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South Africa Food and Drink Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 69 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
BMI View:

We hold an optimistic outlook for the food and drink industry over 2016 and 2017 owing to the well-established South African food market, with industry players well-placed to overcome short-term consumer downturn. The drinks market will benefit from an emerging affluent consumer base boosting premium demand, while the soft drinks industry faces a more volatile outlook owing to the ongoing sugar tax debate. Retailers increasing value-added offerings will win over its cash-strapped core consumer base amid pressing economic pressures.

Key Trends & Industry Developments

- Rising food prices will weigh on household spending over 2016; however, we have a positive outlook on food producers that diversify product offerings to better suit the weakening consumer outlook.

- Soft drink sales will be volatile to new industry risks presented by the ongoing economic headwinds, as well as the proposal of a 20% tax on sugary drinks for implementation in April 2017.

- Retailers looking to expand in the local market will primarily focus on targeting the lower-income consumer through convenience store formats located in non-urban areas.

Table Of Contents

South Africa Food and Drink Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Key Trends and Industry Developments 7
SWOT 8
Food and Drink 8
Industry Forecast 10
Consumer Outlook 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Food 12
Latest Updates 12
Structural Trends 13
Table: Food Sales (South Africa 2013-2020) 14
Drink 16
Latest Updates 16
Structural Trends 17
Table: Total Alcoholic Drinks Spending And Consumption (South Africa 2013-2020) 18
Table: Non-Alcoholic Drinks Sales (South Africa 2013-2020) 21
Mass Grocery Retail 23
Latest Updates 23
Structural Trends 23
Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index 25
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index 25
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa - Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index, Q416 27
South Africa Risk/Reward Index 30
Market Overview 31
Food 31
Recent Developments 31
Market Drivers and Trends 31
Drink 35
Recent Developments 35
Market Drivers and Trends 35
Mass Grocery Retail 37
Recent Developments 37
Market Drivers and Trends 37
Competitive Landscape 40
Table: Key Players In South Africa's Food Sector 40
Table: Key Players In South Africa's Drink Sector 41
Table: Key Players In South Africa's Mass Grocery Retail Industry 42
Company Profile 44
Distell 44
Illovo Sugar 47
Pick n Pay 49
Pioneer Foods 51
Shoprite Group 53
Tiger Brands 55
Woolworths 57
Demographic Forecast 59
Demographic Outlook 59
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Africa 1990-2025) 60
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Africa 1990-2025) 60
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (South Africa 1990-2025) 61
Table: Population By Age Group (South Africa 1990-2025) 61
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Africa 1990-2025) 62
Glossary 64
Food and Drink 64
Mass Grocery Retail 64
Methodology 66
BMI Food and Drink Forecasting and Sourcing 66
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 67
Table: Rewards 68
Table: Risks 69
Table: Weighting 69

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