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AMA Research are pleased to announce the publication of the 4th Edition of its overview of the “Public Sector (Non-Residential) Construction Market Report – UK 2013-2017 Analysis”.

The report specifically focuses on construction activity within the public sector healthcare, education, defence, custodial, justice and other public sectors in an age of government austerity and continuing public sector funding cuts.

Key areas in the report:

Detailed assessment of the major sectors within public sector
construction including education, healthcare, defence, custodial and justice.
Analysis of key projects – capital values, pipelines, contractors etc.
Major contractors and consortia involved in public sector construction - contractor capability and experience in healthcare, education, defence and other public sectors.Areas of particular interest:

Contractors Output in the public sector and the outlook for public sector construction work with forecasts over the next few years.
.Review of main procurement routes and construction programmes used in public sector construction and their future under the Coalition - including introduction of Private Finance 2 (PF2) to replace traditional PFI and healthcare procurement under the new NHS structure.
Reviews Government targets and the progress of construction initiatives and programmes within the education, healthcare and defence sectors including: the Priority Schools Building Programme; the Academies and Free Schools Programme; Scotland ‘ Schools for the Future’ Programme and ‘21st Century Schools Programme in Wales; LIFT and ExpressLIFT; Procure 21+; Hub Initiative Scotland; Designed for Life: Building for Wales (P21 in Wales); Frameworks Scotland and the MoD’s Next Generation Estate Contracts (NGEC) Programme.
Review of key projects, pipelines, capital values, contractors, consortia in key sectors.
Future opportunities for public sector work and key issues for the construction industry.
Some of the major contractors featured include:

Balfour Beatty, BAM Construction, Bouygues, Bovis Lend Lease, Carillion, Interserve, John Laing, Kier, Laing O’Rourke, Lend Lease, Miller Construction, Robertson Construction, Rydon, Sir Robert McAlpine, Skanska UK, SSE Contracting, VINCI, Wates Construction, Willmott Dixon.

Key areas covered in the report include:

PUBLIC SECTOR CONSTRUCTION MARKET IN THE UK
Construction Market Overview – Value of Total Construction New Work Output in 2012.
Outlook for Total Construction New work in 2013 and beyond.
Public Sector (Non-Residential) Construction Output in 2012 - forecasts 2013 – 2017.
Construction Output – Sector Analysis: Healthcare, Education, Defence, Other Public Sector Categories in 2012. Forecasts up to 2017.
FUNDING OF PUBLIC SECTOR WORK IN THE UK

Current and Forecast Public Sector Investment – 2010-2015 by Department - public sector cuts and Austerity Programme.
Public Sector Capital Spending - review of measures announced in the 2012 Autumn Statement and 2013 Budget.
Education Spending: Dfe Resource and Capital Spending up to 2015; Higher Education Spending.
Health Sector – changes in structure - DH/NHS Resource and Capital Spending up to 2015.
PROCUREMENT ROUTES AND PROGRAMMES IN THE PUBLIC SECTOR
Overview of PFI in the Education, Healthcare and Defence Sectors – projects, capital values.
Analysis of PF2 – budgets, sectors, timescales.
Education Sector Procurement Programmes: Priority Schools Building Programme; Academies & Free Schools; Scotland Schools for the Future Programme; 21st Century Schools Programme Wales – budgets, pipelines, timescales, status, contractors.
Health Sector Procurement Programmes: LIFT/ExpressLIFT; Hub Initiative Scotland; Procure21/Procure21+; Designed for Life: Building for Wales; Frameworks Scotland; Other Procurement Options – budgets, pipelines, timescales, status, contractors.
Regional Frameworks for public sector work – NIEP, SCAPE etc – structure, key contractors.
Procurement of Construction Work in Other Public Sectors: Defence, Police, Prison Service, Fire & Rescue Service.
CONSTRUCTION SUPPLY IN THE PUBLIC SECTOR

Leading Clients in the Public Sector – key projects, values, contractors.
Leading Contractors in the Public Sector – Overview – projects, contract values, schedules – estimated mix of sales by sector.
Key Consortia in the Public Sector – education, healthcare, defence, MoJ etc – major players.
AMA Research has recently published the 4th Edition of its overview of Public Sector Construction in the UK, focusing on construction activity within the public sector healthcare, education, defence, custodial, justice and other public sectors in an age of government austerity and continuing public sector funding cuts.

