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Residential Doors Market Report - UK 2013-2017 Analysis 

  • December 2013
  • -
  • AMA Research
  • -
  • 101 pages

AMA Research are pleased to announce the publication of the third edition of the report “Residential Doors Market Report – UK 2013-2017 Analysis”. Incorporating original input and primary research, it represents an up-to-date report on the fragmented residential doors market sectors covering internal and external products and reviewing prospects through to 2017.

Key issues analysed include:
Entrance Doors, Patio Doors and Internal Doors.
Analysis of product sectors by frame materials – eg Timber, Aluminium, PVCu and Composites.
Analysis of key end-use sectors – private new build, social housing new build, private sector home improvement and social housing replacement.
Supply and distribution structure in the door manufacturing industry including PVCu systems and fabricators, joinery manufacturers, aluminium systems, composite door manufacturers and retail glazing companies.A mature sector, residential doors has benefited from some stability returning to the market 2010-13 following significant decline in 2008/09. The market has benefited from emerging trends for higher specification products in both the new build and replacement sectors – such as composites and bi-fold doors.

Prospects into the medium term are for steady underlying growth as confidence returns to the housebuilding and house moving markets, together with expectations of a steady recovery in consumer confidence and increased spending on home improvements.

Areas of particular interest include:

Review of market activity levels 2010-13 with prospects for 2014/15. Key trends and market drivers identified.
Material usage trends in key product sectors – market mixes by volume and value, continued growth of composites, etc.
Market trends in public and private sectors.
Review of supply and distribution structure – recent corporate activity 2011-13 and prospects for future rationalisation and reorganisation of supply structure.
Current forecasts of market performance to 2017.
Companies included:

3D Aluminium Plas, Acorn Doors, All Glass Systems (AGS), Allan Brothers, Aluk UK, Ambass-A-Door, Anglian Windows, Architectonics Aluminium Systems, Armador, B&Q, Benlowe Group (BGL), Birtley Building Products, Bowater Building Products, Boyland Joinery, Britdoors Group, Broadleaf, Broxwood (Scotland), C R Smith, Capital Windows Manufacturing, Capstone Doors, Clear View, Comar Architectural Aluminium Systems, Deceuninck, Dempsey Dyer, Distinction Doors, Door-Stop International, Duration Windows, Epwin Group, Eurocell Profiles, GBW Panels, George Barnsdale & Sons, Grafton Group, Hallmark Panels, Homebase, Howarth Windows & Doors, Howdens Joinery, Hurst Plastics, Ian Firth Hardware, IG Doors, Internorm, JB Kind, Jeld-Wen UK, John A Russell (Joinery), Kloeber UK, LB Plastics, LBS Benchmark Doors, LPD Doors, Magnet, Manse Masterdor, Masco UK Window Group, Mumford and Wood, My House Group, Nationwide Windows, New World Developments, Nice Door Panels, Orlestone Oak, Pendle Doors, Performance Window Group, Phoenix Door Panels, Polyframe, Premdor Crosby, Profile Developments, Profine UK, Raldoors, Rehau, Reynaers Limited, Rockdoor, Saint-Gobain Group, Sapa Building Systems, Scotts of Thrapston, Screwfix, Season Master, Sekura, Senior Architectural Systems (SAS), Singer Doors, Smart Systems, Sun Paradise, The Coloured Door Company, The Sash Window Workshop, Todd Doors, Toolstation, Veka, Vista Panels, Wickes, Wolseley UK, XL Joinery.

Key areas covered in the report include:

THE MARKET

Overall residential doors market size and market mix by value 2007-2017 – market volumes 2010-2017, overall product mix, materials mix and role of international trade, key general trends and underlying market drivers and forecasts of future trends to 2017.
Overview of new build/home improvement markets – share by sector, recent trends and market prospects.
Overview of private/public sector – share by sectors, trends and market prospects.
Key influencing factors – housebuilding volumes and forecasts up to 2017, mix between houses/apartments 2002-2012 with regional analysis for 2012,, private and social/affordable housing, housing RMI overview and forecasts with regional analysis for RMI.
Overall product mix – entrance doors, patio doors and internal doors – share by value 2013 and changes since 2007.
Future prospects – review of market prospects in 2013-14 and longer term prospects up to 2017 – market saturation, growth sectors, sustainability issues etc.
PRODUCT MIX

