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The Global M2M/IoT Communications Market

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Berg Insight AB
  • -
  • 150 pages

The Global M2M/IoT Communications Market analyses the latest trends and developments in cellular M2M and low power wireless networking This strategic research report from Berg Insight provides you with 150 pages of unique business intelligence including 5-year industry forecasts and expert commentary on which to base your business decisions

Highlights from the report:

360-degree overview of the M2M/IoT communication ecosystem
Update on new industry standards for M2M/IoT networking Reviews of the M2M/IoT strategies of leading mobile operators
Summary of industry trends in all world regions
Statistical data on cellular M2M subscribers in Europe, the Americas and Asia-Pacific
Extensive global and regional market forecasts lasting until 2020

The global number of cellular M2M subscribers reached 265 million at the end of 2015

Berg Insight estimates that the global number of cellular M2M subscribers increased by 23 percent during 2015 to reach 2652 million at the end of the year – corresponding to around 3 percent of all mobile subscribers Until 2020, the number of cellular M2M subscribers is forecasted to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 229 percent to reach 7442 million at the end of the period During the same period, cellular M2M network revenues are forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 233 percent from € 80 billion in 2015 to approximately € 228 billion in 2020 Meanwhile the monthly ARPU is expected to remain stable at around € 250

East Asia was the largest region, closely followed by Western Europe and North America Altogether they accounted for around 76 percent of the global cellular M2M subscriber base at the end of 2015 Until 2020, the relative share of the regions is expected to decrease slightly as adoption takes off in other parts of the world At the end of 2015, East Asia was the largest regional market with 904 million cellular M2M subscribers, growing 25 percent year-on-year Western Europe came second with 590 million M2M subscribers and 21 percent year-on-year growth North America ranked third with 525 million cellular M2M subscribers, and a year-on-year growth rate of 24 percent Among individual countries, China was clearly number one with around 70 million M2M subscribers, ahead of the US with approximately 50 million M2M subscribers
The combined size of the EU+EFTA market was around 64 million M2M subscribers Berg Insight believes that M2M/IoT has reached a stage of early maturity where a number of players have capitalised on envisioned opportunities to develop substantial new businesses At the beginning of 2015, the ten largest mobile operators in the M2M market had an estimated combined subscriber base of 1643 million and year-on-year growth rates of 15–35 percent China Mobile has an exceptional market position, as the dominant player in the domestic mobile industry At the end of Q1-2015, the M2M subscriber base was an estimated 462 million

Vodafone and AT&T are the top international market players with their respective main bases in Europe and North America The groups were head-to-head in terms of volume with over 21 million M2M subscribers each China Unicom and Verizon Wireless were other top five players with 13–14 million connections each Telefónica, Softbank/Sprint, Deutsche Telekom, Telenor and America Móvil were other top ten players with 8–12 million M2M subscribers each

This report answers the following questions:

How will the global cellular M2M market evolve over the next five years?
What are the main drivers behind growth in major regions and industries?
What is the status of cellular M2M in emerging markets?
What are the leading global mobile operators’ strategies for the M2M/IoT market?
Which are the strategic options for moving up the M2M/IoT value chain?
How will LTE-M and NB-IOT transform the cellular M2M market?
What is the outlook for emerging low power wireless networking technologies ?

