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Comparative Analysis of Automotive Original Equipment Manufacturers' Powertrain Strategies for Euro 7 Compliance : Focus will be on Particulate Matter Number and On-board Diagnostics

This research service provides a detailed analysis of how European automotive original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) are expected to comply with Euro 7 emission reduction standards. It delves into spending needed to create a compact and strong aftertreatment package. A technology road map will provide insight about expected modifications of gasoline and diesel engines. Aftertreatment components of passenger vehicles have undergone tremendous changes over the last decade; the introduction of Euro 6 created a need for higher research and development investments. Targeted emission particles and greenhouse gas vapors are listed. The study period is from 2012 to 2020; the base year is 2014.

Key Findings

1 LNT, low-pressure EGR, and SCR penetration is expected to increase in diesel engines; VVT, VGT, and GDI to see increased penetration in gasoline engines.
Euro 7 is expected to be phased in around 2019 or 2020, with more stringent values for NOx, CO, and PM numbers.

2 For passenger vehicles, SCR, EGR, and LNT in different configurations are expected to be key aftertreatment options for Euro 6b compliance. More advanced DPF, GPF, and DOC are expected to be adopted by the introduction of Euro 7. The downsizing trend is expected to continue for 2016, with more engines adopting boosting technology to meet power requirements.

3 For diesel engine technology, engine downsizing has been a popular trend among European OEMs, with several 2014 and 2015 engines reduced to less than 2.0L. Moving forward, diesel engine downsizing is likely to slow—mainly in order to meet NOx limits—but a marginal increase in the average diesel engine displacement is expected by 2020. All diesel engine aftertreatment technologies are likely to have penetration rates of to %, with LNT and cooled EGR. DPF is expected to be at % penetration by 2020.

4 Euro 7 test cycles will play an important role in tailpipe, low ambient temperature, and idling speed emissions; exhaust gas opacity; and the proper functioning and regeneration of aftertreatment systems. Among the areas of key interest for OEMs to meet norms are exhaust systems’ evaporative emissions and crankcase emissions; OBD is expected to be key in meeting Euro 7 targets.

Key Questions this Study Will Answer

- What are the key technologies that OEMs will use to comply with Euro 7 norms?
- What are the focal points for the European Commission towards 2020?
- How are technology trends effecting CO emissions and PM numbers?
- What are the platform standardization strategies of global OEMs to meet Euro 7 norms?
- What strategies are expected to be major market drivers for OEMs?

Table Of Contents

Comparative Analysis of Automotive Original Equipment Manufacturers% Powertrain Strategies for Euro 7 Compliance 
1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Executive Summary
1 Key Findings
2 Overview of Euro 7 and Impact on Powertrain Technologies
3 Engine Evolution towards Euro 7 Compliance
4 Powertrain Production Mix Across OEMs
5 Snapshot of OEMs' Choice of Technologies for Euro 7
6 Snapshot of OEMs' Choice of Technologies for Euro 7
7 Penetration and Unit Shipments of Key Euro 7 Powertrain Technologies
8 Emission Reduction for Euro 7 Compliance in Passenger Vehicles
9 Roadmap of Key Powertrain Technologies
10 Powertrain Technology Roadmap, 2005-2020
11 Key Conclusions

2 RESEARCH SCOPE, OBJECTIVES, BACKGROUND, AND METHODOLOGY

Research Scope, Objectives, Background, and Methodology
1 Research Scope
2 Research Aims and Objectives
3 Key Questions this Study Will Answer
4 Research Methodology
5 Key OEMs/Groups Compared in this Study

3 DEFINITIONS AND SEGMENTATION

Definitions and Segmentation
1 Euro 7 Segmentation
2 Euro 7 Definitions
3 Technology Definitions
4 Vehicle Segmentation

4 MEGA TRENDS AND INDUSTRY CONVERGENCE IMPLICATIONS

Mega Trends and Industry Convergence Implications
1 Impact of Top 6 Mega Trends on Euro Norms
2 Impact of Top 6 Mega Trends on Euro Norms

5 FORECASTS AND TRENDS—TOTAL MARKET

Forecasts and Trends—Total Market
1 GDI Market—Unit Shipment Scenario Analysis
2 GDI Market—Forecast Scenario Assumptions
3 SCR Market—Unit Shipment Scenario Analysis
4 SCR Market—Forecast Scenario Assumptions
5 Gasoline EGR Market—Unit Shipment Scenario Analysis
6 Gasoline EGR Market—Forecast Scenario Assumptions
7 LNT Market—Unit Shipment Scenario Analysis
8 LNT Market—Forecast Scenario Assumptions

6 OVERVIEW OF EURO 7 TECHNOLOGIES

Overview of Euro 7 Technologies
1 Comparative Analysis of Emission Regulations
2 Test Cycles
3 OBD of Emission Standards
4 Key Challenges in Euro 7 Compliance/Technology Implementation
5 Powertrain Package—Snapshot of Fuel Choice for Euro 7 Compliance