Analysis of residential entrance doors sector by value and volume 2007-2017 - focus on both newbuild and replacement markets, share mix by frame material (PVCu, Composite, Aluminium, Timber) and end-user sector. Details of key market drivers and future prospects, growth of composites etc.
Analysis of patio door sector by value 2007-2017. Focus on both newbuild and replacement markets 2007-13, share mix by frame material and end-user sector (new build/replacement). Details of key market drivers and future prospects.
Analysis of internal door market by volume and value. Estimates by new build and replacement, private and social 2013 and trend since 2007. Details of key market drivers and future prospects.
Overall trends in window and door markets - key product sectors, private and public sector trends - future prospects up to 2017.
SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION

Analysis of door supply channels: - retail glazing companies, PVC-U systems fabricators, aluminium systems fabricators, timber door manufacturers and specialist suppliers, (e.g. composite door manufacturers).
Changes in supply structure in 2010-13 – rationalisation in supply chain
Review of key suppliers – major players, product specialists etc,
Key distribution channels for residential doors – variations between materials and end use sectors.
Future prospects – likely changes in market structure.
FUTURE PROSPECTS

Market prospects in 2013-17 - key drivers in door & window market and longer term prospects. Key growth sectors.
Overall trends in glazing industry – materials, sectors etc.
Impact of changes on market structures.The market for residential doors is a relatively mature market reliant on the new housebuilding and home improvement sectors. Prior to the recession, the market for residential doors had been in moderate decline as over supply and downward pressure on prices resulted in downward trend in market value.

The experience 2010-13 has been for a measure of stability returning to the market but with increasing pressures on manufacturers/suppliers margins with market value estimated at £607m in 2013. The lack of significant sustained growth in housing completions has placed restraints on value growth, as has the relatively steady RMI market which has around £22.3-22.6bn 2010-12.

Into 2013 the market has been described as steady but with some signs of improvement into Q2-3 indicating that moderate value growth for 2013 is achievable. Value growth has been underpinned by legislation and standards requiring improved security, thermal and fire performance ratings leading to the increased specification of higher value products. In addition, the trend for maximising natural light has resulted in increased glazing used for entrance and patio doors but also internal doors – especially where used as room dividers.

Internal doors dominate the mix in value terms in 2013 with estimated 60% value share followed by entrance doors with 28% and patio doors with 12%. This mix has remained relatively steady since 2010 and reflects the relatively static nature of the market since 2010.

Replacements dominate the mix with private sector home improvements and social housing replacements estimated to account for combined value share of 67% in 2013, representing an increase of 5% on 2007 figures. A key factor in the dominance of the replacement market is the price differentials between the new build and the replacement sectors with bulk purchase for new build driving down the average price of products. In addition, the social housing sector is often obliged to use competitive tendering process in order to obtain “best value” for door products used in both new build and replacements.

Future prospects are for steady underlying growth to 2017 when the market is expected to reach around £726m. Factors likely to have a positive impact on volume and value growth include recovery in housebuilding completions, recovery in the house moving market, trend for higher value replacements, etc. All sectors of the residential door market are likely to benefit from the continuation of the current trend for maximising daylight which is likely to promote increase in the volume of glazed products specified for all three product categories.