Table Of Contents

The Global M2M/IoT Communications Market
Table of Contents
Table of Contents i
List of Figures vi
Executive summary 1
1 M2M/IoT networking and technologies 3
11 Cellular M2M/IoT from 2G to 4G and beyond 3
111 2G/3G mobile networks 3
112 4G mobile networks 4
113 LTE-M and NB-IOT 6
114 LPWA and satellite networks 7
115 Cellular and LPWA technologies and the IoT market 8
12 IoT devices in cellular networks 10
121 Cellular IoT modules and hardware 11
122 SIM solutions and embedded UICC 14
123 IoT connectivity management platforms 16
124 IoT application enablement platforms 19
13 International coverage and alliances 22
131 Roaming and international coverage 22
132 Mobile operator alliances 23
2 Europe 29
21 Regional market trends 29
211 Western Europe 30
212 Regional market trends in Western Europe 32
213 Central Eastern Europe and Russia and CIS 39
22 Mobile operators 40
221 Vodafone 41
222 Deutsche Telekom 44
223 Telefónica 46
224 Orange 49
225 Telenor 51
226 3 Group Europe 53
227 Belgacom 54
228 EE 55
229 KPN 55
2210 MTS 56
2211 SFR 57
2212 Telecom Italia 58
2213 Swisscom 58
2214 Telekom Austria 59
2215 TeliaSonera 61
2216 Tele2 62
2217 CDMA/LTE networks for the 450 MHz band 63
23 M2M managed service providers 64
231 Wireless Logic 64
232 Sierra Wireless - Wireless Maingate and MobiquiThings 65
233 Telit 66
234 Cubic Telecom 66
235 Stream Technologies 67
24 LPWA networks 68
241 Sigfox and network partners 68
242 LoRa networks 69
3 The Americas 71
31 Regional market trends 71
311 United States and Canada 73
312 Brazil 75
313 Rest of Latin America 76
32 Mobile operators 77
321 ATandT 78
322 Verizon 80
323 Sprint 82
324 T-Mobile USA 84
THE GLOBAL M2M/IOT COMMUNICATIONS MARKET INDEX
iii STRATEGIC RESEARCH SERIES M2M RESEARCH SERIES
325 Rogers Communications 85
326 Bell Canada 85
327 America Móvil 86
328 Vivo and Telefónica Latin America 87
329 Other mobile operators in Latin America 88
33 M2M managed service providers 89
331 Aeris Communications 90
332 KORE Telematics 90
333 Numerex 92
334 Wyless 92
34 LPWA networks 93
35 Satellite networks 94
351 Orbcomm 95
352 Iridium 96
353 Inmarsat 97
354 Globalstar 97
4 Asia-Pacific 99
41 Regional market trends 99
411 China 101
412 Japan and South Korea 103
413 Australia and New Zealand 104
414 Southeast Asia 105
415 India and South Asia 105
42 Mobile operators 106
421 China Mobile 106
422 China Unicom 107
423 China Telecom 109
424 Softbank 109
425 NTT Docomo 111
426 KDDI 112
427 SK Telecom 112
428 SingTel 114
429 Axiata 115
4210 Telstra 116
5 Middle East and Africa 117
51 Regional market trends 117
511 Middle East 117
512 Africa 118
52 Mobile operators 118
521 Etisalat 119
522 FastNet 120
523 Ooredoo 120
524 MTN 121
525 Turkcell 121
526 Vodacom 122
6 Market forecasts and trends 123
61 Geographic markets 123
611 Global market summary 124
612 Europe 127
613 North America 129
614 Latin America 131
615 Asia-Pacific 133
616 Middle East and Africa 135
62 Vertical markets 137
621 Connected cars is becoming a global phenomenon 139
622 International consolidation and growth in the fleet management industry 141
623 Insurance and finance drive demand for consumer aftermarket telematics 143
624 Nationwide smart metering rollouts behind growth in the utilities sector 144
625 POS-terminals is a key application category in emerging markets 145
63 Technology trends 146
631 LTE set to become the future network platform for cellular M2M 146
632 Massive interest in emerging LPWA technologies… 147
633 …but will NB-IOT kill the market? 148
64 Industry trends 148
THE GLOBAL M2M/IOT COMMUNICATIONS MARKET INDEX
v STRATEGIC RESEARCH SERIES M2M RESEARCH SERIES
641 M2M/IoT finally becomes a substantial business for mobile operators 149
642 M2M managed service providers continue to grow and consolidate 151
643 Operators in search for an optimal business model for M2M/IoT 152
644 Market co-opetition requires carefully balanced strategies 153
645 International cellular M2M connectivity remains a challenge 153
Glossary 155

