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Nordic Food and Drink Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 123 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Boasting a consumer base of 25mn with some of the strongest purchasing power in the worldand offering a favourable business and regulatory environment, the four Nordic markets could offerattractive investment opportunities. That said, there are limited opportunities for growth, as the economicand demographic outlook remains relatively grim. Moreover, the food and drink markets are highlyconcentrated, presenting significant challenges for new entrants.

Key ForecastsDenmark

-Food consumption (local currency) growth in 2015: +3.6%; compound annual growth rate (CAGR)2014-2019: +4.5%
-Per capita food consumption (local currency) growth in 2015: +3.2%; CAGR 2014-2019: +4.1%
-Soft drinks value (local currency) sales growth in 2015: +1.1%; CAGR 2014-2019: +1.4%

Table Of Contents

Nordic Food and Drink Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 11
Food, Drink and MGR 11
Industry Forecast 13
Consumer Outlook 13
Latest Forecasts 13
Structural Trends 13
Denmark Industry Forecast 17
Latest Forecasts 17
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Denmark 2012-2019) 18
Structural Trends 19
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade (Denmark 2014-2019) 20
Finland Industry Forecast 20
Latest Forecasts 20
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Finland 2012-2019) 21
Structural Trends 22
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Production, Sales and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Finland 2012-2019) 23
Table: Soft Drinks Production, Sales and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Finland 2012-2019) 23
Table: Total Mass Grocery Retail Sales - Historical Data and Forecasts (Finland 2012-2019) 24
Norway Industry Forecast 24
Food Consumption 24
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Norway 2012-2019) 25
Structural Trends 26
Table: Confectionery Production, Sales and Trade - Historical data and Forecasts (Norway 2012-2019) 26
Table: Meat Production, Sales and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Norway 2012-2019) 27
Table: Snack Foods Production, Sales and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Norway 2012-2019) 28
Table: Frozen Fruit And Vegetables Production, Sales and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Norway 2012-2019) 29
Table: Dairy Production, Sales and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Norway 2012-2019) 31
Table: Pasta Production, Sales and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Norway 2012-2019) 32
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Norway 2014-2019) 33
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Norway 2014-2019) 34
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade (Norway 2014-2019) 35
Sweden Industry Forecast 36
Latest Forecasts 36
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Sweden 2012-2019) 37
Structural Trends 38
Table: Confectionery Production, Sales and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Sweden 2012-2019) 38
Table: Meat Production, Sales and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Sweden 2012-2019) 39
Table: Fish Production, Sales and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Sweden 2012-2019) 40
Table: Frozen Fruit and Vegetables Production, Sales and Trade (Sweden 2012-2019) 41
Table: Oils and Fats Production, Sales and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Sweden 2012-2019) 43
Table: Dairy Production, Sales and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Sweden 2012-2019) 44
Table: Snack Foods Production, Sales and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Sweden 2012-2019) 47
Table: Pasta Production, Sales and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Sweden 2012-2019) 49
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Sweden 2014-2019) 51
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Sweden 2014-2019) 52
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade (Sweden 2014-2019) 53
Macroeconomic Forecasts 55
Economic Analysis 55
Structural Characteristics 57
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Sweden 2012-2019) 61
Economic Analysis 61
Key Structural Characteristics 67
Table: Norway - Private Consumption Forecasts 68
Table: Norway - Government Consumption Forecasts 68
Table: Norway - Fixed Investment Forecasts 69
Table: Norway - Net Exports Forecasts 70
Table: Long-Term Macroeconomic Forecasts (Norway 2006-2014) 70
Table: Long-Term Macroeconomic Forecasts (Norway 2015-2024) 71
Economic Analysis 71
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Denmark 2012-2019) 75
Finland Macroeconomic Forecast 75
Real GDP By Expenditure Breakdown 76
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Finland 2012-2019) 77
Industry Risk Reward Index 79
Western Europe - Risk/Reward Index 79
Table: Western Europe Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Q116 80
Nordics - Risk/Reward Index 84
Market Overview 86
Food 86
Drink 89
Mass Grocery Retail 90
Global Industry Overview 94
Table: Selected Markets - Selected Industry and Macroeconomic Indicators - Historical and Forecast 101
Table: Australia, Uk And Usa Estimated Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Scores - Food Retail Industry 111
Table: UAE Food Retail Sales By Format - Historical and Forecast 112
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q315 Roundup 115
Glossary 117
Food and Drink 117
Mass Grocery Retail 117
Methodology 119
Industry Forecast Methodology 119
Sector-Specific Methodology 120
Sources 120
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 121
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 122
Table: Weighting 123

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