Table Of Contents

Residential Doors Market Report - UK 2013-2017 Analysis 
1. INTRODUCTION 8
1.1 BACKGROUND 8
1.2 SOURCES OF INFORMATION 9
2. SUMMARY AND FUTURE PROSPECTS 10
2.1 SUMMARY 10
2.2 FUTURE PROSPECTS 11
3. ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT 13
3.1 GDP 13
3.2 INFLATION and INTEREST RATES 14
3.3 UNEMPLOYMENT 15
3.4 HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION 16
3.5 HOUSING and CONSTRUCTION 17
3.6 STERLING 18
3.7 POPULATION PROFILE 19
3.8 CONCLUSIONS 19
4. MARKET FOR RESIDENTIAL DOORS 21
4.1 DEFINITION 21
4.2 MARKET SIZE 22
4.2.1 Market Value 22
4.2.2 Market Volume 23
4.2.3 Current Situation 24
4.2.4 Future Prospects 25
4.3 PRODUCT MIX 26
4.4 MIX BY APPLICATION 28
4.5 MIX BY MATERIAL 30
4.5.1 Overall Market for Windows and Doors 30
4.5.2 Role of International Trade 31
4.5.3 Trends in Materials Usage for Residential Doors 32
4.6 KEY MARKET INFLUENCES 34
4.6.1 Housebuilding Overview and Forecasts 35
4.6.2 Mix of Housebuilding Types 38
4.6.3 Housing RMI - Overview and Forecasts 41
4.6.4 House Moving Market 44
4.6.5 Legislation and Standards 46
5. PRODUCT SECTORS 49
5.1 OVERVIEW 49
5.2 INTERNAL DOORS 49
5.2.1 Market Size 49
5.2.2 Mix by End-Use Sector 51
5.2.3 Materials Mix 54
5.2.4 Future Prospects 55
5.3 ENTRANCE DOORS 56
5.3.1 Market Size 56
5.3.2 Mix by End Use Sector 58
5.3.3 Materials Mix 59
5.3.4 Future Prospects 61
5.4 PATIO DOORS 62
5.4.1 Market Size 62
5.4.2 Mix by End-Use Sector 64
5.4.3 Mix by Material 67
5.4.4 Future Prospects 68
6. SUPPLIERS 69
6.1 OVERVIEW 69
6.2 COMPOSITE DOORS 70
6.2.1 Corporate Activity 70
6.2.2 Key Suppliers 70
6.3 TIMBER DOORS 76
6.3.1 Corporate Activity 76
6.3.2 Leading Suppliers 76
6.3.3 Solid Wood Doors 80
6.4 PVCU DOORS 81
6.5 ALUMINIUM 84
7. DISTRIBUTION 87
7.1 OVERVIEW OF DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURE 87
7.2 DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURE BY FRAME MATERIAL 88
7.2.1 PVCu 88
7.2.2 Aluminium 90
7.2.3 Timber 92
7.2.4 Composites/Internal Doors 94
7.3 KEY DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS 95
7.3.1 Retail/Direct Sell Window and Door Companies 95
7.3.2 Specialist Door Distributors 96
7.3.3 Builders/Timber Merchants 98
7.3.4 DIY Multiples 100
7.3.5 Catalogue Stores/Trade Counters, Internet, etc 101TABLE 1 UK MARKET SIZE AND FORECASTS FOR RESIDENTIAL DOORS 2007 - 2017 BY VALUE (£M AT MSP) 10
TABLE 2 GDP DATA - 2010-2013 - KEY CONSTITUENT ELEMENTS 13
CHART 3 INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION (CPI) FROM 1992-2017 15
CHART 4 PDI and SAVINGS RATIO AT CURRENT PRICES 1995-2017 16
TABLE 5 EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS 2008-2014 - STERLING TO THE DOLLAR, AND THE EURO, SPOT RATES 18
CHART 6 UK MARKET FOR RESIDENTIAL DOORS 2007 - 2017 - BY VALUE (£M AT MSP) 22
CHART 7 UK MARKET FOR RESIDENTIAL DOORS 2007 - 2017 - BY VOLUME (000'S) 23
CHART 8 UK RESIDENTIAL DOORS MARKET SHARE BY TYPE (INTERNAL, ENTRANCE AND PATIO DOORS) 2013 - % BY VALUE 27