The ongoing impact of the financial crisis has produced a more subdued recovery than expected and the Government has announced ‘significant real reductions’ in public sector spending after 2015, increasing the scale of public spending cuts in the June 2013 Spending Round by £1.5bn to £11.5bn over the next 2 years. Although health and education budgets are expected remain protected beyond 2015, spending on services such as the police, defence and justice could be cut by a third by 2017-18 if areas such as health and schools continue to be protected from cuts.

In addition, public sector capital spending has been cut very quickly since 2010, falling by 12% to £43.8bn in the current financial year, with further reductions expected in 2013-14 and 2014-15 and the austerity programme now expected to affect public sector capital spending levels to 2018.

As a result, public sector construction output continues to be adversely affected by the Government’s ongoing austerity measures and cuts to capital spending in healthcare and education. Public sector capital investment is not forecast to see any increase until 2014-15, and, as a result, output levels in the public sector are not expected to see any growth until at least 2015.

The Government has sought to moderate capital investment cuts with a series of spending commitments including increasing capital spending plans by £3bn a year from 2015-16, which will see the Government invest more in transport infrastructure and provide UK guarantees for major infrastructure projects. Public funding has also been announced for the Priority Schools Building Programme and Free Schools and Academies.

However, whilst these commitments do suggest longer-term support for the construction industry, funding is not expected to happen until after the next general election in 2015 leaving the construction industry with little short-term work to boost construction output and the size of public sector capital investment programmes in healthcare and education are now nowhere near those seen in previous years.

The Report includes a detailed analysis of the Government’s targets for capital spending in the public sector, an assessment of contractors output and anticipated opportunities for public sector construction work in the education, healthcare, defence, custodial and justice sectors over the next few years including progress under the various long-term healthcare, education and defence construction programmes.

We also review the Government’s spending plans and austerity measures as announced in the 2012 Autumn Statement and 2013 Budget and the outlook for public sector spending into 2017-18.

In addition, the Report specifically reviews the future of the main procurement routes and construction programmes used in public sector construction and their future under the Coalition, including the introduction of Private Finance 2 (PF2) to replace traditional PFI and healthcare procurement under the new NHS structure.