7 OVERVIEW OF EURO 7 TECHNOLOGIES—GASOLINE TECHNOLOGY

Overview of Euro 7 Technologies—Gasoline Technology
1 Euro Emission Standards—Gasoline Engines
2 Euro Emission Standards—Gasoline Engines
3 Euro 7 Gasoline Powertrain—Technology Options for OEMs
4 OEM Snapshot for Euro 7 ComplianceGasoline Engines
5 Key Gasoline Technologies for Euro 7 Applications
6 Forecasts for Euro 7 Powertrain Technologies—Gasoline Engines

8 OVERVIEW OF EURO 7 TECHNOLOGIES—DIESEL TECHNOLOGY

Overview of Euro 7 Technologies—Diesel Technology
1 Euro Emission Standards—Diesel Engines
2 Euro Emission Standards—Diesel Engines
3 Euro 7 Diesel Powertrain—Technology Options for OEMs
4 Key Diesel Engine Technologies for Euro 7 Applications
5 Euro 7 Compliance for Diesel Engine Technologies
6 Key Diesel Engine Technologies for Euro 7 Applications
7 Forecasts for Euro 7 Powertrain Technologies—Diesel Engines

9 GLOBAL EMISSION STANDARD NEUTRALIZATION

Global Emission Standard Neutralization
1 Potential for Global Standardization of Emission Norms
2 Fuel-neutral Emission Standards

10 CO2 EMISSION CONTROL OVERVIEW

CO2 Emission Control Overview
1 Europe—GHG Reduction/Fuel Economy Regulation
2 Global Comparison of Fuel Economy/GHG Standards—Passenger Cars
3 Euro Emission Regulations—Future Outlook

11 STRATEGIES ADOPTED BY OEMS FOR EURO 7 COMPLIANCE

Strategies Adopted by OEMs for Euro 7 Compliance
1 BMW Group—Overview of Euro 7 Technologies and Technology Forecasts
2 BMW Group—Euro 7 Technology Options
3 BMW Group—Engine Performance Benchmarking
4 BMW Group—Euro 7 Powertrain Packages
5 BMW Group—Outlook Towards Euro 7 Compliance and Associated Technology Options
6 Daimler Group—Overview of Euro 7 Technologies and Technology Forecasts
7 Daimler Group—Euro 7 Technology Options
8 Daimler Group—Engine Performance Benchmarking
9 Daimler Group—Euro 7 Powertrain Packages
10 Daimler Group—Outlook Towards Euro 7 Compliance and Associated Technology Options
11 Fiat Chrysler Automobiles—Overview of Euro 7 Technologies and Technology Forecasts
12 Fiat Chrysler Automobiles—Euro 7 Technology Options
13 Fiat Chrysler Automobiles—Engine Performance Benchmarking
14 Fiat Chrysler Automobiles—Euro 7 Powertrain Packages
15 Fiat Chrysler Automobiles—Outlook Towards Euro 7 Compliance and Associated Technology Options
16 Ford—Overview of Euro 7 Technologies and Technology Forecasts
17 Ford—Euro 7 Technology Options
18 Ford—Engine Performance Benchmarking
19 Ford—Euro 7 Powertrain Packages
20 Ford—Outlook Towards Euro 7 Compliance and Associated Technology Options
21 PSA Peugeot Citroën—Overview of Euro 7 Technologies and Technology Forecasts
22 PSA Peugeot Citroën—Euro 7 Technology Options
23 PSA Peugeot Citroën—Engine Performance Benchmarking
24 PSA Peugeot Citroën—Euro 7 Powertrain Packages
25 PSA Peugeot Citroën—Outlook towards Euro 7 Compliance and Associated Technology Options
26 Renault-Nissan Alliance—Overview of Euro 7 Technologies and Technology Forecasts
27 Renault-Nissan Alliance—Euro 7 Technology Options
28 Renault-Nissan Alliance—Engine Performance Benchmarking
29 Renault-Nissan Alliance—Euro 7 Powertrain Packages
30 Renault-Nissan Alliance—Outlook towards Euro 7 Compliance and Associated Technology Options
31 Volkswagen Group—Overview of Euro 7 Technologies and Technology Forecasts
32 Volkswagen Group—Euro 7 Technology Options
33 Volkswagen Group—Engine Performance Benchmarking
34 Volkswagen Group—Euro 7 Powertrain Packages
35 Volkswagen Group—Outlook towards Euro 7 Compliance and Associated Technology Options

12 CONCLUSIONS AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

Conclusions and Future Outlook
1 The Last Word—Three Big Predictions
2 Legal Disclaimer

13 APPENDIX

Appendix
1 Global CO2 Emission
2 Methodology

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