CHART 9 UK MARKET FOR RESIDENTIAL DOORS CHANGES IN PRODUCT MIX 2007 AND 2013 - % BY VALUE 27
CHART 10 UK MARKET FOR RESIDENTIAL DOORS APPLICATION MIX (PRIVATE NEW BUILD, SOCIAL NEW BUILD, PRIVATE HOME IMPROVEMENT AND SOCIAL HOUSING REPLACEMENT) 2007 AND 2013 - % BY VALUE 29
TABLE 11 UK MARKET FOR DOORS AND WINDOWS - TIMBER, PVCU AND ALUMINIUM - 2004 - 2012 - BY VALUE (£M MSP) 30
CHART 12 UK INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN DOORS AND WINDOWS - IMPORTS BY PRODUCT TYPE (TIMBER, UPVC AND ALUMINIUM) 2007 - 2012 - SHARE BY VALUE (£M) 31
CHART 13 UK INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN DOORS AND WINDOWS - EXPORTS BY PRODUCT TYPE (TIMBER, UPVC AND ALUMINIUM) 2007 - 2012 - SHARE BY VALUE (£M) 32
TABLE 14 DOMESTIC CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT (GB) NEW BUILD AND RMI 2007-2017 - BY VALUE (£M AT CURRENT PRICES) 35
CHART 15 NEW HOUSING STARTS AND COMPLETIONS (GB) 2007 - 2017 BY VOLUME (DWELLINGS) 37
CHART 16 HOUSEBUILDING COMPLETIONS IN ENGLAND BY MIX OF HOUSES/FLATS 2002-03 TO 2012-13 % VOLUME 39
CHART 17 HOUSEBUILDING COMPLETIONS MIX (HOUSES AND FLATS) IN ENGLAND BY REGION 2011-12 - % BY VOLUME 40
CHART 18 RMI HOUSING OUTPUT AND FORECASTS 2007 - 2017 - BY VALUE (£M AT CURRENT PRICES) 42
TABLE 19 HOUSING RMI REGIONAL ANALYSIS (GB) 2011 - 2013 - BY VALUE (£M) AND % BY REGION 44
TABLE 20 NUMBER OF RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY TRANSACTIONS UK 2007 - 2013 - BY VOLUME (‘000) AND VALUE (£M) 45
CHART 21 UK MARKET SIZE AND FORECASTS FOR RESIDENTIAL INTERNAL DOORS 2007 - 2017 BY VALUE (£M AT MSP) 50
CHART 22 UK MARKET FOR RESIDENTIAL INTERNAL DOORS BY END USE SECTOR (NEW BUILD PRIVATE, NEW BUILD SOCIAL, PRIVATE HOME IMPROVEMENT AND SOCIAL HOUSING REPLACEMENT) 2013 - % BY VALUE 52
TABLE 23 UK MARKET FOR RESIDENTIAL INTERNAL DOORS - CHANGES IN END USE SECTOR MIX 2007 AND 2013 - % BY VALUE 53
CHART 24 UK MARKET SIZE AND FORECASTS FOR RESIDENTIAL ENTRANCE DOORS 2007 - 2017 BY VALUE (£M AT MSP) 56
CHART 25 RESIDENTIAL ENTRANCE DOORS BY MARKET SECTOR -NEW BUILD/REPLACEMENT, PRIVATE/SOCIAL 2013 - % BY VOLUME 58
CHART 26 UK ENTRANCE DOORS MARKET MIX BY MATERIAL (PVCU, COMPOSITE, TIMBER, OTHER) 2013 - % BY VOLUME 59
CHART 27 UK MARKET SIZE AND FORECASTS FOR PATIO DOORS 2007 - 2017 BY VALUE (£M AT MSP) 62
CHART 28 UK MARKET FOR RESIDENTIAL PATIO DOORS BY END USE SECTOR (NEW BUILD AND HOME IMPROVEMENT) 2013 - % BY VOLUME 65
CHART 29 UK MARKET FOR RESIDENTIAL PATIO DOORS END USE MIX (NEW BUILD AND HOME IMPROVEMENT) 2007-13 - % BY VOLUME 66
CHART 30 UK MARKET FOR REPLACEMENT RESIDENTIAL PATIO DOORS MIX BY FRAME MATERIAL (TIMBER, ALUMINIUM and PVCU) 1986, 1998 2004, 2012 AND 2013 - % BY VALUE 67
CHART 31 DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURE - PVCU DOORS 89
CHART 32 DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURE - ALUMINIUM DOORS 91
CHART 33 DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURE - TIMBER DOORS 93

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