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The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region's fixed telecoms retail revenue accounts for 4% of the fixed telecoms retail market worldwide and for 31% of the region's total telecoms retail revenue. This report summarises our 5-year forecast for MENA and provides commentary on four key countries in the region.

Table Of Contents

The Fixed broadband services in the Middle East and North Africa: trends and forecasts 2015-2020

Table of contents


5.Executive summary


6.Executive summary


7.Worldwide trends


8.Worldwide: MENA's fixed retail revenue growth to 2020 will
outpace that in EMAP, Europe and North America


9.Worldwide: FTTH/B connections will increase to 425 million,
accounting for 44% of total fixed broadband connections


10.Worldwide: Household penetration will increase from 39%
to 48% because of GDP per capita growth and network roll-out


11.Regional trends


12.MENA: Fixed retail revenue accounts for 4% of the fixed retail market worldwide and 31% of MENA's total retail revenue


13.MENA: Broadband connections will significantly increase,
driven by fibre adoption, but DSL will retain the largest share


14.MENA: Household penetration will grow, driven by market competition and supported by national broadband plans


15.MENA: We model eleven telecoms markets, which will account for about 68% of MENA's telecoms service revenue in 2020


16.MENA: Broadband and IPTV revenue will grow at a CAGR of
4.9% to USD11.3 billion, driven by roll-outs in GCC countries


17.Country-level trends


18.Oman: Consumer demand and government-backed roll-out
plans will boost FTTH take-up


19.Qatar: Fast technological transformation from DSL to
fibre-based access will drive service take-up


20.Saudi Arabia: Operators' roll-out plans will drive take-up,
and the business segment will help reduce ASPU erosion


21.UAE: Population and economy growth will drive demand for
fixed high-speed broadband services


22.Forecast methodology and assumptions


23.We have a disciplined process of forecasting; our on-the-ground analysts and consultants collaborate closely to assess market dynamics


24.Our forecasts are informed by primary and secondary research for data collection, a rigorous methodology and our analysis of external drivers


25.A robust and comparable set of historical data is the starting point for our forecasts; this involves three main activities


26.About the authors and Analysys Mason


27.About the authors


28.About Analysys Mason


andnbsp;


List of figures


Figure 1: Figure 1: Telecoms retail revenue by service type and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), Middle East and North Africa, 2010-2020


Figure 2: CAGRs for fixed and mobile retail revenue (2014-2020) and market size by total retail revenue (2020), by region, worldwide


Figure 3: Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, IPTV and mobile broadband connections, worldwide, 2010-2020


Figure 4: Fixed broadband penetration of households by country, worldwide, 2010-2020


Figure 5: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, Middle East and North Africa, 2010-2020


Figure 6: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, total service revenue and growth rates, Middle East and North Africa, 2014-2020


Figure 7: Connections by type, and growth rates, Middle East and North Africa, 2014-2020


Figure 8: Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, IPTV and mobile broadband connections, Middle East and North Africa, 2010-2020


Figure 9: Fixed broadband penetration of households by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2010-2020


Figure 10: Mobile connections by technology generation and fixed broadband household penetration, by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2020


Figure 11: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Middle East and North Africa, 2010-2020


Figure 12: Fixed ASPU by service type, Middle East and North Africa, 2010-2020


Figure 13: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, MENA


Figure 14: Fixed revenue by service type and growth rates, Oman, 2014-2020


Figure 15: Fixed revenue by service type and growth rates, Qatar, 2014-2020


Figure 16:andnbsp; Fixed revenue by service type and growth rates, Saudi Arabia, 2014-2020


Figure 17: Fixed revenue by service type and growth rates, UAE, 2014-2020


Figure 18: Data, research principles and external factors that inform our forecasting methodologyandnbsp;

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