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Italy Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 76 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

We have made modest revisions to our Q1 2016 Italian agribusiness report and now hold a mixed outlook. We believe that the cheese, milk, poultry and pork industries will record stable growth though to 2018/19. The removal of the EU's milk production quota in 2015 and the opportunity for Italy to develop its value-added exports will be positives. We expect corn production to post the strongest growth out of the grains complex, largely due to base effects, as we believe wheat output will remain broadly flat due to little opportunity for area or yield growth.


Key Forecasts
- Poultry production will record growth of 1.3% in 2015/16 to reach 1.29mn tonnes.
- Pork production will reach an estimated 1.70mn tonnes.
- Liquid milk consumption will reach 2.32mn tonnes in 2015/16, with a growth rate of 4.0%.

Table Of Contents

Italy Agribusiness Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Agribusiness 9
Industry Forecast .. 11
Grains Outlook 11
Table: Italy: Grains Production and Consumption Outlook 11
Table: Risks To Outlook . . 12
Table: Italy Grain Production (Historical Data and Forecasts) . . 14
Livestock Outlook 15
Table: Italy Livestock Production and Consumption Outlook . . 15
Table: Risks to Outlook 16
Table: Italy Livestock Production and Consumption (Historical Data and Forecasts) . . 17
Dairy Outlook .. 18
Table: Italy Dairy Consumption and Production Outlook . . 18
Table: Risks to Outlook 19
Table: Dairy Production and Consumption (Italy Historical Data and Forecasts) . . 20
Commodities Price Analysis 21
Global Commodities Strategy 21
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts . 21
Featured Analysis .. 23
European Agriculture: The Future Of The CAP 23
Table: EU - Agricultural Self-Sufficiency Ratios . 31
Table: Select Commodities - European Production and Consumption ('000 tonnes) . . 35
Upstream Analysis 36
Europe Machinery Outlook 36
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates) . 39
Europe GM Outlook 42
Europe Fertiliser Outlook . 48
Downstream Analysis . 55
Food .. 55
Food Consumption 55
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Italy 2012-2019) . . 56
Confectionery . 56
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Italy 2012-2019) . 57
Canned/Prepared Food 58
Frozen Fruit And Vegetables .. 58
Table: Frozen Fruit and Vegetables Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019) 58
Snack Foods 59
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019) . . 59
Table: Jams and Jellies Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Italy 2014-2019) . . 60
Pasta 60
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019) . . 61
Meat, Fish And Dairy .. 61
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Italy 2014-2019) . 62
Oils and Fats . 62
Regional Overview 63
Competitive Landscape . 69
Table: Main Companies In Italy's Agribusiness Sector 69
Demographic Forecast .. 70
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Italy 1990-2025) 71
Table: Key Population Ratios (Italy 1990-2025) . 71
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Italy 1990-2025) . . 72
Table: Population By Age Group (Italy 1990-2025) 72
Table: Population By Age Group % (Italy 1990-2025) 73
Methodology . 75
Industry Forecast Methodology . 75
Sector-Specific Methodology .. 76

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