List of Figures

Figure 11: Comparison of LTE-family cellular technologies 5
Figure 12: Comparison of LPWA and satellite technologies 7
Figure 13: Cost comparison for IoT technologies (2015) 9
Figure 14: Examples of cellular IoT modules 11
Figure 15: Top wireless module vendors, by revenues and shipments (World 2014) 12
Figure 16: Comparison of SIM form factors 13
Figure 17: Mobile operators supporting GSMA Embedded SIM, by region (Q3-2015) 15
Figure 18: IoT connectivity platform selection by mobile operator (Q3-2015) 18
Figure 19: Application platform and mobile operator partnerships (Q3-2015) 20
Figure 110: Mobile operator M2M alliances (Q3-2015) 24
Figure 21: Mobile operators in Western Europe by M2M subscriber base (Q4-2014) 31
Figure 22: Europe M2M connectivity market data (Q4-2014) 33
Figure 23: France cellular M2M market connectivity data (2013-2015) 34
Figure 24: UK cellular M2M market connectivity data (2013-2014) 35
Figure 25: Germany cellular M2M market connectivity data (2014-2015) 36
Figure 26: Spain and Portugal cellular M2M market connectivity data (2013-2015) 37
Figure 27: Benelux cellular M2M market connectivity data (2013-2015) 38
Figure 28: Nordics cellular M2M market connectivity data (2013-2015) 39
Figure 29: Telefónica M2M subscribers by country (2014-2015) 49
Figure 210: Financial data for Telenor Connexion (2010-2014) 52
Figure 211: Sigfox network partners in Europe (Q3-2015) 69
Figure 212: Planned LoRa network rollouts in Europe (Q3-2015) 70
Figure 31: The Americas M2M connectivity market data (Q3-2015) 72
Figure 32: US cellular M2M market connectivity data (2012-2015) 75
Figure 33: Brazil cellular M2M market connectivity data (2013-2015) 76
Figure 34: Estimated number of M2M subscribers in Latin America ex Brazil (H1-2015) 77
Figure 35: Telefónica M2M subscribers in Latin America by country (2013-2015) 88
Figure 36: Satellite network operators by M2M subscriber base (Q3-2015) 95
Figure 41: Asia-Pacific M2M connectivity market data (2014/2015) 100
Figure 42: Japan cellular M2M market connectivity data (2012-2015) 103
Figure 43: M2M subscribers by application category (South Korea, August 2015) 104
Figure 51: Turkey cellular M2M market connectivity data (2013-2015) 118
Figure 61: Key regional markets for cellular M2M (Q1-2015) 123
Figure 62: Cellular M2M subscriber forecast, by region (World 2014-2020) 125
Figure 63: Cellular M2M network revenue forecast, by region (World 2014-2020) 126
Figure 64: Cellular M2M communication market forecast (Europe 2014-2020) 128
Figure 65: Cellular M2M communication market forecast (North America 2014-2020) 130
Figure 66: Cellular M2M communication market forecast (Latin America 2014-2020) 132
Figure 67: Cellular M2M communication market forecast (Asia-Pacific 2014-2020) 134
Figure 68: Cellular M2M communication market forecast (MEA 2014-2020) 136
Figure 69: Cellular M2M communication market forecast, by vertical (World 2014-2020) 138
Figure 610: OEM telematics attach rates in new vehicles, by region (2015/2020) 139
Figure 611: Top 25 international providers of fleet management solutions (2015) 142
Figure 612: POS-terminal installed base in key emerging markets (World 2014) 145
Figure 613: Cellular IoT device shipments, by network technology (World 2014-2020) 147
Figure 614: Top 10 mobile operators by M2M subscriber base (World Q1-2015) 149
Figure 615: Quarterly M2M/IoT revenue estimates for major operators (Q3-2015) 150
Figure 616: Top 5 M2M managed service providers by subscriber base (Q4-2015) 151

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