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Chad Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 55 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The ramping up of production from Glencore and China National Petroleum Corporation's newfields will lead to production increases in 2016 and 2017. Post 2017 there will be a gradual decline inoutput as the new fields are unable to offset the falling production rates at the mature Doba field. Despitelarge proven reserves and pipeline infrastructure in place, BMI believes that the poor business environmentand extraction problems that the consortium is facing will discourage further foreign investment in Chad.Throughout our forecast period, Chad will remain a net exporter of petroleum products and will notproduce any natural gas.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

? Chad's crude and liquids production will increase to 145,700b/d in 2017, its highest level since 2008, andthen decline to 114,100b/d by 2024.
? Glencore's write down of assets in Chad will negatively impact further developments in the upstreamsector.
? Chad will remain a net exporter of refined and crude products throughout our forecast.

Table Of Contents

Chad Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Chad 2013-2019) 7
Latest Updates And Key Forecasts 7
SWOT 8
Oil and Gas SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Upstream Exploration 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Upstream Projects 11
Table: Chad Upstream Projects 11
Upstream Production - Oil 12
Latest Updates 12
Structural Trends 12
Table: Oil Production (Chad 2013-2018) 14
Table: Oil Production (Chad 2019-2024) 14
Refining 15
Latest Updates 15
Structural Trends 15
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Chad 2013-2018) 15
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Chad 2019-2024) 16
Refined Fuels Consumption 17
Latest Updates 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Chad 2013-2018) 18
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Chad 2019-2024) 18
Trade - Oil 19
Latest Updates 19
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts 19
Structural Trends 19
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Chad 2013-2018) 19
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Chad 2019-2024) 20
Fuels Trade Forecasts 20
Latest Updates 20
Structural Trends 20
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Chad 2013-2018) 21
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (2019-2024) 22
Industry Risk Reward Index 23
Africa Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 23
Table: BMI's Africa Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 23
Above-Ground Risks Dulling Below-Ground Potential 26
Table: BMI's Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index 26
Downstream Sector Holds Limited Opportunity 29
Table: BMI's Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index 29
Chad - Risk/Reward Index 31
Upstream Index - Rewards 31
Upstream Index - Risks 31
Market Overview 33
Chad Energy Market Overview 33
Regulatory Structure 33
Fiscal Regime 34
Table: Chad - Upstream Tax Regime 34
Licensing Regime 35
Table: Chad - Contracts And Licensing Regime 35
Oil and Gas Infrastructure 35
Table: Oil Refineries In Chad 35
Table: Oil Pipelines In Chad 36
Competitive Landscape 37
Table: Key Players - Chad Energy Sector 39
Regional Overview 40
Africa - Bullish Gas, Bearish Oil 40
Glossary 48
Table: Glossary Of Terms 48
Methodology 50
Industry Forecast Methodology 50
Source 52
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 52
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 54
Table: Weighting 55

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