industrial facilities and build infrastructure, especially in the gas petrochemical sectors and construction of roads and airports.

- Uzbek President Islam Karimov signed a resolution on 317 new projects for 2016-2017 worth upwards of USD16.9bn.

- Uzbekistan, along with its Central Asian neighbours, are key beneficiaries of China's investment in its One Belt One Road initiative.

Table Of Contents

Uzbekistan Infrastructure Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Forecast and Industry Developments 5
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Uzbekistan 2015-2025) 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Uzbekistan 2016-2016) 6
SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast 9
Latest Developments 9
Table: Uzbekistan 10 Year Construction Industry Forecast 9
Structural Trends 10
Industry Risk/Reward Index 19
Rewards 19
Risks 20
CEE Infrastructure RRI: EU Funding Essential As Risks Deter Private Investors 20
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 26
Methodology 27
Industry Forecast Methodology 27
Sector-Specific Methodology 28
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 32
Sector-Specific Methodology 33
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 33
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 34

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