Table Of Contents

Public Sector (Non-Residential) Construction Market Report - UK 2013-2017 Analysis 
1. INTRODUCTION 6
2. SUMMARY AND FUTURE PROSPECTS 7
3. PUBLIC SECTOR CONSTRUCTION MARKET 11
3.1 CONSTRUCTION MARKET OVERVIEW 11
3.1.1 Value of Output - Construction New Work 11
3.1.2 Construction Output in 2012 12
3.1.3 Construction Output in 2013 and Beyond 15
3.2 PUBLIC SECTOR (NON-RESIDENTIAL) CONSTRUCTION MARKET 16
3.2.1 Public Sector Construction Output 16
3.2.2 Outlook for 2013 and Beyond 18
3.3 SECTOR ANALYSIS 21
3.3.1 Healthcare Sector 21
3.3.2 Education Sector 23
3.3.3 Defence Sector 26
3.3.4 Other Public Sector Categories 27
4. FUNDING OF PUBLIC SECTOR WORK 28
4.1 PUBLIC SECTOR INVESTMENT 28
4.1.1 Current and Forecast Public Sector Investment 28
4.1.2 Public Sector Cuts 30
4.1.3 Public Sector Capital Spending 31
4.1.4 Budget 2013 33
4.2 EDUCATION SPENDING 34
4.2.1 DfE Spending 34
4.2.2 Higher Education Funding 35
4.2.3 Education Capital Spending 35
4.3 HEALTHCARE SPENDING 37
4.3.1 Reform of the NHS 37
4.3.2 NHS Spending 39
4.3.3 Healthcare Capital Spending 42
5. PROCUREMENT ROUTES AND PROGRAMMES IN THE PUBLIC SECTOR 43
5.1 PFI 43
5.1.1 Overview 43
5.1.2 Private Finance 2 (PF2) 44
5.2 PROCUREMENT OF WORK IN THE EDUCATION SECTOR 45
5.2.1 PFI in the Education Sector 45
5.2.2 Procurement Programmes in the Education Sector 46
5.3 PROCUREMENT OF WORK IN THE HEALTHCARE SECTOR 57
5.3.1 PFI in the Healthcare Sector 57
5.3.2 Procurement Programmes in the Healthcare Sector 59
5.4 REGIONAL FRAMEWORKS 66
5.4.1 NIEP Frameworks 66
5.5 PROCUREMENT OF CONSTRUCTION WORK IN OTHER PUBLIC SECTORS 70
5.5.1 Defence 70
6. CONSTRUCTION SUPPLY IN THE PUBLIC SECTOR 75
6.1 LEADING CLIENTS IN THE PUBLIC SECTOR 75
6.2 LEADING CONTRACTORS IN THE PUBLIC SECTOR 77
6.2.1 Overview 77
6.2.2 Leading Contractors in the Healthcare Sector 79
6.2.3 Leading Contractors in the Education Sector 86
6.2.4 Leading Contractors in the Defence Sector 90
6.2.5 Leading Contractors in Other Public Sectors 92TABLE 1 PUBLIC SECTOR SPENDING (RESOURCE AND CAPITAL) BY DEPARTMENT (HEALTH, EDUCATION, DEFENCE ETC) 2013-14 (£BILLION) 7
CHART 2 VALUE OF NON-DOMESTIC CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT 2008 - 2017 BY VALUE (NEW WORK AND RMI - £BN AT CURRENT PRICES) 12
CHART 3 VALUE OF CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT NEW WORK BY SECTOR (EDUCATION, HEALTHCARE, INDUSTRIAL, INFRASTRUCTURE ETC) - % BY VALUE 2012 13
CHART 4 PUBLIC SECTOR CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT - % BY TYPE OF WORK 2012 (SCHOOLS/COLLEGES, HEALTH, OFFICES, ETC) 17
TABLE 5 CONTRACTORS OUTPUT IN THE PUBLIC (NON-RESIDENTIAL) SECTOR 2008-2017 (£M) 19
TABLE 6 - SUMMARY OF PUBLIC SECTOR INVESTMENT AND MAJOR CAPITAL SPENDING PROGRAMMES IN EDUCATION and HEALTH 2011-2015 BY PROGRAMME VALUE 20
TABLE 7 CONTRACTORS OUTPUT OF HEALTHCARE SECTOR WORK (PUBLIC/PRIVATE) 2007-2012 (£M) 21
CHART 8 HEALTH CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT FORECASTS 2007 - 2017 - BY VALUE (£BN AT CURRENT PRICES) 22
TABLE 9 CONTRACTORS OUTPUT OF EDUCATION SECTOR WORK (PUBLIC/PRIVATE) 2007-2012 (£M) 24
CHART 10 EDUCATION CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT GROWTH FORECASTS (NEW WORK) 2007 - 2017 - BY VALUE (£ BILLION AT CURRENT PRICES) 25
TABLE 11 PUBLIC SECTOR GROSS SPENDING 2007 - 2017 (£BN) 29
CHART 12 PUBLIC SECTOR GOVERNMENT SPENDING - % BY FUNCTION 2012-13 30
CHART 13 PUBLIC SECTOR CAPITAL INVESTMENT 2009-2015 (£BN) 31
TABLE 14 - SUMMARY OF PUBLIC SECTOR CAPITAL SPENDING BY MAJOR DEPARTMENT 2007 - 2015 (£BN) - EDUCATION, HEALTH, TRANSPORT, DEFENCE, HOME OFFICE, FCO, DECC, GLC COMMUNITIES ETC 32
TABLE 15 DFE SPENDING 2010-2015 MIX BY RESOURCES and CAPITAL (£BN) 34
TABLE 16 HEFCE GRANT FOR FINANCIAL YEARS 2008-09 TO 2013-14 (£M) 35
CHART 17 DEPARTMENT FOR EDUCATION CAPITAL EXPENDITURE 2007-2015 (£BN) 36
CHART 18 STRUCTURE OF THE NHS - BEFORE AND AFTER HEALTH and SOCIAL CARE ACT 38
CHART 19 VALUE OF UK NHS EXPENDITURE 2005 - 2015 (£BILLION) 40
TABLE 20 UK NHS PRIMARY CARE TRUST REVENUE SPENDING ALLOCATIONS 2006-2013 (£BN) 40
TABLE 21 NHS CAPITAL SPENDING - 2007-2015 (£BN) 42
TABLE 22 CURRENT PFI INVESTMENTS (BY GOVERNMENT DEPARTMENT) 44
TABLE 23 PFI EDUCATION SCHEMES - BY SCHEME STATUS AND VALUE (AS AT JANUARY 2013) 46
TABLE 24 PRIORITY SCHOOLS BUILDING PROGRAMME - CAPITAL VALUE, STATUS OF PROJECTS/BIDS, CONTRACTORS (AS AT MARCH 2013) 49
TABLE 25 NATIONAL ACADEMIES FRAMEWORK - APPROVED CONTRACTORS - NORTH/MIDLANDS, LONDON/SOUTH/EAST 50
TABLE 26 SCOTLAND SCHOOLS FOR THE FUTURE PROGRAMME - SELECTED SCHOOLS 52
TABLE 27 SCOTTISH GOVERNMENT - REVENUE FUNDED EDUCATION PROJECTS - FORWARD PIPELINE 2012-2017/18 - PROJECT, PROCURING BODY, CAPITAL VALUE, STATUS, START DATES 54
TABLE 28 PLANNED PFI HOSPITAL SCHEMES - BY STAGE OF DEVELOPMENT AND CAPITAL VALUE (AS AT JANUARY 2013) 58
TABLE 29 HUB INITIATIVE SCOTLAND - HUBCOS (AREAS, PROJECT VALUES, DEVELOPMENT PARTNERS) 61
TABLE 30 HEALTHCARE PROJECTS - FORWARD CONSTRUCTION PIPELINE 2012-2022 (CAPITAL VALUES, SCHEME STATUS, DATES) 63
TABLE 31 NIEP - CONSTRUCTION FRAMEWORKS - REGIONS, LEAD AUTHORITY, DETAILS 67
TABLE 32 SCAPE FRAMEWORK - CURRENT FRAMEWORKS - AREAS, START DATES, VALUES ETC 69
TABLE 33 TOP PUBLIC SECTOR CLIENTS - KEY DEPARTMENTS, CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS, VALUES, CAPEX 2012-15, FORWARD PLANS 76
TABLE 34 LEADING 18 CONTRACTORS BY PUBLIC SECTOR (NON-HOUSING) - KEY SECTORS BY VALUE OF CONTRACTS (£M) IN 2012 78
TABLE 35 HEALTH SECTOR ANALYSIS - TOP CONTRACTORS BY VALUE OF PROJECTS WON (£M) 2012/2013, KEY PROJECTS AND PREVIOUS HEALTHCARE EXPERIENCE 80
TABLE 36 MAJOR CONSORTIA AND SUPPLY CHAIN/FRAMEWORK PARTNERS IN THE HEALTH SECTOR - BY PROCUREMENT PROGRAMME 84
TABLE 37 EDUCATION SECTOR ANALYSIS - TOP CONTRACTORS BY VALUE OF PROJECTS WON (£M) 2012/2013 AND PREVIOUS EDUCATION EXPERIENCE 87
TABLE 38 LEADING EDUCATION CONTRACTORS AND PRINCIPAL CONSORTIA 89
TABLE 39 DEFENCE SECTOR ANALYSIS - TOP CONTRACTORS BY VALUE OF PROJECTS WON (£M) 2010-2013 91
TABLE 40 OTHER PUBLIC SECTOR ANALYSIS - TOP CONTRACTORS BY VALUE OF PROJECTS WON (£M) 2012-13 (JUSTICE, CUSTODIAL, COMMUNITY ETC) 93

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